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VSEC VSE Corporation

Industrials

147.83 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +27.2%
Open
151.92
High
154.90
Low
144.36
Prev close
155.02
Volume
362.7K
Amplitude
6.80%
P/E
54.3
P/B
1.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+31.7%
52W 138.85 247.85

Is VSE Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Growth: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey, Momentum: Weak.

Valuation Pricey Price / book is Fair, but TTM P/E is Expensive.
TTM P/E 54.35 85th percentile Expensive
Price / book 1.41 47th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -0.03 48th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 2.55 46th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 11.16 58th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) -0.08 39th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 31.72 82th percentile Top
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 67.9 80th percentile Top
Momentum Weak 240-day return is Average; 60-day return is Lagging.
60-day return (%) -34.39 15th percentile Lagging
240-day return (%) -13.48 36th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 85,103,859 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 51.22 57th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

VSE Corporation (VSEC) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From VSE Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of VSE Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation (VSEC) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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VSE Corporation (VSEC) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 31.72%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 historical occurrences (since 2020-05-01)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +1.66%, Excess -0.42%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

60-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +7.96%, Excess +1.71%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%

120-day: Win 75%, Sample 8, Median +26.11%, Excess +16.19%, Beat mkt rate 100%

120 days after: historical avg +23.6%

20-day +2.41%
60-day +5.3%
120-day +23.6%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55.6%
55.6%
75%
Sample
9
9
8
Median
+1.66%
+7.96%
+26.11%
Excess
-0.42%
+1.71%
+16.19%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
55.6%
100%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 23.6%, beat the market by 16.19 pts; win rate 75%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 59+199% +207% 100% +132.5%
20-40 45+66.4% +64.7% 100% +25.3%
40-60 33+49.6% +49.7% 100% +30.4%
60-80 You are here491+47.7% +50.7% 99.6% +29.6%
80-100 623+35.4% +36% 75.6% +26.6%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 54.35, placing it in the 62.5 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(18d)
+40.8%
Win rate 100% Excess +22.8%
59d
+21.1%
Win rate 82% Excess +11.8%
893d
60-day momentum down
+68%
Win rate 100% Excess +39.2%
66d
Now
+31.5%
Win rate 100% Excess +23.7%
36d
+15.8%
Win rate 61.5% Excess +14.2%
299d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum down”: across 36 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 31.5%, win rate 100%, beat the market by 23.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

31 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.46%, win rate 63.3%, beating the market by -1.16 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

32 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.8%, win rate 68.8%, beating the market by +2 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.98%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +4.91 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.