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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 1441 大東. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=1441
1441
quality needs a look, discounted valuation, no active signal today.
Is 大東 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 14th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -10.1%.
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Valuation is low.PE is in the 1th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 48th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 4.6% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -12% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 國泰-敦南 has accumulated 269 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 198 lots, has sold 80%, 40 left, ~133 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.06pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -6 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 國泰-敦南 +269
- 永興 +82
- 國泰-台中 +70
- 元大-虎尾 +48
- 台新-新店 +42
- 國泰-板橋 +40
Distributing
- 凱基-台北 40 left
- 元大證券 16 left
- 統一-城中 20 left
- 元大-北屯 20 left
- 統一-台南 4 left
- 群益金鼎-嘉義 8 left
Desks
- 元大-大灣 -391
- 富邦-木柵 -183
- 台新 -130
- 元大-太平 -94
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 20-40 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 40-60 You are here | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 60-80 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 80-100 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 4.53, at the 48.2th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(0d)
(1d)
(0d)
(9d)
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 63 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 13.5%, win rate 0%, lagged the market by 12.2%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.49%, win rate 44.4%, beating the market by -0.94 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
65 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.6%, win rate 35.2%, beating the market by +4.96 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
37 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.68%, win rate 28.6%, beating the market by -8.05 pts on average.
What does 大東 do? Company profile
Overview
1441 對應之證券為大東紡織股份有限公司普通股，市場別為上市。公司成立於1958年3月15日，總部位於台北市松山區南京東路三段346號3樓，另有越南廠位於越南巴地頭頓省富美市鎮美春工業區。上市日期為1989年10月27日。董事長為陳修忠，總經理兼發言人為陳建州。實收資本額為新台幣717,443,870元，已發行普通股71,744,387股。簽證會計師為資誠聯合會計師事務所。依113年度年報，員工人數於2024年底為544人，至2025年3月30日為537人。主要股東依2025年3月30日年報揭露包含永煌投資股份有限公司24.24%、陳建州5.42%、建宜投資有限公司4.92%、慶宜投資開發股份有限公司4.12%、陳修忠本人3.85%且配偶/未成年子女1.83%、陳建閔3.71%、漢寶農畜產企業股份有限公司2.87%、大鐘印染股份有限公司2.47%、財團法人台中市私立永煌教育基金會2.40%、吳如宇2.32%。
Business
公司主要業務為紡紗與布品兩大範疇，進行OEM/ODM產品設計、研發、生產製造、銷售及貿易買賣。產品包括100%精梳棉紗、CVC、T/C混紡紗、嫘縈紗、客製化紗種、棉胚布、混紡胚布、成品布、針織布、梭織布及各種功能性布品。2024年營收新台幣1,625,979仟元，其中紗類518,419仟元、占31.88%，布類1,107,560仟元、占68.12%；銷售地區以東南亞占77.67%最高，台灣11.99%、中國7.00%、其他3.35%。紗產品用於高級休閒系列服裝布料，布產品用於高級襯衫、運動休閒系列及高級女裝。布品主要客戶為全球知名時尚及運動品牌，年報提及全球戶外或運動品牌如Nike、Under Armour、Adidas等為台灣紡織業目標客戶，但大東年報未揭露個別終端品牌客戶名稱；主要銷貨客戶以代碼揭露，2024年前三大為C100014占19%、C100040占17%、C100083占10%。2025年度合併營收約新台幣15.15億元，毛利約1億元，歸屬母公司淨損約3,131萬元，EPS約-0.45元。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年公司策略重點為優化產品組合、降低棉紗比重、專注特殊紗與環保材質紗、提高混紡紗與功能性差異化產品比重，以改善毛利率；布品事業則強化供應鏈管理、深化品牌客戶服務、擴大品牌客戶訂單、針對目標客戶開發新產品，並建立跨國外包供貨基礎。中長期至2028年的合理觀察重點包括：一、機能性、健康舒適、抗菌、快乾、防水透濕、輕量保溫與戶外運動服飾需求仍是台灣紡織供應鏈的主要成長題材；二、循環永續、環保紗、可回收材料、低碳與符合品牌ESG要求的製程將成為接單門檻；三、越南生產基地與海外供應鏈可受惠於成本、關稅與區域貿易優勢，公司年報明確指出將強化越南生產績效與拓展國際銷售通路；四、布品營收占比已明顯高於紗類，若品牌客戶拓展順利，營收結構可望持續朝較高附加價值布品與客製化機能布轉型。主要風險為原棉、石化化纖、彈性纖維與能源價格波動，印度與東南亞新產能造成價格競爭，歐美消費信心與品牌庫存循環不確定，美中關稅與地緣政治影響供應鏈，匯率與越南子公司融資/背書保證風險，以及公司近年獲利仍不穩定、2025年再度轉虧。
Supply Chain
- 北美、南美、澳洲原棉供應商 大東主要原料之一為原棉，年報揭露原棉主要來自國外，進口來源以北美、南美為主，其餘為澳洲；未揭露具名供應商。
- 國內人造纖維供應廠 大東人造纖維主要向國內供應廠購買，年報未揭露具名供應商。
- 北美及韓國彈性纖維供應商/經銷商 彈性纖維由北美及韓國供應，與經銷商配合並維持一定庫存；未揭露具名公司。
- 遠東新 1402 台股上市紡織與聚酯供應鏈公司，屬台灣化纖/聚酯上游與同業供應鏈參考；未確認為大東直接供應商。
- 台化 1326 台股上市石化與化纖上游公司，屬PTA、化纖等紡織上游供應鏈參考；未確認為大東直接供應商。
- 新纖 1409 台股上市人造纖維/聚酯供應鏈公司，屬紡織上游參考；未確認為大東直接供應商。
- 集盛 1455 台股上市尼龍絲與聚酯加工絲等化纖供應鏈公司，屬紡織上游及同業參考；未確認為大東直接供應商。
- 全球知名時尚及運動品牌 年報揭露布品主要客戶為全球知名時尚及運動品牌，但未揭露具名直接客戶。
- Nike, Inc. 美國上市運動品牌；大東年報以Nike作為台灣紡織業長期目標客戶範例，未確認為大東直接客戶。
- adidas AG 德國上市運動品牌；大東年報以Adidas作為台灣紡織業長期目標客戶範例，未確認為大東直接客戶。
- Under Armour, Inc. 美國上市運動品牌；大東年報以Under Armour作為台灣紡織業長期目標客戶範例，未確認為大東直接客戶。
- 成衣、染整與服飾通路客戶 大東紗及布產品多以半成品供應台灣、日本、歐美、中國大陸、東協等地客戶，再由客戶生產成衣並行銷全球。
Competitors
- 南紡 1440 台股上市紡織纖維公司，產品涵蓋紡紗、布料與相關紡織業務，為同產業比較對象。
- 遠東新 1402 台股上市大型紡織與聚酯供應鏈公司，具垂直整合與化纖布料能力。
- 福懋 1434 台股上市紡織纖維公司，具工業布、布料與染整能力，屬同業比較對象。
- 力麗 1444 台股上市紡織纖維公司，產品涵蓋聚酯加工絲、尼龍與布料相關業務。
- 集盛 1455 台股上市化纖及紡織供應鏈公司，與大東在紗線/纖維供應鏈具競合關係。
- 宜進 1457 台股上市紡織纖維公司，具紡紗及相關紡織業務，為同業比較對象。
- 宏遠 1460 台股上市紡織公司，具布料、染整及成衣一貫化能力，與大東布品事業具競爭性。
- 南緯 1467 台股上市紡織與成衣供應鏈公司，具機能布與成衣相關業務，為下游及同業比較對象。
Sources（9）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.