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URBN Urban Outfitters, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

90.72 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +77.7%
Open
92.34
High
93.64
Low
89.75
Prev close
92.19
Volume
809.7K
Amplitude
4.22%
P/E
14.2
P/B
2.7
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+11.0%
52W 59.54 93.64

Is Urban Outfitters, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 14.17 39th percentile Fair
Price / book 2.72 69th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.8 62th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; FCF margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 19.94 82th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 11.33 58th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 4.56 50th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.01 63th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 25.24 69th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 16.8 90th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 47.61 86th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 86,024,537 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 36.58 42th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Urban Outfitters, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Urban Outfitters, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) peers and tracking

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Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

16 historical occurrences (since 2017-12-18)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 15, Median -1.91%, Excess -3.45%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +7.08%, Excess -0.84%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +13.05%, Excess +4.17%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120 days after: historical avg +12.92%

20-day -2.04%
60-day +3.46%
120-day +12.92%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
64.3%
78.6%
Sample
15
14
14
Median
-1.91%
+7.08%
+13.05%
Excess
-3.45%
-0.84%
+4.17%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
50%
57.1%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 12.92%, beat the market by 4.17 pts; win rate 78.6%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 84.55%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
28 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-06)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 40.7%, Sample 27, Median -1.68%, Excess -2.32%, Beat mkt rate 29.6%

60-day: Win 51.9%, Sample 27, Median +0.66%, Excess -0.53%, Beat mkt rate 48.1%

120-day: Win 59.3%, Sample 27, Median +13.56%, Excess -2.67%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%

120 days after: historical avg +5.04%

20-day -1.86%
60-day +1.32%
120-day +5.04%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40.7%
51.9%
59.3%
Sample
27
27
27
Median
-1.68%
+0.66%
+13.56%
Excess
-2.32%
-0.53%
-2.67%
Beat mkt rate
29.6%
48.1%
55.6%

Over 27 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.04%, lagged the market by 2.67 pts; win rate 59.3%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 428+26.7% +39.7% 68.7% +11.4%
20-40 301+35.1% +34.6% 83.4% +15.9%
40-60 You are here425+30.8% +28.7% 96.7% +11.6%
60-80 267+9.1% +22.9% 66.3% -4.4%
80-100 47-33.5% -32.5% 0% -37.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 14.17, placing it in the 51.0 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
-2.5%
Win rate 46.6% Excess -4.9%
174d
Now
+12.8%
Win rate 71.1% Excess +3.7%
446d
-1.1%
Win rate 47.8% Excess -9.1%
186d
60-day momentum down
+24.1%
Win rate 65% Excess +15.8%
505d
+14.8%
Win rate 74.3% Excess +4.4%
253d
Insufficient data
(24d)

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 446 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 12.8%, win rate 71.1%, beat the market by 3.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg -9.09%, win rate 20%, beating the market by -4.92 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.57%, win rate 63%, beating the market by +5.35 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.