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SHAK Shake Shack Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

70.48 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -47.2%
Open
71.12
High
71.67
Low
69.19
Prev close
70.51
Volume
954.9K
Amplitude
3.52%
P/E
64.7
P/B
5.2
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+15.4%
52W 51.60 107.46

Is Shake Shack Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 64.66 87th percentile Expensive
Price / book 5.23 83th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.99 54th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but Operating margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 8.4 61th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 4.81 46th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 3.91 48th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 15.38 69th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 375.15 93th percentile Top
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Good, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) 0.34 69th percentile Good
240-day return (%) -22.16 31th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 86,339,874 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 43.17 49th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Shake Shack Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Shake Shack Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Shake Shack Inc.

Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 15.38%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

11 historical occurrences (since 2019-05-06)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -5.53%, Excess -5.29%, Beat mkt rate 18.2%

60-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -8.29%, Excess -10.59%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%

120-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -9.39%, Excess -6.47%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%

120 days after: historical avg -3.72%

20-day -5.03%
60-day -7.24%
120-day -3.72%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
27.3%
27.3%
36.4%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
-5.53%
-8.29%
-9.39%
Excess
-5.29%
-10.59%
-6.47%
Beat mkt rate
18.2%
27.3%
36.4%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 3.72%, lagged the market by 6.47 pts; win rate 36.4%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here0Insufficient data
20-40 12Insufficient data
40-60 52+14.7% +9.1% 59.6% +0.8%
60-80 367-16.1% -17.2% 26.4% -32%
80-100 71+75.5% +84.3% 100% +50.4%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 64.66, placing it in the 15.6 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
-31%
Win rate 0% Excess -42.9%
70d
-4%
Win rate 46.9% Excess -7.4%
64d
-3.6%
Win rate 49.3% Excess -11.8%
225d
60-day momentum down
-23.7%
Win rate 17.7% Excess -32.1%
62d
+17.7%
Win rate 60.9% Excess +11%
115d
+16.2%
Win rate 79.1% Excess +0.5%
86d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 70 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 31%, win rate 0%, lagged the market by 42.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.46%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +6 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.29%, win rate 72.7%, beating the market by +5.3 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

36 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.57%, win rate 42.4%, beating the market by -4.16 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.