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STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Industrials

345.91 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +78.0%
Open
353.96
High
363.76
Low
338.97
Prev close
373.66
Volume
964.8K
Amplitude
6.63%
P/E
19.4
P/B
7.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+93.1%
52W 281.58 1,006

Is Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey, Momentum: Weak.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 19.41 51th percentile Pricey
Price / book 7 88th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4.45 64th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 36.76 89th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 18.45 70th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 10.89 63th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 93.14 91th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 74.71 81th percentile Top
Momentum Weak 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Lagging.
60-day return (%) -35.47 14th percentile Lagging
240-day return (%) 2.14 53th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 345,916,653 96th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 62.74 66th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) peers and tracking

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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 93.14%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-05-08)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +5.51%, Excess +1.28%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%

60-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +9.73%, Excess +6.52%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120-day: Win 70%, Sample 10, Median +15.54%, Excess +13.26%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +20.65%

20-day +4.03%
60-day +9.32%
120-day +20.65%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
63.6%
63.6%
70%
Sample
11
11
10
Median
+5.51%
+9.73%
+15.54%
Excess
+1.28%
+6.52%
+13.26%
Beat mkt rate
63.6%
54.5%
60%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 20.65%, beat the market by 13.26 pts; win rate 70%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 22.26%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
29 historical occurrences (since 2015-11-09)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 81.5%, Sample 27, Median +6.66%, Excess +7.14%, Beat mkt rate 77.8%

60-day: Win 74.1%, Sample 27, Median +9.85%, Excess +13.08%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120-day: Win 73.1%, Sample 26, Median +21.87%, Excess +19.55%, Beat mkt rate 80.8%

120 days after: historical avg +24.91%

20-day +8.84%
60-day +15.71%
120-day +24.91%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
81.5%
74.1%
73.1%
Sample
27
27
26
Median
+6.66%
+9.85%
+21.87%
Excess
+7.14%
+13.08%
+19.55%
Beat mkt rate
77.8%
66.7%
80.8%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 24.91%, beat the market by 19.55 pts; win rate 73.1%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 94+132.3% +122% 100% +115.3%
20-40 420+74.8% +41.6% 94.3% +67.4%
40-60 168+75.5% +28.1% 87.5% +73.4%
60-80 You are here121+162% +153.9% 100% +139.5%
80-100 470+95.4% +89.1% 98.7% +78.1%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 19.41, placing it in the 61.2 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+43%
Win rate 90.1% Excess +34.1%
283d
+14.3%
Win rate 53.9% Excess +15.2%
217d
+36.3%
Win rate 86.2% Excess +27.6%
585d
60-day momentum down
+32.3%
Win rate 88.1% Excess +32.7%
126d
Now
+91.7%
Win rate 92% Excess +81.2%
75d
+86%
Win rate 99.1% Excess +76.1%
107d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 75 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 91.7%, win rate 92%, beat the market by 81.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.54%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +8.05 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.5%, win rate 67.9%, beating the market by +13.53 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.