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3296

勝德 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 勝德 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 21Quality 12Growth 69Momentum 74Chips 35

Is 勝德 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 16th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -2.9%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 95th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 91th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.6% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 24.9%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.30
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 康和-永和 holds 1,107 lots
  • sellers have 187 lots left, ~270 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +11% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 康和-永和 has accumulated 1,107 lots since the start (sold 2%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 玉山-雙和 peaked at 117 lots, has sold 57%, 50 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.15pp, mid holders -1, retail -0.22pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -272 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
康和-永和第一金富邦-敦南合庫證券富邦-木柵群益金鼎-敦南
Distributing
玉山-雙和國泰-敦南合庫-台南新加坡商瑞銀新光-台南群益金鼎
Desks
own scale
元大-員林中山台灣摩根士丹利元大-台北凱基-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 康和-永和 +1,107
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 第一金 +176
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-敦南 +160
    sold 23%
  • 合庫證券 +143
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-木柵 +124
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎-敦南 +98
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 玉山-雙和 50 left
    sold 57%· paused recently
  • 國泰-敦南 54 left
    sold 52%· ~270 sessions to clear
  • 合庫-台南 54 left
    sold 35%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 9 left
    sold 88%· paused recently
  • 新光-台南 36 left
    sold 42%· paused recently
  • 群益金鼎 10 left
    sold 83%· ~100 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-員林中山 -413
    unclassified
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -274
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大-台北 -241
    unclassified
  • 凱基-台北 -211
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 187 lots ~270 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,096 absorbed / -149 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -52 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

22 historical occurrences (since 2009-07-24)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 21, Median -3.9%, Excess -1.93%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；60-day: Win 47.6%, Sample 21, Median -0.86%, Excess -6.66%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%；120-day: Win 61.9%, Sample 21, Median +5.2%, Excess -8.61%, Beat mkt rate 38.1%

120 days after: historical avg +1.64%

20-day +0.11%
60-day -0.4%
120-day +1.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
47.6%
61.9%
Sample
21
21
21
Median
-3.9%
-0.86%
+5.2%
Excess
-1.93%
-6.66%
-8.61%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
28.6%
38.1%

Over 21 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.64%, lagged the market by 8.61 pts; win rate 61.9%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 24.95%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

53 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 51.3%, Sample 39, Median +2.27%, Excess +0.85%, Beat mkt rate 48.7%；60-day: Win 43.6%, Sample 39, Median -1.93%, Excess -2.61%, Beat mkt rate 30.8%；120-day: Win 38.5%, Sample 39, Median -5.3%, Excess -10.36%, Beat mkt rate 25.6%

120 days after: historical avg -4.95%

20-day +2.74%
60-day +2.01%
120-day -4.95%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
51.3%
43.6%
38.5%
Sample
39
39
39
Median
+2.27%
-1.93%
-5.3%
Excess
+0.85%
-2.61%
-10.36%
Beat mkt rate
48.7%
30.8%
25.6%

Over 39 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 4.95%, lagged the market by 10.36 pts; win rate 38.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 154+27% +42% 59.1% -20.5%
20-40 186+15.9% +12.2% 57% -10.7%
40-60 340+9.4% +3.4% 61.2% -16.4%
60-80 297+23.6% +8.6% 69.4% -29.9%
80-100 You are here338+15.8% +0.1% 50% -22.2%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 208.46, at the 90.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-7.8%
Win rate 24% Excess -17.4%
121d
+8.1%
Win rate 61.8% Excess -6.8%
309d
Now
0%
Win rate 48.5% Excess -20.9%
235d
60-day momentum down
+15.3%
Win rate 63.2% Excess -7.9%
163d
+8.4%
Win rate 54% Excess -4.5%
298d
+16.1%
Win rate 64.6% Excess -6.6%
308d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 235 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0%, win rate 48.5%, lagged the market by 20.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

35 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.25%, win rate 48.6%, beating the market by -2.56 pts on average.

What does 勝德 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；電源保護器、電源管理與PDU相關產品 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

3296 對應證券為勝德國際研發股份有限公司，屬台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司於2000/11/14設立，總部與登記地址位於新北市中和區中山路二段407號10樓；2004/03/29興櫃、2005/03/16上櫃、2007/12/31轉上市。董事長兼總經理為周義雄。實收資本額新台幣967,244,500元，已發行普通股96,724,450股。2024年報列示截至2025/03/30員工109人；部分金融資料庫列示約168人，推測因母公司/合併或更新口徑不同。2024年報揭露主要股東包括景泓投資7.32%、周義雄6.93%、周品均5.70%、郭清泉4.91%、葉麗蓮4.48%、周其尚4.33%、江玉蓮4.26%、富成投資4.24%、陳大宇3.72%、葉百駿3.23%。主要子公司/關係企業包含DIGITAL WORLD INC.、BEST WISDOM LIMITED、Hurray Cloud Technology、TREASURE LUCK INC.、SURGELION INT'L LTD.、東莞相關營運公司、Vietnam Hong Fu Electric、Sheng Shing Vietnam-Haiduong Technology等，持股多為100%。

Business

勝德定位為電源保護與智能用電產品研發、設計、製造商，商業模式以台灣母公司接單、海外子公司與生產基地製造為主，生產基地布局中國東莞與越南海陽省。核心產品包括資訊週邊防雷擊電源插座、帶線/壁插式突波保護器、電源控制中心、視聽音響電源濾波器、物聯網智慧家庭用電安全產品、USB PD充電器與多功能擴充充電器、Mini UPS、機架式/高效率智慧PDU。2024年產品營收結構為資訊週邊防雷擊電源插座新台幣1,016,693千元、占62.59%；視聽音響電源濾波器271,546千元、占16.72%；物聯網智慧家庭用電安全產品254,333千元、占15.66%；其他81,672千元、占5.03%。2024年地區營收以美洲為主，新台幣1,179,149千元、占72.59%；亞洲314,078千元、占19.34%；歐洲131,017千元、占8.07%。主要終端應用包含電腦/資訊/通訊/消費性電子/精密電子設備之防突波與EMI保護，高階音響、數位電視與家庭劇院之電源濾波，智慧家庭RF遙控電源與安全系統，資料中心、AI伺服器機房與邊緣運算機櫃之PDU與遠端電力監控。2024年主要客戶年報以代號揭露，客戶D占21.00%、客戶A占11.14%，未揭露真實公司名稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年主要成長動能來自AI伺服器與資料中心用電密度提升，帶動高功率、三相平衡、智慧監控PDU需求；公司已布局資料中心與邊緣運算PDU，並強調高功率60A/100A、鎖定式Combo IEC插座、遠端監控、Redfish/DCIM相容、非自損式突波保護與可更換MOV模組等功能。2024年底法說資料與新聞指出PDU產品已送樣客戶認證，管理層對2025營運審慎樂觀；2025年法說整理顯示公司持續推進HPC/邊緣AI PDU、Pro AV電源調節、USB PD 20W至240W充電器、Mini UPS與能源管理產品。越南海陽省智慧工廠具SMT與DIP產線，可降低中國製造集中與美國關稅風險，並承接EMS/PCBA製程需求。中長期產業趨勢包括AI資料中心高功率化、邊緣運算節點增加、影音/商用Pro AV對穩定乾淨電力的需求、智能電網與ESG能源管理。主要風險包括產品認證與客戶導入時程不確定、主要客戶集中且年報未揭露名稱、北美市場占比逾七成造成景氣與通路風險、匯率與關稅變動、中國/越南跨國生產管理、原物料與電子零組件價格波動、PDU市場與電源供應器/資料中心基礎設施大廠競爭、2026Q1財報曾出現毛利率下滑與單季虧損，顯示新產品放量前仍有獲利波動。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 主要供應商A（年報未揭露名稱） 2024年主要供應商占採購金額18.94%，年報僅以代號A揭露，未揭露是否上市櫃；供應內容推估與電源保護器/PDU所需零組件、線材、插座、塑膠件、電子元件或PCBA相關。
  • MOV與突波保護元件供應商群 勝德產品含可更換MOV模組與非自損式突波保護設計；具體供應商未公開，可能包含壓敏電阻、保護元件、保險絲、繼電器、電源管理IC等未上市或國內外供應商。
  • 線材、插座、塑膠件與PCBA代工/材料供應商群 公司產品包含電源線、插座、壁插、電源控制中心、充電器與PDU，年報說明多數原材料由子公司自行採購、關鍵原料由母公司代採，供應穩定；具名供應商未揭露。
  • 越南與東莞生產子公司 集團內部製造與採購節點，包含東莞相關營運公司、Vietnam Hong Fu Electric、Sheng Shing Vietnam-Haiduong Technology等，非台股掛牌；負責海外生產、SMT/DIP與PCBA製程。
Downstream
  • 主要客戶D（年報未揭露名稱） 2024年最大客戶，占營收21.00%，與發行人無關係；公司未公開真實名稱，推測為北美或國際品牌/通路客戶。
  • 主要客戶A（年報未揭露名稱） 2024年第二大客戶，占營收11.14%，與發行人無關係；公司未公開真實名稱，可能屬電源保護、消費電子、Pro AV或通路品牌客戶。
  • 北美、歐洲、澳洲與亞洲品牌/通路客戶 勝德2024年美洲營收占72.59%，亞洲19.34%、歐洲8.07%；產品銷往資訊、通訊、消費電子、影音、智慧家庭、企業與工業電力管理等終端市場，客戶多未揭露。
  • 資料中心、AI伺服器與邊緣運算系統客戶 PDU與高功率智慧配電產品鎖定AI伺服器機房、資料中心與邊緣運算機櫃；目前公開資訊以送樣/認證與產品布局為主，具體客戶未揭露。
  • Pro AV專業影音品牌客戶 法說整理提及公司專業影音電源產品與市場上多數主流品牌有合作關係，但未列名；屬非公開或海外品牌客戶為主。

Competitors

  • 台達電 2308 台股上市公司，電源供應器、資料中心電源與能源管理大廠，於高功率電力管理與PDU相關領域具競爭性。
  • 光寶科 2301 台股上市公司，電源供應器與電源管理產品大廠，為廣義電源供應器競爭對手。
  • 飛宏 2457 台股上市公司，電源供應器、充電器與電源轉換產品供應商，與勝德USB PD充電器/電源產品部分重疊。
  • 新巨 2420 台股上市公司，電源供應器廠商，屬廣義電源供應器同業。
  • 飛瑞 2411 台股上市公司，UPS與電源保護相關廠商，與勝德Mini UPS及電源保護產品存在部分競爭。
  • 環科 2413 台股上市公司，電子零組件與電源相關產品同業。
  • 聯昌 2431 台股上市公司，電源供應器相關同業，屬廣義競爭者。
  • 首利 1471 台股上市公司，部分資料庫列為勝德電源供應器同業競爭者；實際產品重疊度需再依最新業務結構確認。
  • Schneider Electric 法國上市公司，資料中心PDU、UPS與能源管理國際大廠，非台股掛牌。
  • Eaton 美國上市公司，UPS、PDU與電力管理國際大廠，非台股掛牌。
  • Legrand 法國上市公司，機櫃PDU與資料中心基礎設施供應商，非台股掛牌。
  • CyberPower Systems UPS、突波保護與PDU品牌商，台灣未上市公司或海外品牌通路，非台股掛牌。
Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.