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WING Wingstop Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

149.73 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -53.4%
Open
147.12
High
149.94
Low
144.16
Prev close
145.39
Volume
1.6M
Amplitude
3.98%
P/E
35.1
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+6.9%
52W 95.82 302.80

Is Wingstop Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 35.15 73th percentile Pricey
Price / book -5.24 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.88 58th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good Operating margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -15.15 28th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 28.27 82th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 15.97 70th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 6.9 53th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -30.62 42th percentile Average
Momentum Neutral 60-day return is Top, but 240-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) 28.73 95th percentile Top
240-day return (%) -35.23 24th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 179,304,937 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 65.68 68th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Wingstop Inc. (WING) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Wingstop Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Wingstop Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Wingstop Inc.

Wingstop Inc. (WING) peers and tracking

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Wingstop Inc. (WING) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 5.88%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
35 historical occurrences (since 2015-08-06)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 32, Median +2.46%, Excess +1.65%, Beat mkt rate 53.1%

60-day: Win 71.9%, Sample 32, Median +8.25%, Excess -0.11%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120-day: Win 71%, Sample 31, Median +14.17%, Excess +5.94%, Beat mkt rate 61.3%

120 days after: historical avg +13.94%

20-day +4.27%
60-day +4.91%
120-day +13.94%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
68.8%
71.9%
71%
Sample
32
32
31
Median
+2.46%
+8.25%
+14.17%
Excess
+1.65%
-0.11%
+5.94%
Beat mkt rate
53.1%
62.5%
61.3%

Over 31 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.94%, beat the market by 5.94 pts; win rate 71%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here211-6.2% -47.1% 27% -23.6%
20-40 174+46.4% +48.5% 57.5% +36.4%
40-60 338+62.4% +72% 87.6% +42.7%
60-80 257+15.4% +16% 59.9% -3.2%
80-100 449-5.7% -4.6% 43% -16.9%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 35.15, placing it in the 5.0 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
-30.4%
Win rate 1.8% Excess -40.7%
109d
+18.2%
Win rate 69.6% Excess +11.6%
299d
+5.9%
Win rate 63.7% Excess -4.5%
477d
60-day momentum down
+10.2%
Win rate 55.4% Excess +4.7%
305d
+31.2%
Win rate 64% Excess +22.6%
189d
+6.4%
Win rate 57.9% Excess +0.5%
159d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 109 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 30.4%, win rate 1.8%, lagged the market by 40.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.65%, win rate 68.2%, beating the market by +4.57 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.98%, win rate 64%, beating the market by +4.66 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.26%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -4.33 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.