Filed revenue acceleration
Active · now 17.310924369747905%TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.
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RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated Industrials As of 2026-07-31 Updated daily after market close
steady quality, premium valuation.
2 active signals
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add RBC Bearings Incorporated to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Is RBC Bearings Incorporated a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Quality is above average. Operating margin sits near the 78th percentile. TTM ROE is about 9.3%.
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Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 91th percentile, above most peers.
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Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 32th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $131.9M.
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Signals are active now. Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.
Historical evidence
Signals active now
Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
EPS surprise beat
Active · now 13.450292397660817%Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 73.9%, Sample 23, Median +5.51%, Excess +3.39%, Beat mkt rate 73.9%；60-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 22, Median +3.82%, Excess +4.49%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%；120-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 22, Median +10.7%, Excess +5.52%, Beat mkt rate 59.1%
120 days after: historical avg +12.16%
20-day +4.9%
60-day +6.8%
120-day +12.16%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
73.9%
63.6%
72.7%
Sample
23
22
22
Median
+5.51%
+3.82%
+10.7%
Excess
+3.39%
+4.49%
+5.52%
Beat mkt rate
73.9%
63.6%
59.1%
Over 22 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 12.16%, beat the market by 5.52 pts; win rate 72.7%.
Valuation regime and forward returns
Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.
0-20 +40.4%
20-40 +44%
40-60 +62.1%
60-80 +49.8% Now
80-100 +25.7%
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 314 | +40.4% | +36.1% | 81.8% | +23.2% |
| 20-40 | 38 | +44% | +46.2% | 94.7% | +12.5% |
| 40-60 | 44 | +62.1% | +50.8% | 100% | +32.8% |
| 60-80 You are here | 265 | +49.8% | +48.1% | 100% | +31.7% |
| 80-100 | 937 | +25.7% | +24.1% | 90.7% | +15.2% |
Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.
Current TTM P/E is about 54.48, placing it in the 66.6 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.
Valuation × momentum analogs
Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+10.3%
164d
+29.4%
180d
+12.8%
794d
60-day momentum down
+18.2%
171d
Now
+31.4%
44d
+18.5%
365d
Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 44 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 31.4%, win rate 100%, beat the market by 28.8%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Market-wide momentum baseline
Across 97,878 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.26%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +2.90 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.
Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Signals not active now
Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.
52-week adjusted-price high
PendingAdjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.8%, win rate 56%, beating the market by +3.69 pts on average.
Top-quintile 6-month momentum
PendingThe stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.
15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.36%, win rate 84.6%, beating the market by +1.93 pts on average.
Method and limits
- Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
- Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
- Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
- The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
- Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
- Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.