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TNL Travel + Leisure Co.

Consumer Cyclical

80.35 USD 1D +2.06 +2.64% Close 11/10
Since 2024-12-10 +56.9%

Close 11/10

Open
79.13
High
80.41
Low
77.64
Prev close
78.29
Volume
856.17K
Amplitude
3.54%
P/E
21.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.6%
52W 60.34 81.00
FinLab Studio

From Travel + Leisure Co. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Travel + Leisure Co. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Travel + Leisure Co.

Is Travel + Leisure Co. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-11-09

Valuation: Fair, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 21.1 55th percentile · Pricey
Price / book -4.7 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 7.7 76th percentile · Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Good, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -23.3 24th percentile · Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 14.5 63th percentile · Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 8.7 59th percentile · Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.6 47th percentile · Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -38.7 39th percentile · Average
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 4.7 80th percentile · Top
240-day return (%) 23.4 72th percentile · Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 65,006,419.0 83th percentile · Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 32.1 33th percentile · Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-11-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

24 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-24)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 47.8%, Sample 23, Median -1.9%, Excess -1.4%, Beat mkt rate 43.5%

60-day: Win 56.5%, Sample 23, Median +0.3%, Excess -3.5%, Beat mkt rate 39.1%

120-day: Win 59.1%, Sample 22, Median +5.2%, Excess -3.5%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%

120 days after: historical avg +3.4%

20-day -0.5%
60-day -0.5%
120-day +3.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.8%
56.5%
59.1%
Sample
23
23
22
Median
-1.9%
+0.3%
+5.2%
Excess
-1.4%
-3.5%
-3.5%
Beat mkt rate
43.5%
39.1%
45.5%

Over 22 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.4%, lagged the market by 3.5 pts; win rate 59.1%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 7.8%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
22 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-10)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 50.0%, Sample 18, Median -0.1%, Excess -0.3%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 18, Median +6.7%, Excess +0.1%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120-day: Win 50.0%, Sample 18, Median +0.4%, Excess -3.0%, Beat mkt rate 27.8%

120 days after: historical avg +3.4%

20-day +2.5%
60-day +4.8%
120-day +3.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50.0%
66.7%
50.0%
Sample
18
18
18
Median
-0.1%
+6.7%
+0.4%
Excess
-0.3%
+0.1%
-3.0%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
44.4%
27.8%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.4%, lagged the market by 3.0 pts; win rate 50.0%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 37+156.3% +163.7% 100.0% +93.1%
20-40 510+27.0% +26.5% 90.2% +6.2%
40-60 341+23.2% +19.0% 74.2% +6.3%
60-80 171+13.1% +18.4% 76.6% +1.9%
80-100 Now145-23.9% -25.2% 0.0% -10.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 21.05, placing it in the 90.9 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+11.3%
Win rate 90.2% Excess +0.7%
102d
+12.2%
Win rate 62.9% Excess +1.9%
423d
Now
-2.5%
Win rate 50.8% Excess -3.9%
187d
60-day momentum down
+38.8%
Win rate 86.4% Excess +19.2%
273d
+11.7%
Win rate 44.1% Excess +1.7%
213d
+1.0%
Win rate 52.4% Excess +1.4%
126d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 187 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 2.5%, win rate 50.8%, lagged the market by 3.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 100,435 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.41%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.07 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.6%, win rate 60.0%, beating the market by +1.8 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.