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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3520 華盈. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3520
3520
quality needs a look, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 華盈 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 22th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.6%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 96th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 84th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.7% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +4% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 元大-斗信 has accumulated 281 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 富邦-台北 peaked at 327 lots, has sold 25%, 245 left, ~34 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.91pp, mid holders -5, retail +4.65pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -737 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 元大-斗信 +281
- 華南永昌-虎尾 +244
- 美好-楊梅 +241
- 元大-太平 +166
- 國票-博愛 +150
- 宏遠-中和 +139
Distributing
- 富邦-台北 245 left
- 國泰-敦南 52 left
- 凱基-城中 51 left
- 華南永昌-鶯歌 77 left
- 富邦-敦南 23 left
- 富邦-八德 14 left
Desks
- 元大-沙鹿 -749
- 凱基-台北 -561
- 永豐金-南投 -418
- 台灣摩根士丹利 -409
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 229 | -8.6% | -12.3% | 21.8% | -32% |
| 20-40 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 40-60 | 59 | +31.2% | +32.8% | 100% | -9.1% |
| 60-80 | 131 | -3.2% | -9.4% | 45.8% | -37% |
| 80-100 You are here | 192 | -10.5% | -15.7% | 26.6% | -29.3% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 160.0, at the 84.4th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(0d)
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 167 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 4%, win rate 47.9%, lagged the market by 18.9%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.91%, win rate 45%, beating the market by +7.44 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
70 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.26%, win rate 47.1%, beating the market by -2.04 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
37 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.9%, win rate 37.8%, beating the market by -7 pts on average.
What does 華盈 do? Company profile
Overview
華盈電子股份有限公司,前身為振維電子,成立於1986年2月21日,2007年10月12日上櫃,2020年更名為華盈電子並遷址至新北市三重區重新路五段609巷18號6樓。公司英文簡稱 JVE,統一編號22071540,實收資本額新台幣688,467,780元,已發行普通股68,846,778股。公司官網揭露全球總部位於新北市三重區,生產與營運據點包含台灣、中國大陸淮安、新北中和國智電子事業處、雲林華盈能源事業處,2024年設立泰國子公司 JVE (THAILAND) CO., LTD.。董事長資訊:公司沿革顯示2026年董事長由廖振仲接任;部分2024年年報仍為魏良全,屬年報時點差異。總經理資訊:鉅亨網與部分股市資料顯示林名宏,富邦/部分資料曾顯示柳夜沙,2026年6月10日另有總經理異動公告,原始公告細節未完整取得,故列為需持續核對事項。2024年年報揭露合併員工296人,截至2025年5月13日為313人;平均年齡約42.32歲、平均服務年資約4.08年。2025年5月26日前十大股東包括永鼎投資有限公司10,374,629股、持股15.07%;樺泰管理顧問有限公司6,359,230股、持股9.24%;莊惠真1.74%;劉學鶯1.67%;張秋月1.30%;蓋士昇1.08%;林金池1.04%;楊定憲1.03%;吳勝聰0.97%;林永偉0.92%。公司100%持有國智電子股份有限公司,透過集團架構持有淮安振維電子有限公司,並持有泰國子公司65%;華盈能源已於2024年6月30日與母公司簡易合併。
Business
華盈為營運公司,主要業務為電子零組件生產、製造、銷售,電子零組件後段加工,以及太陽能光電發電系統開發、規劃、施工、運營。2024年營收為新台幣1,097,794仟元,年增31.26%;營收結構為電子零組件793,764仟元、占72.31%;電子零組件後段加工206,428仟元、占18.80%;能源97,602仟元、占8.89%。電子零組件產品包括各類電源線、訊號連接線組、Lightning Cable、USB Type-C、USB傳輸線、信號轉接線、Power cord cable、RF Cable、SATA Cable、車用線材與新開發應用產品,應用於消費電子、工業電子、醫療與車用產品。後段加工透過國智電子事業處提供電子產品代工 OEM、SMT、DIP、測試、塗膠、組裝、包裝等服務,應用於各類PCB與電子產品。能源業務包括太陽能電廠售電、電廠興建與長期維運的系統整合服務,官網列有多個屋頂型太陽能案場案例。2024年銷售區域以中國65.43%最高,台灣22.04%,美國9.74%,其他2.79%。主要銷貨客戶未揭露名稱,以代號A、B、C揭露;2024年前兩大客戶分別占34.49%與33.94%,均為電子零組件客戶,客戶集中度偏高。商業模式為接單設計/製造線材與連接線組、提供電子製造後段加工服務、以及投資/建置/維運太陽能電廠並取得售電或工程服務收入。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025至2028年展望以三條主線觀察。第一,電子零組件與線材業務:公司年報指出將拓展新市場產品應用、爭取新客源訂單、強化主要客戶策略合作,產品朝輕、薄、短、小與環保材料方向發展,配合客戶產品演進提供新規格高階產品;由於主要客戶多為電子大廠,若消費電子、工業電子、醫療、車用及AI/邊緣運算等終端需求回升,線材與連接線組有機會受惠。第二,製造效率與全球布局:公司計畫提高自動化製程比重、導入或升級資訊系統與MES、改善製程並降低對直接人工依賴;2024年設立泰國子公司,年報亦提到積極建立東南亞據點,以降低區域風險並就近服務客戶。第三,能源業務:在台灣淨零與綠電需求下,公司認為太陽能光電電廠售電、綠電交易、垂直整合與維運服務是新成長動能;公司已運營多座太陽能電廠並提供電廠建置與運營服務。短中期財務訊號方面,2025年全年營收約12.04至12.08億元、較2024年增加,但2025年EPS約為負值;2026年前5月累計營收約5.22億元,年增約15.04%,顯示營收仍成長,但2026年第1季EPS約-0.07元,獲利仍需觀察。主要風險包括:銅材、金屬與塑膠材料價格波動;新台幣匯率升值造成毛利率與匯兌損失壓力;人工成本上升與價格競爭;前兩大電子零組件客戶合計占比偏高;太陽能案場土地/屋頂資源有限且競爭激烈;美中貿易、關稅與供應鏈重組風險;中國經濟疲弱、地緣政治與全球景氣循環;以及公司管理階層2026年異動後的策略延續性。2027至2028的具體財務預測公司未公開揭露,本段為根據年報策略、產業趨勢與已揭露營收推估,非公司財測。
Supply Chain
- 華新麗華 1605 年報風險段落指出電子零組件事業群生產所需銅料主要購自華新麗華集團;華新麗華為台股上市公司,屬銅材/金屬材料上游供應來源。
- 太陽能電池模組、發電設備與建築材料供應商 年報僅以類別揭露能源業務上游為太陽能電池模組、發電設備、建築材料,未揭露具名供應商。
- 半導體、金屬塑膠元件、韌體及電子零組件供應商 年報以類別揭露後段加工上游,未揭露具名供應商;供應商包含半導體、金屬塑膠元件、韌體與電子零組件等。
- 主要電子大廠客戶A與B 年報以代號揭露,未公布實名;2024年前兩大電子零組件客戶分別占合併銷貨34.49%與33.94%,屬消費電子、工業電子、醫療或車用等終端製造客戶。
- 台灣電力公司 能源業務下游包含台電、自營電廠與售電轉供服務業者;台電為國營事業、未上市櫃。
- 西螺瑞春醬油觀光工廠 官網列為華盈能源事業處太陽能案場案例;非台股上市櫃公司。
- 台中台農鮮乳廠 官網列為華盈能源事業處太陽能案場案例;非台股上市櫃公司。
- 普大應用材料 官網列有斗六普大應用材料案場;未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
Competitors
Sources(17)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.