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UI Ubiquiti Inc.

Technology

657.29

Close 10/9

P/E
41.5
P/B
27.6
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Is Ubiquiti Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-09

Quality: Strong, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 41.47 78th percentile Pricey
Price / book 27.62 97th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.28 54th percentile Good
Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 66.68 93th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 36.21 87th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 27.76 84th percentile Top
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top; Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 27.22 80th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 34.66 73th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) 21.05 89th percentile Top
240-day return (%) -10.14 43th percentile Average
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 66,397,865 83th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 40.39 45th percentile Good

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) peers and tracking

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Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) quant signal backtests

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 165+157.3% +171.5% 100% +135%
20-40 162+43.4% +7.1% 61.1% +29%
40-60 354+53.7% +38% 75.1% +45.2%
60-80 You are here278+34.3% +26.9% 61.9% +18.7%
80-100 600+17.6% +2.7% 50.7% +0.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 41.47, placing it in the 76.2 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+67%
Win rate 90.1% Excess +55.3%
91d
+37.5%
Win rate 74.5% Excess +31.2%
239d
Now
+10.7%
Win rate 60.6% Excess +4.6%
578d
60-day momentum down
+13.3%
Win rate 42.2% Excess +1.7%
204d
+19.8%
Win rate 72.6% Excess +17.4%
296d
+4%
Win rate 41% Excess -5.9%
271d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 578 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 10.7%, win rate 60.6%, beat the market by 4.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,394 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.43%, a 58.5% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.92%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +3.89 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +17.11%, win rate 73.1%, beating the market by +14.33 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.65%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +4.95 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.65%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +7.26 pts on average.

Continue researching Ubiquiti Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.