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STX Seagate Technology Holdings plc

Technology

593.76 -50.82 -7.88% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +543.7%
Open
645.98
High
646.29
Low
586.88
Prev close
644.58
Volume
5.4M
Amplitude
9.22%
P/E
33.8
P/B
42.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+38.9%
52W 228.61 1,145

Is Seagate Technology Holdings plc a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 33.82 72th percentile Pricey
Price / book 42.85 98th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.96 58th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 127.31 95th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 39.5 88th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 31.73 87th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 38.86 85th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 339.87 93th percentile Top
Momentum Good 240-day return is Top, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -24.37 23th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 151.12 98th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 3,918,893,469 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 68.82 70th percentile Average
FinLab Studio

From Seagate Technology Holdings plc to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Seagate Technology Holdings plc across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Seagate Technology Holdings plc

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) peers and tracking

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Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 38.86%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

3 historical occurrences (since 2025-01-24)

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 295+70.1% +80.2% 90.8% +34.3%
20-40 133+70.3% +71.6% 95.5% +33.5%
40-60 314+30.9% +29.8% 62.4% +15.8%
60-80 240+154.5% -10.4% 40.4% +152.3%
80-100 You are here223+243.7% +194.8% 100% +227.8%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 33.82, placing it in the 85.4 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+25.4%
Win rate 57% Excess +14.1%
165d
+28.7%
Win rate 85.1% Excess +10.6%
242d
+74.2%
Win rate 68.4% Excess +70.5%
418d
60-day momentum down
+39.8%
Win rate 85.4% Excess +18.2%
205d
+9.1%
Win rate 42.1% Excess +9.6%
202d
Now
+57.9%
Win rate 83.9% Excess +51.7%
93d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 93 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 57.9%, win rate 83.9%, beat the market by 51.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.01%, win rate 70.4%, beating the market by +10.87 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.31%, win rate 63.6%, beating the market by +3.16 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

31 times historically; 60-day forward avg +14.71%, win rate 73.3%, beating the market by +11.22 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.