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USAR USA Rare Earth Inc

Basic Materials

10.32

Close 10/14

P/B
0.5
52W 9.82 34.03
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Is USA Rare Earth Inc a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-14

Valuation: Fair, Growth: Strong; Momentum: Weak.

Valuation Fair Price / book is Cheap, but Free-cash-flow yield is Average.
TTM P/E -4.3 N/A
Price / book 0.54 17th percentile Cheap
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -5.03 30th percentile Average
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -11.2 29th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 21.92 75th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) -21.16 21th percentile Average
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 5,936.16 97th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 86 83th percentile Top
Momentum Weak All 2 indicators are Lagging.
60-day return (%) -34.68 13th percentile Lagging
240-day return (%) -48.66 19th percentile Lagging
Risk / liquidity Neutral 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 190,174,573 92th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 77.15 74th percentile Average

USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) peers and tracking

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USA Rare Earth Inc (USAR) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 5936.16%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

2 historical occurrences (since 2026-05-14)
More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,465 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.50%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.15 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg -13.64%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -17.7 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.2%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by +2.84 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

Continue researching USA Rare Earth Inc with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.