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SPHR

Sphere Entertainment Co. Communication Services As of 2026-06-18
Quality Weak
Valuation Expensive
Risk Moderate
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration
157.33 Close (USD)
+37.02% 60-day
  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 25th percentile. TTM ROE is about 5.3%.
  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 94th percentile, above most peers.
  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 67th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $101.7M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Weak Valuation
36
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

36 Weak
TTM P/E 81.7
Expensive
Price / book 2.51
Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 5.91
Good

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

7 historical occurrences (since 2023-07-07)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 6, Median +13.19%, Excess +8.95%, Beat mkt rate 83.3%；60-day: Win 80%, Sample 5, Median +22.81%, Excess +18.99%, Beat mkt rate 80%

60 days after: historical avg +22.23%

20-day +10.89%
60-day +22.23%
20-day
60-day
Win
83.3%
80%
Sample
6
5
Median
+13.19%
+22.81%
Excess
+8.95%
+18.99%
Beat mkt rate
83.3%
80%

Over 5 occurrences, 60-day forward avg gained 22.23%, beat the market by 18.99 pts; win rate 80%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 89.49152542372882%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

10 historical occurrences (since 2022-02-11)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 70%, Sample 10, Median +4.04%, Excess +8.76%, Beat mkt rate 70%；60-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +5.83%, Excess +6.68%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 70%, Sample 10, Median +13.38%, Excess +11.25%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +16.16%

20-day +7.87%
60-day +8.1%
120-day +16.16%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70%
60%
70%
Sample
10
10
10
Median
+4.04%
+5.83%
+13.38%
Excess
+8.76%
+6.68%
+11.25%
Beat mkt rate
70%
50%
50%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.16%, beat the market by 11.25 pts; win rate 70%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 21.621450560095102%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 historical occurrences (since 2021-12-31)

Over 5 occurrences, 20-day forward avg declined 1.98%, lagged the market by 0.99 pts; win rate 60%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +14.77%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +7.81 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.