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TW Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Financial Services

122.54 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -8.2%
Open
121.01
High
125.54
Low
120.49
Prev close
118.88
Volume
2.7M
Amplitude
4.25%
P/E
28.8
P/B
3.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+14.4%
52W 91.42 127.69

Is Tradeweb Markets Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 28.77 67th percentile Pricey
Price / book 3.89 77th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4.18 63th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong FCF margin, TTM is Top; ROE, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 13.73 74th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 44.55 90th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 47.19 92th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 14.43 68th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 45.89 76th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 18.76 91th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 12.45 65th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 189,603,834 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 26.34 30th percentile Good

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Tradeweb Markets Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Tradeweb Markets Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) peers and tracking

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Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 14.43%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

10 historical occurrences (since 2020-05-12)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 88.9%, Sample 9, Median +8.36%, Excess +2.54%, Beat mkt rate 77.8%

60-day: Win 44.4%, Sample 9, Median -0.29%, Excess -2.67%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 9, Median +5.28%, Excess +1.63%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +7.36%

20-day +6.41%
60-day +1.81%
120-day +7.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
88.9%
44.4%
66.7%
Sample
9
9
9
Median
+8.36%
-0.29%
+5.28%
Excess
+2.54%
-2.67%
+1.63%
Beat mkt rate
77.8%
33.3%
66.7%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.36%, beat the market by 1.63 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here218+33.5% +46.3% 76.6% +14.7%
20-40 291+22.5% +30% 83.2% +3.5%
40-60 289+12.2% +22% 63.7% -5.1%
60-80 85-17.4% -17.9% 0% -32.3%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 28.77, placing it in the 6.6 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
+6.7%
Win rate 65.6% Excess -4.2%
195d
+7.8%
Win rate 76.7% Excess -1.7%
429d
Insufficient data
(1d)
60-day momentum down
+10%
Win rate 64.2% Excess +4.6%
285d
-3.2%
Win rate 44.6% Excess -10.9%
83d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 195 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.7%, win rate 65.6%, lagged the market by 4.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.97%, win rate 73.3%, beating the market by -0.18 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.34%, win rate 69.2%, beating the market by -2.34 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.