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SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Industrials

103.44 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +25.4%
Open
104.00
High
105.17
Low
101.50
Prev close
103.61
Volume
2M
Amplitude
3.54%
P/E
35.8
P/B
1.7
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-1.4%
52W 61.90 105.17

Is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey, Growth: Weak.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 35.79 74th percentile Pricey
Price / book 1.74 55th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.37 56th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 4.9 53th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 7.7 51th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 2.44 45th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Weak Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -1.4 32th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -310.95 7th percentile Lagging
Momentum Strong 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 3.29 78th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 64.36 91th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 137,525,440 90th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 26.17 29th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) peers and tracking

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Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-13)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 47.4%, Sample 19, Median -0.73%, Excess -3.25%, Beat mkt rate 31.6%

60-day: Win 36.8%, Sample 19, Median -1.8%, Excess -6.32%, Beat mkt rate 26.3%

120-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +1.4%, Excess -8.53%, Beat mkt rate 35.3%

120 days after: historical avg -3.12%

20-day -2.09%
60-day -4.48%
120-day -3.12%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.4%
36.8%
52.9%
Sample
19
19
17
Median
-0.73%
-1.8%
+1.4%
Excess
-3.25%
-6.32%
-8.53%
Beat mkt rate
31.6%
26.3%
35.3%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 3.12%, lagged the market by 8.53 pts; win rate 52.9%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 86.33%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
9 historical occurrences (since 2016-08-30)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 22.2%, Sample 9, Median -0.4%, Excess -2.41%, Beat mkt rate 22.2%

60-day: Win 25%, Sample 8, Median -2.56%, Excess -4.84%, Beat mkt rate 25%

120-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +10.04%, Excess -1.78%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120 days after: historical avg +7.06%

20-day -1.83%
60-day -1.32%
120-day +7.06%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
22.2%
25%
85.7%
Sample
9
8
7
Median
-0.4%
-2.56%
+10.04%
Excess
-2.41%
-4.84%
-1.78%
Beat mkt rate
22.2%
25%
57.1%

Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.06%, lagged the market by 1.78 pts; win rate 85.7%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 468-5.8% -4.6% 45.3% -27%
20-40 153-37% -45.5% 0% -44.9%
40-60 205-16.9% -39.9% 34.6% -17.2%
60-80 62+25.7% +25.9% 100% +2.9%
80-100 You are here56+11.7% +11.3% 78.6% -8.1%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 35.79, placing it in the 96.1 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-2.5%
Win rate 52.1% Excess -15%
192d
-7.4%
Win rate 28.7% Excess -9.8%
157d
Now
+11%
Win rate 87% Excess +1.2%
77d
60-day momentum down
-11.8%
Win rate 35.4% Excess -17.3%
364d
-1.8%
Win rate 43.4% Excess -5.1%
189d
+8.7%
Win rate 69.4% Excess -6.6%
85d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 77 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 11%, win rate 87%, beat the market by 1.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

32 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.18%, win rate 51.7%, beating the market by -0.81 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.