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4973

廣穎電通 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, fair valuation.

2 active signals

252d high Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 廣穎電通 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 廣穎電通 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~92% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 20.7%.
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 46th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 75th percentile.
Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.7% of volume (net sell).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 187.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.22

BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish
元大-北屯 holds 346 lots
sellers have 1,397 lots left, ~388 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +228% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 元大-北屯 has accumulated 346 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 1,481 lots, has sold 82%, 262 left, ~5 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.76pp, mid holders -2, retail +0.85pp — little change.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,996 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

元大-北屯華南永昌-小港台新-大裕永豐金-大園統一-板橋群益金鼎

Distributing

摩根大通港商野村台灣摩根士丹利統一-南京元大證券富邦-台中

Desks

own scale

富邦證券凱基-台北富邦-仁愛新光

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

元大-北屯 +346

sold 0%
華南永昌-小港 +246

sold 0%
台新-大裕 +235

sold 13%
永豐金-大園 +168

sold 0%· still adding
統一-板橋 +167

sold 0%· still adding
群益金鼎 +159

sold 9%· still adding

Distributing

摩根大通 262 left

sold 82%· ~5 sessions to clear
港商野村 104 left

sold 88%· ~27 sessions to clear
台灣摩根士丹利 451 left

sold 38%· paused recently
統一-南京 238 left

sold 30%· ~28 sessions to clear
元大證券 49 left

sold 80%· ~12 sessions to clear
富邦-台中 74 left

sold 69%· paused recently

Desks

富邦證券 -2,304

unclassified
凱基-台北 -1,542

day-trade · selling pressure
富邦-仁愛 -881

unclassified
新光 -718

unclassified

Still selling 1,397 lots ~388 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +1,607 absorbed / -1,360 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -502 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

18 historical occurrences (since 2016-05-26)

120 days after: historical avg +14.45%

20-day +10.78%

60-day +20.77%

120-day +14.45%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

83.3%

64.7%

53.3%

Sample

Median

+5.29%

+11.77%

+3.99%

Excess

+8.39%

+14.02%

+4.53%

Beat mkt rate

72.2%

58.8%

46.7%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 14.45%, beat the market by 4.53 pts; win rate 53.3%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 187.19%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

35 historical occurrences (since 2012-06-19)

120 days after: historical avg -3.19%

20-day +6.11%

60-day +12.26%

120-day -3.19%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

44.8%

40.7%

36%

Sample

Median

-1.09%

-3.5%

-7.42%

Excess

+5.29%

+6.62%

-11.67%

Beat mkt rate

41.4%

29.6%

20%

Over 25 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 3.19%, lagged the market by 11.67 pts; win rate 36%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 +62%

20-40 +29%

40-60 +24.3%

60-80 +1.9% Now

80-100 +18.4%

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	291	+62%	+35.9%	88.7%	+31.4%
20-40	241	+29%	+25.2%	74.3%	+0.5%
40-60	271	+24.3%	-2.8%	41.7%	-3.1%
60-80 You are here	264	+1.9%	-4.2%	38.6%	-16.6%
80-100	1000	+18.4%	+4.1%	59.6%	+5.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 20.37, at the 75.3th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+33.3%

Win rate 93.1% Excess +25.8%

231d

+8.9%

Win rate 56.2% Excess -5%

493d

Now

+6.6%

Win rate 43.2% Excess -1.3%

572d

60-day momentum down

+6.7%

Win rate 71.5% Excess -2.3%

200d

+67%

Win rate 28.3% Excess +34.4%

92d

+26.5%

Win rate 57% Excess +17.2%

598d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 572 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.6%, win rate 43.2%, lagged the market by 1.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

42 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.67%, win rate 56.1%, beating the market by +1.12 pts on average.

What does 廣穎電通 do? Company profile

半導體業；記憶體模組、NAND Flash 儲存裝置與自有品牌通路櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

4973 對應廣穎電通股份有限公司，證券簡稱廣穎，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司成立於 2003 年 2 月 18 日，2012 年 6 月 19 日上櫃，總部位於台北市內湖區洲子街 106 號 7 樓，主要生產據點依 MoneyDJ 資料為新北市汐止區。英文全名 Silicon Power Computer & Communications Inc.，自有品牌為 Silicon Power / SP。董事長為陳慧民；總經理資料在不同來源有差異：櫃買中心與玩股網顯示陳慧民，Goodinfo 曾顯示缺額待補，故以官方櫃買中心與公司公開頁面較優先，但在 notes 標示待持續確認。實收資本額約新台幣 6.53 億元，已發行普通股約 65.29 百萬股，特別股 0 股。員工規模公開徵才資料與公司 LinkedIn 貼文約 400 人以上，屬非財報精確數。主要股東依公司股東資訊頁：矽創電子股份有限公司持有 4,198,701 股、6.42%；兆豐國際商業銀行受託陳慧民信託財產專戶持有 950,000 股、1.45%；陳慧民持有 732,566 股、1.12%；兆豐國際商業銀行受託信託財產專戶－袁培榮持有 609,000 股、0.93%。公司在荷蘭、日本、美國、香港及印度設立子公司或據點，產品銷售至全球超過 100 個國家。2024 年合併營收約新台幣 43.99 億元，2025 年合併營收約新台幣 42.58 億元、EPS 2.11 元；2026 年 1 至 5 月累計營收約新台幣 36.62 億元、年增約 98.67%。

Business

廣穎是記憶體與儲存裝置品牌商及模組廠，主要營業項目為快閃記憶體相關產品、記憶體模組、資料儲存與電子零組件之製造及買賣。主要產品包括記憶卡、隨身碟、DRAM 記憶體模組、SSD 固態硬碟、外接式硬碟、讀卡機、行動電源及工業用記憶體與工業級儲存產品。MoneyDJ 依 2024 年資料列示產品營收比重為：NAND Flash 快閃記憶體產品 68%、DRAM 模組 16%、其他 16%（含外接式硬碟、SSD 等）；另 2025 年新聞指出公司產品結構中 NAND Flash 模組占比較高，Flash 產品仍占營收過半，DRAM 為另一主要業務。商業模式以自有品牌 Silicon Power 銷售為核心，透過全球代理商、經銷商、電商與區域子公司推廣，並逐步強化工控、電競、高速數位影像、創作者與嵌入式應用等利基市場。2024 年主要銷售區域比重依 MoneyDJ 為亞洲 34%、美洲 30%、歐洲 24%、台灣 8%、大洋洲 3%、其他 1%。公司不屬晶圓製造或記憶體原廠，關鍵競爭力在於採購 DRAM/NAND 顆粒、模組設計、韌體與測試、工業級產品驗證、品牌與通路管理、庫存與價格週期控管。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望以記憶體循環、產品組合升級與工控利基化為主軸。成長動能包括：一、NAND Flash 與 DRAM 原廠減產及 AI 伺服器、資料中心帶動高階記憶體需求，造成供給偏緊與價格上行，對模組廠 ASP 與庫存評價有利；二、SSD 容量提升、外接式高速 SSD、CFexpress、microSD Express、PCIe Gen 5 SSD、DDR5 與電競超頻記憶體等新規格提高單價；三、公司明確表示將提升 DDR5 模組比重，削弱 DDR3/DDR4 舊世代投入，並強化電競、數位影像與工控市場；四、工控市場自 2025 年底至 2026 年初需求改善，部分客戶因原廠 DDR4 供應縮減轉向模組廠，工控應用可能成為 2026 至 2028 年較穩定的結構性機會；五、全球通路與自有品牌覆蓋超過 100 國，有利於在記憶體價格上行期轉嫁成本並放大營收。風險與挑戰包括：一、記憶體價格高度循環，若 2027 至 2028 年原廠擴產或需求轉弱，ASP、毛利率與庫存評價可能反轉；二、廣穎規模小於威剛、創見、Kingston 等競爭者，對採購條件、供貨穩定與通路議價較敏感；三、消費性記憶卡與隨身碟長期需求成熟或萎縮，需靠 SSD、工控、影像創作與高階 DRAM 補位；四、工控導入週期長，設計導入、認證與客戶轉換速度不一定能快速反映在營收；五、新台幣匯率、美元採購成本、地緣政治、出口市場景氣與記憶體原廠供貨策略皆會影響獲利。2027 至 2028 年公司未公開具體財測或擴產數字，因此相關展望屬依產業趨勢與公司既有策略推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream

三星電子全球 DRAM 與 NAND Flash 原廠，屬記憶體模組產業上游；非台股掛牌，廣穎未公開揭露個別採購占比。
SK hynix 全球 DRAM 與 NAND Flash 原廠，屬記憶體模組產業上游；韓國上市，非台股掛牌，廣穎未公開揭露個別採購占比。
Micron Technology 全球 DRAM 與 NAND Flash 原廠，屬記憶體模組產業上游；美國上市，非台股掛牌，廣穎未公開揭露個別採購占比。
Kioxia 全球 NAND Flash 原廠，屬 SSD、記憶卡與隨身碟上游；日本公司，非台股掛牌，廣穎未公開揭露個別採購占比。
SanDisk NAND Flash 與儲存品牌競爭者兼產業上游供給來源之一；美國上市或海外掛牌，非台股掛牌，未確認為廣穎直接供應商。
南亞科 2408 台股上市 DRAM 廠，屬記憶體模組產業上游；未確認為廣穎直接供應商。
華邦電 2344 台股上市記憶體廠，產品涵蓋利基型 DRAM、Flash 等，屬產業上游；未確認為廣穎直接供應商。
群聯 8299 台股上櫃 NAND 控制晶片與儲存方案公司，屬 SSD、記憶卡與隨身碟控制器上游；未確認為廣穎直接供應商。

Downstream

全球代理商與經銷商通路廣穎以 Silicon Power 自有品牌透過區域子公司、代理商、經銷商與電商銷售至全球超過 100 國；公司未公開逐一揭露主要客戶名稱。
消費性電子與 PC 零售市場下游應用包含個人電腦、筆電升級、電競主機、外接儲存、記憶卡、隨身碟與一般消費者資料儲存需求；多為通路與終端消費者，非單一掛牌公司。
工業電腦與嵌入式系統客戶工業級 DRAM 模組、工業級 SSD、工業級記憶卡、客製化服務之下游客戶，涵蓋工控、嵌入式、邊緣運算、監控與長生命週期設備；公司未揭露主要客戶名稱。
專業影像與內容創作者市場 CFexpress、microSD Express、高速外接 SSD 等產品面向 4K/8K 錄影、相機、行動影像創作與高容量資料備份需求；屬終端應用市場而非單一公司。

Competitors

威剛 3260 台股上櫃記憶體模組與 SSD 品牌商，DRAM 模組、Flash 模組、SSD 與消費性儲存產品均與廣穎競爭。
創見 2451 台股上市記憶體模組、儲存裝置與工控儲存品牌商，與廣穎在記憶卡、SSD、DRAM 模組及工業級產品競爭。
宇瞻 8271 台股上櫃記憶體模組與工控儲存廠，與廣穎在 DRAM 模組、Flash 模組、SSD 與工業應用競爭。
品安 8088 台股上櫃 DRAM 模組與記憶體相關產品廠，MoneyDJ 列為 DRAM 與 Flash 模組競爭者。
宜鼎 5289 台股上櫃工業級記憶體與嵌入式儲存廠，在高毛利工控與邊緣應用市場與廣穎部分競爭。
十銓 4967 台股上櫃記憶體模組、電競記憶體與 SSD 品牌商，與廣穎在消費與電競記憶體市場競爭。
Kingston 全球大型記憶體模組與儲存品牌，未在台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 列為 DRAM 模組與硬碟相關競爭者。
SanDisk 全球 Flash 儲存品牌，未在台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 列為 Flash 模組競爭者。
Samsung Electronics 韓國上市記憶體原廠與消費儲存品牌，非台股掛牌；在 SSD、記憶卡與儲存品牌市場與廣穎競爭。

Sources（16）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.