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PBF PBF Energy Inc.

Energy

75.08 -2.92 -3.74% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +153.9%
Open
76.69
High
79.00
Low
74.74
Prev close
78.00
Volume
3M
Amplitude
5.46%
P/E
3.5
P/B
1.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+31.5%
52W 25.62 92.46

Is PBF Energy Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Cheap, Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Cheap Free-cash-flow yield is Top; Price / book is Fair.
TTM P/E 3.48 11th percentile Cheap
Price / book 1.18 39th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 27.3 93th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 34.09 89th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 10.02 56th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 6.58 55th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 31.51 82th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -581.9 4th percentile Lagging
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 27.86 95th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 103.76 96th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 226,270,013 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 62.55 65th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) today

3 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From PBF Energy Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of PBF Energy Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like PBF Energy Inc.

PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) peers and tracking

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PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 96.77%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
20 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-19)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 70%, Sample 20, Median +6.13%, Excess +3.1%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60-day: Win 75%, Sample 20, Median +13.32%, Excess +9.77%, Beat mkt rate 65%

120-day: Win 73.7%, Sample 19, Median +20.64%, Excess +13.8%, Beat mkt rate 63.2%

120 days after: historical avg +20.11%

20-day +3.16%
60-day +12.92%
120-day +20.11%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70%
75%
73.7%
Sample
20
20
19
Median
+6.13%
+13.32%
+20.64%
Excess
+3.1%
+9.77%
+13.8%
Beat mkt rate
60%
65%
63.2%

Over 19 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 20.11%, beat the market by 13.8 pts; win rate 73.7%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 31.51%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-02)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median -0.79%, Excess -1.21%, Beat mkt rate 50%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median +0.3%, Excess +13.18%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +44.61%, Excess +37.8%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +33.9%

20-day -0.54%
60-day +8.7%
120-day +33.9%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
50%
60%
Sample
6
6
5
Median
-0.79%
+0.3%
+44.61%
Excess
-1.21%
+13.18%
+37.8%
Beat mkt rate
50%
66.7%
60%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 33.9%, beat the market by 37.8 pts; win rate 60%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 14.93%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
23 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-12)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 19, Median +0.44%, Excess +2.06%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%

60-day: Win 63.2%, Sample 19, Median +6.22%, Excess +6.98%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%

120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 18, Median +26.98%, Excess +15.55%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +21.03%

20-day +3.08%
60-day +9.55%
120-day +21.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.6%
63.2%
66.7%
Sample
19
19
18
Median
+0.44%
+6.22%
+26.98%
Excess
+2.06%
+6.98%
+15.55%
Beat mkt rate
52.6%
52.6%
66.7%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 21.03%, beat the market by 15.55 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 354+11.4% +11.1% 70.9% -14.6%
20-40 You are here84+48.1% +44.9% 100% -2%
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 22Insufficient data
80-100 11Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 3.48, placing it in the 33.8 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+3.7%
Win rate 59.5% Excess -6.1%
232d
Now
-31.7%
Win rate 7.7% Excess -47.6%
52d
+33.5%
Win rate 75.8% Excess +30.6%
33d
60-day momentum down
+16.9%
Win rate 86.3% Excess +1.5%
190d
+108.6%
Win rate 82.9% Excess +75.3%
82d
Insufficient data
(2d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 52 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 31.7%, win rate 7.7%, lagged the market by 47.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.09%, win rate 45%, beating the market by +4 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.