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XEL Xcel Energy Inc.

Utilities

79.33 -0.50 -0.62% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +19.4%
Open
78.37
High
80.21
Low
78.15
Prev close
79.82
Volume
16.2M
Amplitude
2.58%
P/E
18.6
P/B
2.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+4.5%
52W 68.72 84.23

Is Xcel Energy Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey TTM P/E is Fair, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 18.61 50th percentile Fair
Price / book 2.01 60th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -7.16 30th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 10.47 66th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 23.59 76th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) -24.68 22th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 4.53 47th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 29.61 71th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 4.55 80th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 2.12 53th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 413,598,582 96th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 18.91 20th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Xcel Energy Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Xcel Energy Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Xcel Energy Inc.

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Xcel Energy Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 9.35%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
12 historical occurrences (since 2015-01-29)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 30%, Sample 10, Median -0.95%, Excess -3.58%, Beat mkt rate 30%

60-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +0.92%, Excess -5.62%, Beat mkt rate 30%

120-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +1.89%, Excess -8.11%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +2.19%

20-day -0.48%
60-day +0.62%
120-day +2.19%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
30%
60%
55.6%
Sample
10
10
9
Median
-0.95%
+0.92%
+1.89%
Excess
-3.58%
-5.62%
-8.11%
Beat mkt rate
30%
30%
33.3%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.19%, lagged the market by 8.11 pts; win rate 55.6%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here380+15.6% +17.1% 79.7% -4%
20-40 286+10.4% +15.5% 77.3% -6.9%
40-60 277+1.5% +3.7% 54.5% -5.6%
60-80 277+2.7% +4.3% 66.4% -7%
80-100 220-2.4% -1.5% 43.2% -25.1%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 18.61, placing it in the 8.5 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
+7.3%
Win rate 70.6% Excess -0.8%
286d
+2.1%
Win rate 60.6% Excess -1.9%
274d
-4.8%
Win rate 24.9% Excess -12.7%
357d
60-day momentum down
+6%
Win rate 62.5% Excess -5.3%
272d
+7.2%
Win rate 83.4% Excess +0.9%
302d
+10.6%
Win rate 94.2% Excess -6.7%
69d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 286 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.3%, win rate 70.6%, lagged the market by 0.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.11%, win rate 53.6%, beating the market by -2.37 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.23%, win rate 56.2%, beating the market by -3.08 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.51%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +1.79 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.