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W Wayfair Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

113.14 -2.78 -2.40% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +141.4%
Open
121.00
High
122.12
Low
112.79
Prev close
115.91
Volume
3M
Amplitude
8.05%
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+7.5%
52W 55.60 122.12

Is Wayfair Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good.
TTM P/E -47.16 N/A
Price / book -5.49 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.65 61th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral ROE, TTM is Good, but Operating margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 11.51 69th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 1.74 39th percentile Average
FCF margin, TTM (%) 4.33 50th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 7.46 54th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.83 57th percentile Good
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 11.42 87th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 13.84 66th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 217,637,790 93th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 43.44 49th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Wayfair Inc. (W) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Wayfair Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Wayfair Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Wayfair Inc.

Wayfair Inc. (W) peers and tracking

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Wayfair Inc. (W) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

16 historical occurrences (since 2017-05-02)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 60%, Sample 15, Median +5.7%, Excess +0.79%, Beat mkt rate 60%

60-day: Win 46.7%, Sample 15, Median -10.45%, Excess +1.03%, Beat mkt rate 46.7%

120-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 15, Median +0.36%, Excess +0.96%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120 days after: historical avg +8.13%

20-day +1.8%
60-day +3.68%
120-day +8.13%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
46.7%
53.3%
Sample
15
15
15
Median
+5.7%
-10.45%
+0.36%
Excess
+0.79%
+1.03%
+0.96%
Beat mkt rate
60%
46.7%
40%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.13%, beat the market by 0.96 pts; win rate 53.3%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 95.84%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
14 historical occurrences (since 2017-04-19)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +8.42%, Excess +8.36%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

60-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 13, Median +17.08%, Excess +16.33%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 13, Median +20.51%, Excess +17.02%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120 days after: historical avg +26.9%

20-day +10.9%
60-day +21.55%
120-day +26.9%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
69.2%
69.2%
Sample
14
13
13
Median
+8.42%
+17.08%
+20.51%
Excess
+8.36%
+16.33%
+17.02%
Beat mkt rate
64.3%
61.5%
61.5%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 26.9%, beat the market by 17.02 pts; win rate 69.2%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.07%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +4.63 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +14.73%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +9.32 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.