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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3294 英濟. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3294
3294
quality needs a look, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 英濟 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 12th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -2.8%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 85th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 67th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.0% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -3% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 美商高盛 has accumulated 932 lots since the start (sold 21%), still adding.
- Main distributor 新加坡商瑞銀 peaked at 466 lots, has sold 41%, 273 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +1.01pp, mid holders +1, retail -0.38pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -929 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 美商高盛 +932
- 宏遠-桃園 +517
- 華南永昌-台南 +418
- 統一-台南 +293
- 玉山-板橋 +215
- 康和-台中 +146
Distributing
- 新加坡商瑞銀 273 left
- 台灣摩根士丹利 259 left
- 中國信託-忠孝 70 left
- 統一 145 left
- 玉山-高雄 79 left
- 凱基-竹科 83 left
Desks
- 富邦-台南 -438
- 摩根大通 -383
- 凱基-台北 -382
- 玉山-信義 -354
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 284 | +16.1% | +6% | 52.8% | -9.5% |
| 20-40 | 120 | +12.4% | -2.5% | 46.7% | -8.2% |
| 40-60 | 37 | +39.2% | +35.7% | 100% | -12.8% |
| 60-80 You are here | 185 | +31.4% | +32.1% | 74.1% | -15.3% |
| 80-100 | 151 | +39.8% | +37.5% | 96.7% | +3.3% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 49.14, at the 66.9th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 133 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 46.8%, win rate 72.9%, beat the market by 18.7%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.6%, win rate 26.3%, beating the market by -7.78 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
43 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.21%, win rate 46.3%, beating the market by -6.55 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
54 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.37%, win rate 46.2%, beating the market by -0.78 pts on average.
What does 英濟 do? Company profile
Overview
英濟股份有限公司為台灣上櫃普通股,股票代號3294,英文名稱 Megaforce Company Limited,產業別為電子零組件業。公司於1991/10/15成立,2003/06/30公開發行,2005/10/14興櫃,2007/04/27上櫃掛牌;總部位於新北市中和區建八路16號17樓之4。董事長為徐文麟,總經理為姜同會,發言人為財務長張嘉正。實收資本額約新台幣13.20億元,已發行普通股132,015,919股。公司官網揭露全球員工逾3,000人。主要股東方面,英濟官網揭露截至2024/12/31,英範投資股份有限公司持有38,983,802股、約29.52%,為最大股東;前十大股東還包括英屬維京群島商 Growing Minerals Industry Inc.、徐文麟、員工持股會信託專戶、鄭金鴻、褚敏雄、林金漢、徐婉晟、姜同會、賴俊成等。2024年度合併營收4,312,502千元、歸屬母公司淨利75,623千元、EPS 0.575元;2025年度合併營收3,568,957千元、歸屬母公司淨損64,377千元、EPS -0.488元,顯示2025年受需求放緩、供應鏈重組與轉型投入影響而轉虧。
Business
英濟的核心商業模式是精密塑膠零組件與系統整合製造服務,提供精密塑膠射出成型、微精密模具開發、電子組裝、噴塗印刷、特殊表面處理、材料應用、功能測試與全球運籌等一條龍服務,並由OEM/ODM逐步延伸到機光電整合、整機設計與AI應用。主要產品與服務包括電子塑膠零組件、模具、產品開發、光電產品、生醫材及其他。依年報彙整平台揭露之2025年度產品組合,電子塑膠零組件營收3,206,311千元、占89.84%;生醫材200,783千元、占5.63%;模具85,972千元、占2.41%;產品開發56,141千元、占1.57%;光電產品856千元、占0.02%;其他18,894千元、占0.53%。公司官網說明客戶與終端應用涵蓋全球一線消費性3C品牌、高階電競設備、高端家用影音娛樂設備、車用組件、精密醫材與航太設備等;新事業則包含微型雷射光機、穿戴顯示、HUD、空間感測、醫療輔助、AI會議系統、智慧醫療與藥械合一醫材等。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年已由2024年獲利轉為虧損,主要壓力來自全球需求放緩、供應鏈重組、區域產能調整、轉型升級投入、關稅與匯率波動。2026年公司營業計畫重點是以Value Up為核心,推動品質管理、AI、智能化與ESG整合,深化生醫、光電、AI、電池模組、無人載具等成長型產業布局,並由零組件製造逐步提升到模組化與系統整合;產銷政策包含提高自動化與半自動化比重、導入MES/QM/JDE等系統、優化庫存與呆帳風險、廠區整合移轉與產能重配置、擴展北美與東南亞製造服務能力、強化塑膠材料/複合材料/高分子材料研發、聚焦利基型與高毛利產品。2025至2028年主要成長動能可分為三塊:第一,生醫材與藥械合一產品,包含創奇生醫、精密霧化、輸液用藥械合一、檢測及高階醫材,2024法說摘要稱生醫事業1至11月營收年增約五成、占集團約5%,並有產品於2025年批量供貨規劃;第二,微型雷射光機與3D空間感測,公司稱已有客戶委託開發並預計2025小量產,應用於穿戴裝置、工業自動化、VR/遊戲製作、視網膜投影、HUD等,並引用外部研究稱3D空間感測市場到2028年規模可能超過150億美元、年複合成長率13%至15%;第三,區域化製造與供應鏈韌性,上海廠區升級、馬來西亞/墨西哥/北美與東南亞布局有助分散關稅與地緣政治風險。主要挑戰包括消費電子需求循環性、原物料/能源/物流成本波動、匯率與利率波動、國際關稅與貿易政策、醫材與各國法規認證時程、光電與AI新產品量產良率與客戶驗證不確定性、以及轉型期間費用率與現金流壓力。
Supply Chain
- 長華塑膠 券商公司互動資料列為英濟供應鏈相關廠商;非台股上市櫃或未能確認掛牌代號,推估屬塑膠材料/零組件上游,直接供應關係需再以公司採購揭露確認。
- 國喬石油化學股份有限公司 1312 台股上市石化與塑膠原料公司;券商公司互動資料列名,推估可歸類於塑膠樹脂/石化原料上游,是否為英濟直接供應商未由英濟官方逐筆揭露。
- 工程塑膠、液態矽膠、PCR回收塑料、模具鋼材、塗料與電子元件供應商 依英濟主要製程與技術研發內容推定之上游類別;公司揭露投入LSR、PCR塑料、手感塗料、導電/導熱材料與模具自動化,但未完整公開個別供應商名單。
- Apple Inc. 券商公司互動資料列為客戶;美國上市公司,非台股掛牌。英濟官方僅以全球一線消費性3C品牌等方式描述,未在年報逐名確認主要客戶。
- Logitech International S.A. 券商公司互動資料列為客戶;瑞士/美國掛牌公司,非台股掛牌。終端應用與英濟高階電競設備、消費性電子零組件業務相符,但直接客戶關係仍以券商資料為來源。
- Meta Platforms, Inc. 券商公司互動資料列為客戶;美國上市公司,非台股掛牌。可能對應穿戴/VR/AR與光機模組應用,英濟官方未逐名揭露。
- 全球一線消費性3C品牌、高階電競設備、高端家用影音娛樂設備、車用組件、精密醫材與航太設備客戶 公司官網揭露之下游終端應用與客戶類型;多數未逐名揭露,stock_id不適用。
Competitors
- 東浦精密光電 3290 上櫃公司,業務包含塑膠零組件模具設計製造、塑膠射出成型、塗裝、印刷與組裝加工,與英濟精密塑膠零組件/模具/表面處理業務重疊。
- 新至陞科技 3679 券商公司互動資料列為英濟競爭者;台股掛牌公司,精密塑膠與機構件相關業務具可比性。
- 茂林-KY 4935 券商公司互動資料列為英濟競爭者;台股掛牌公司,光電/導光與機構件供應鏈相關,與部分光電及精密零組件應用重疊。
- 三星科技 5007 券商公司互動資料列為英濟競爭者;台股上市公司,金屬扣件及零組件製造,與英濟在部分機構件/零組件供應鏈可能競爭。
- 鴻準精密工業 2354 StockFeel列為機殼同業競爭對手;台股上市,金屬機構件與精密製造規模大,與英濟在消費電子/機構件供應鏈具競爭或替代關係。
- 可成科技 2474 StockFeel列為機殼同業競爭對手;台股上市,金屬機殼與精密製造業者,與英濟在終端電子機構件供應鏈具可比性。
- 神基控股 3005 StockFeel列為機殼同業競爭對手;台股上市,強固型電腦與機構件相關業務,與英濟部分高階設備/機構件應用具可比性。
- 晟銘電科技 3013 StockFeel列為機殼同業競爭對手;台股上市,機殼與機構件製造,與英濟精密零組件/系統整合業務具競爭關係。
Sources(13)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.