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OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc.

Financial Services

10.33 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -50.1%
Open
10.24
High
10.55
Low
10.12
Prev close
10.41
Volume
29.2M
Amplitude
4.13%
P/E
74.1
P/B
3.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+11.8%
52W 7.95 17.00

Is Blue Owl Capital Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 74.1 89th percentile Expensive
Price / book 3.75 77th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 20.84 91th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good FCF margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 8.05 60th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 23.17 76th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 48.96 92th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.76 64th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 89.4 83th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -8.22 46th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -24.83 29th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 195,263,695 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 43.55 50th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Blue Owl Capital Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Blue Owl Capital Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Blue Owl Capital Inc.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Blue Owl Capital Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 6.62%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
6 historical occurrences (since 2021-11-09)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 40%, Sample 5, Median -3.33%, Excess -2.48%, Beat mkt rate 20%

60-day: Win 20%, Sample 5, Median -11.17%, Excess -4.53%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +7.42%, Excess -1.09%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120 days after: historical avg -0.51%

20-day -1.88%
60-day -4.87%
120-day -0.51%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40%
20%
60%
Sample
5
5
5
Median
-3.33%
-11.17%
+7.42%
Excess
-2.48%
-4.53%
-1.09%
Beat mkt rate
20%
40%
40%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 0.51%, lagged the market by 1.09 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 74.10, placing it in the 0.9 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
Now
+12.5%
Win rate 78.2% Excess +0.3%
55d
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 55 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 12.5%, win rate 78.2%, beat the market by 0.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.22%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +2.91 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.31%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -0.63 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.