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TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated

Technology

300.84 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +57.3%
Open
307.63
High
308.00
Low
294.70
Prev close
312.94
Volume
12.7M
Amplitude
4.25%
P/E
39.0
P/B
14.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+20.3%
52W 152.73 334.03

Is Texas Instruments Incorporated a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 38.97 77th percentile Pricey
Price / book 14.33 95th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.66 57th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 37.08 90th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 40.76 89th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 35.24 88th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 20.27 74th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 41.13 75th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 8.61 84th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 92.97 95th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 2,019,269,752 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 30.6 35th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Texas Instruments Incorporated to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Texas Instruments Incorporated across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) peers and tracking

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Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 20.27%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 historical occurrences (since 2021-07-22)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +1.16%, Excess -1.8%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +6.31%, Excess +4.66%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60 days after: historical avg +7.14%

20-day +0.21%
60-day +7.14%
20-day
60-day
Win
60%
60%
Sample
5
5
Median
+1.16%
+6.31%
Excess
-1.8%
+4.66%
Beat mkt rate
60%
60%

Over 5 occurrences, 60-day forward avg gained 7.14%, beat the market by 4.66 pts; win rate 60%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 7.38%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
29 historical occurrences (since 2015-10-21)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 63%, Sample 27, Median +3.52%, Excess +2.2%, Beat mkt rate 51.9%

60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 27, Median +5.14%, Excess +2.97%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120-day: Win 76.9%, Sample 26, Median +9.8%, Excess +3.17%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120 days after: historical avg +9.8%

20-day +3.64%
60-day +5.65%
120-day +9.8%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
63%
66.7%
76.9%
Sample
27
27
26
Median
+3.52%
+5.14%
+9.8%
Excess
+2.2%
+2.97%
+3.17%
Beat mkt rate
51.9%
66.7%
61.5%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.8%, beat the market by 3.17 pts; win rate 76.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 376+10.4% +4.3% 65.7% -7.6%
20-40 149+27% +20.3% 91.9% +7.4%
40-60 121+10.2% +10.5% 51.2% +4.5%
60-80 184+15.8% +6.5% 54.3% +8.6%
80-100 You are here607+17.2% +11.5% 65.2% +0.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 38.97, placing it in the 92.4 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-1.4%
Win rate 40.3% Excess -6.4%
196d
+11.9%
Win rate 67.3% Excess +7.1%
113d
Now
+10.8%
Win rate 70.4% Excess +0.8%
652d
60-day momentum down
+9.2%
Win rate 64.3% Excess +0.8%
297d
+4.2%
Win rate 40.9% Excess +5.8%
66d
+18.8%
Win rate 77.7% Excess +10.8%
233d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 652 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 10.8%, win rate 70.4%, beat the market by 0.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.41%, win rate 55.2%, beating the market by -1.21 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.96%, win rate 83.3%, beating the market by +2.03 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.