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RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.

Financial Services

45.48 +1.64 +3.74% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -39.7%
Open
43.62
High
45.90
Low
43.29
Prev close
43.84
Volume
2.4M
Amplitude
5.95%
P/E
45.8
P/B
11.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+9.8%
52W 29.28 58.94

Is Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 45.78 81th percentile Expensive
Price / book 11.91 93th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 9.41 80th percentile Top
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 43.35 91th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 19.53 71th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 15.39 70th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 9.77 60th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 131.81 86th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Good, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -1.11 64th percentile Good
240-day return (%) -21.52 31th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 81,143,515 85th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 37.69 43th percentile Good

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN) peers and tracking

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Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 89.47%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

13 historical occurrences (since 2022-01-20)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 12, Median -0.19%, Excess -1.06%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%

60-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 12, Median -1.6%, Excess -2.58%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%

120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +1.58%, Excess -1.98%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%

120 days after: historical avg +0.57%

20-day +0.33%
60-day -0.44%
120-day +0.57%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
33.3%
66.7%
Sample
12
12
12
Median
-0.19%
-1.6%
+1.58%
Excess
-1.06%
-2.58%
-1.98%
Beat mkt rate
58.3%
41.7%
41.7%

Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 0.57%, lagged the market by 1.98 pts; win rate 66.7%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 5.07%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

8 historical occurrences (since 2021-09-01)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 7, Median +1%, Excess +0.79%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

60-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 7, Median +3.44%, Excess +14.26%, Beat mkt rate 85.7%

120-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median +7.74%, Excess +10.39%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +9.38%

20-day +1.03%
60-day +12.88%
120-day +9.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
71.4%
50%
Sample
7
7
6
Median
+1%
+3.44%
+7.74%
Excess
+0.79%
+14.26%
+10.39%
Beat mkt rate
42.9%
85.7%
66.7%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.38%, beat the market by 10.39 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here0Insufficient data
20-40 0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 159-27.4% -23.1% 0% -43.9%
80-100 148-33.8% -29.5% 0% -52.5%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 45.78, placing it in the 19.9 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(11d)
-11.4%
Win rate 29.6% Excess -17.7%
135d
60-day momentum down
Now
Insufficient data
(7d)
+2.8%
Win rate 67.5% Excess -7.2%
114d
-26%
Win rate 0% Excess -33.4%
160d

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.12%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -3.29 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.34%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by -6.42 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.