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TWLO Twilio Inc.

Technology

207.60 +2.57 +1.25% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +95.1%
Open
203.69
High
217.09
Low
202.65
Prev close
205.03
Volume
4.4M
Amplitude
7.04%
P/E
25.8
P/B
3.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+19.1%
52W 105.00 308.40

Is Twilio Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 25.79 63th percentile Pricey
Price / book 3.46 75th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.88 62th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 13.88 74th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 7.11 50th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 21.12 78th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 19.1 73th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 1,839.02 98th percentile Top
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 6.12 82th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 63.55 91th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 1,194,730,271 99th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 84.18 77th percentile Average

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Twilio Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Twilio Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Twilio Inc.

Twilio Inc. (TWLO) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Twilio Inc. (TWLO) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 19.1%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

17 historical occurrences (since 2018-05-10)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 16, Median +3.24%, Excess +2.36%, Beat mkt rate 68.8%

60-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +3.74%, Excess +5.06%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 15, Median +13.87%, Excess +7.4%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +11.88%

20-day +2.97%
60-day +7.65%
120-day +11.88%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
62.5%
60%
66.7%
Sample
16
15
15
Median
+3.24%
+3.74%
+13.87%
Excess
+2.36%
+5.06%
+7.4%
Beat mkt rate
68.8%
60%
66.7%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.88%, beat the market by 7.4 pts; win rate 66.7%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 12.24%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

36 historical occurrences (since 2016-08-08)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 48.6%, Sample 35, Median -2.83%, Excess +5.67%, Beat mkt rate 48.6%

60-day: Win 60%, Sample 35, Median +7.74%, Excess +11.4%, Beat mkt rate 62.9%

120-day: Win 58.8%, Sample 34, Median +8.46%, Excess +14.56%, Beat mkt rate 44.1%

120 days after: historical avg +21.91%

20-day +7.25%
60-day +14.79%
120-day +21.91%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
48.6%
60%
58.8%
Sample
35
35
34
Median
-2.83%
+7.74%
+8.46%
Excess
+5.67%
+11.4%
+14.56%
Beat mkt rate
48.6%
62.9%
44.1%

Over 34 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 21.91%, beat the market by 14.56 pts; win rate 58.8%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.78%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +13.07 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +33.67%, win rate 69.2%, beating the market by +26.05 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.