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PATK Patrick Industries, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

83.11 USD 1D -1.57 -1.86% Close 11/5
Since 2024-12-05 -3.9%

Close 11/5

Open
86.44
High
86.48
Low
82.30
Prev close
84.68
Volume
800.94K
Amplitude
4.94%
P/E
22.1
P/B
2.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+1.7%
52W 63.00 148.50
FinLab Studio

From Patrick Industries, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Patrick Industries, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Patrick Industries, Inc.

Is Patrick Industries, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-11-04

Valuation: Fair, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 22.1 57th percentile · Pricey
Price / book 2.4 65th percentile · Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.5 75th percentile · Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but Operating margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 11.6 69th percentile · Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 6.3 49th percentile · Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 5.2 52th percentile · Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 1.7 39th percentile · Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.7 61th percentile · Good
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Good, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -2.6 57th percentile · Good
240-day return (%) -12.4 34th percentile · Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 63,355,966.0 83th percentile · Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 39.9 44th percentile · Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-11-04

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) peers and tracking

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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 5.8%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
32 historical occurrences (since 2015-10-29)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 56.7%, Sample 30, Median +0.7%, Excess -0.5%, Beat mkt rate 50.0%

60-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 30, Median +0.2%, Excess +0.4%, Beat mkt rate 50.0%

120-day: Win 60.0%, Sample 30, Median +8.4%, Excess +0.6%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%

120 days after: historical avg +7.8%

20-day +0.4%
60-day +3.8%
120-day +7.8%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
56.7%
53.3%
60.0%
Sample
30
30
30
Median
+0.7%
+0.2%
+8.4%
Excess
-0.5%
+0.4%
+0.6%
Beat mkt rate
50.0%
50.0%
53.3%

Over 30 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.8%, beat the market by 0.6 pts; win rate 60.0%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 566+40.6% +44.6% 78.6% +29.6%
20-40 188+26.2% +26.9% 79.8% +10.9%
40-60 94+20.7% +29.7% 70.2% -1.5%
60-80 Now342+20.3% +24.5% 81.6% +0.3%
80-100 228+1.4% +3.0% 53.5% -14.8%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 22.05, placing it in the 74.6 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+15.6%
Win rate 85.9% Excess +7.2%
333d
+10.9%
Win rate 77.1% Excess -3.2%
118d
+2.7%
Win rate 60.7% Excess -5.3%
438d
60-day momentum down
+15.5%
Win rate 56.1% Excess +12.9%
374d
+13.5%
Win rate 79.7% Excess +4.7%
74d
Now
+15.1%
Win rate 70.6% Excess +1.9%
201d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 201 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 15.1%, win rate 70.6%, beat the market by 1.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 100,217 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.37%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.03 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.3%, win rate 50.0%, beating the market by -1.5 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.0%, win rate 52.0%, beating the market by -4.7 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg -12.8%, win rate 0.0%, beating the market by -11.8 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.