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PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

Technology

351.72 -14.15 -3.87% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +87.5%
Open
368.07
High
368.50
Low
350.39
Prev close
365.87
Volume
6.6M
Amplitude
4.95%
P/E
831.5
P/B
10.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+24.5%
52W 139.57 432.33

Is Palo Alto Networks, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 831.52 99th percentile Expensive
Price / book 10.89 93th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.46 53th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good FCF margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 1.12 42th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 6.05 48th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 38.04 90th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 24.49 78th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -72.5 28th percentile Average
Momentum Strong 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 1.77 75th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 78.26 93th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 2,039,166,603 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 63.02 66th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Palo Alto Networks, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Palo Alto Networks, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) peers and tracking

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Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 98.05%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
22 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-01)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 22, Median +1.73%, Excess +2.64%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

60-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 22, Median +5.36%, Excess +1.02%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120-day: Win 76.2%, Sample 21, Median +6.56%, Excess +1.26%, Beat mkt rate 52.4%

120 days after: historical avg +8.08%

20-day +3.39%
60-day +4.74%
120-day +8.08%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
54.5%
76.2%
Sample
22
22
21
Median
+1.73%
+5.36%
+6.56%
Excess
+2.64%
+1.02%
+1.26%
Beat mkt rate
54.5%
54.5%
52.4%

Over 21 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.08%, beat the market by 1.26 pts; win rate 76.2%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 24.49%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

18 historical occurrences (since 2018-02-27)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 77.8%, Sample 18, Median +3.96%, Excess +6.81%, Beat mkt rate 77.8%

60-day: Win 58.8%, Sample 17, Median +7.48%, Excess +6.81%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%

120-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 16, Median +13.49%, Excess +13.34%, Beat mkt rate 75%

120 days after: historical avg +18.41%

20-day +6.03%
60-day +9.92%
120-day +18.41%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
77.8%
58.8%
68.8%
Sample
18
17
16
Median
+3.96%
+7.48%
+13.49%
Excess
+6.81%
+6.81%
+13.34%
Beat mkt rate
77.8%
52.9%
75%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.41%, beat the market by 13.34 pts; win rate 68.8%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 831.52, placing it in the 90.1 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(1d)
Insufficient data
(10d)
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
+132.3%
Win rate 100% Excess +118.7%
47d
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.11%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +3.72 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.28%, win rate 80.8%, beating the market by +11.13 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.