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NI NiSource Inc

Utilities

44.57 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +26.0%
Open
45.17
High
45.17
Low
44.46
Prev close
44.75
Volume
7.5M
Amplitude
1.59%
P/E
22.9
P/B
2.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+10.0%
52W 38.42 49.21

Is NiSource Inc a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Average; Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 22.86 59th percentile Pricey
Price / book 2.23 63th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -7.33 30th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Top, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 9.82 65th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 27.35 81th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) -22.52 23th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.97 61th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.9 57th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 3.43 78th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 6.73 59th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 241,015,060 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 17.76 18th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

NiSource Inc (NI) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From NiSource Inc to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of NiSource Inc across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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NiSource Inc (NI) peers and tracking

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NiSource Inc (NI) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 17.9%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
17 historical occurrences (since 2015-11-03)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +0.94%, Excess -1.57%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

60-day: Win 73.3%, Sample 15, Median +7.53%, Excess -0.07%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

120-day: Win 80%, Sample 15, Median +10.07%, Excess -2.1%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

120 days after: historical avg +7.15%

20-day +0.16%
60-day +3.58%
120-day +7.15%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
73.3%
80%
Sample
15
15
15
Median
+0.94%
+7.53%
+10.07%
Excess
-1.57%
-0.07%
-2.1%
Beat mkt rate
53.3%
53.3%
53.3%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.15%, lagged the market by 2.1 pts; win rate 80%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 547+11.4% +2.7% 60.9% -2.7%
20-40 213+28.9% +31.7% 89.7% +17.4%
40-60 You are here238+15% +17.9% 89.9% -1.8%
60-80 13Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 22.86, placing it in the 49.2 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+6.9%
Win rate 63.7% Excess +4.3%
421d
Now
+8.1%
Win rate 85.1% Excess +0.5%
416d
Insufficient data
(2d)
60-day momentum down
+4.9%
Win rate 56% Excess -3.8%
241d
+15.3%
Win rate 100% Excess +7.4%
47d
Insufficient data
(4d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 416 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8.1%, win rate 85.1%, beat the market by 0.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.26%, win rate 59.3%, beating the market by -0.96 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.96%, win rate 64.3%, beating the market by -0.77 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.23%, win rate 75%, beating the market by -1.4 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.