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YUM Yum! Brands, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

155.40 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +15.6%
Open
156.80
High
157.49
Low
154.90
Prev close
154.55
Volume
2.2M
Amplitude
1.68%
P/E
19.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+10.3%
52W 134.26 170.14

Is Yum! Brands, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 19.52 52th percentile Pricey
Price / book -5.97 N/A
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.96 62th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good Operating margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -31.19 22th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 30.99 84th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 19.25 76th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 10.31 61th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 57 78th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 2.58 76th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 6.33 59th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 351,498,275 96th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 28.01 32th percentile Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Yum! Brands, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Yum! Brands, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) peers and tracking

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Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 10.31%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2021-08-05)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 28.6%, Sample 7, Median -1.4%, Excess -3.59%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%

60-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 7, Median -1.17%, Excess -3.16%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -3.15%, Excess -5.87%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg -1%

20-day -1.48%
60-day -1.09%
120-day -1%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
28.6%
42.9%
33.3%
Sample
7
7
6
Median
-1.4%
-1.17%
-3.15%
Excess
-3.59%
-3.16%
-5.87%
Beat mkt rate
28.6%
42.9%
33.3%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1%, lagged the market by 5.87 pts; win rate 33.3%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here15Insufficient data
20-40 128+19.3% +18.4% 100% +8.2%
40-60 488+10.1% +9.1% 91.2% -2.4%
60-80 294+9.7% +7.5% 76.9% -7.8%
80-100 520+10.1% +4.5% 75.6% -6.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 19.52, placing it in the 16.4 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)
+2.2%
Win rate 61.6% Excess -0.8%
271d
+4.8%
Win rate 63.7% Excess -5.6%
720d
60-day momentum down
+20.5%
Win rate 98% Excess +7.1%
50d
+7.2%
Win rate 68.6% Excess +2.2%
376d
+8.1%
Win rate 83.8% Excess -2.1%
148d

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1%, win rate 72.4%, beating the market by -2.17 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.19%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -6.18 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.33%, win rate 68.4%, beating the market by -0.18 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.