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WCN Waste Connections, Inc.

Industrials

188.17 +4.08 +2.22% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 -2.2%
Open
183.27
High
188.18
Low
183.27
Prev close
184.08
Volume
1.3M
Amplitude
2.67%
P/E
41.4
P/B
5.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+6.7%
52W 146.89 188.20

Is Waste Connections, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 41.37 78th percentile Pricey
Price / book 5.84 85th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.97 62th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 14.43 75th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 17.8 69th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 18.32 74th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 6.69 53th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 85.42 82th percentile Top
Momentum Good 60-day return is Top; 240-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 9.97 86th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 9.87 63th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 348,685,585 96th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 28.42 32th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Waste Connections, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Waste Connections, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Waste Connections, Inc.

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) peers and tracking

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Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-04)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 75%, Sample 28, Median +1.6%, Excess +0.84%, Beat mkt rate 53.6%

60-day: Win 60.7%, Sample 28, Median +2.69%, Excess +0.1%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 28, Median +6.57%, Excess +1.98%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

120 days after: historical avg +7.38%

20-day +1.94%
60-day +2.33%
120-day +7.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
75%
60.7%
78.6%
Sample
28
28
28
Median
+1.6%
+2.69%
+6.57%
Excess
+0.84%
+0.1%
+1.98%
Beat mkt rate
53.6%
57.1%
64.3%

Over 28 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.38%, beat the market by 1.98 pts; win rate 78.6%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 25Insufficient data
20-40 You are here305+22.8% +24.7% 92.1% -4.6%
40-60 323+8.4% +7.6% 75.2% -5.6%
60-80 450+3.5% +2.6% 60.7% -2.4%
80-100 342+11.4% +19.6% 69.3% -5.6%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 41.37, placing it in the 21.9 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
+4.5%
Win rate 61.9% Excess -4%
84d
+4.4%
Win rate 68.5% Excess 0%
390d
+3.4%
Win rate 60.7% Excess -5.4%
461d
60-day momentum down
+11.4%
Win rate 83% Excess -3.9%
194d
+9.9%
Win rate 90.5% Excess +5.3%
231d
+1.3%
Win rate 32.2% Excess -8.1%
205d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 84 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 4.5%, win rate 61.9%, lagged the market by 4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.69%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by -2.7 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.17%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +1.75 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

18 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.51%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +0.43 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.