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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6195 詩肯. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6195
6195
steady quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 詩肯 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 74th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 5.7%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 27th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 72th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.5% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 兆豐-台中港 has accumulated 172 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 105 lots, has sold 48%, 55 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders +0, retail +0.00pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -53 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 兆豐-台中港 +172
- 彰銀 +67
- 合庫-台中 +67
- 富邦-樹林 +61
- 台新 +48
- 元大-草屯 +41
Distributing
- 凱基-台北 55 left
- 第一金-自由 52 left
- 國泰-桃園 9 left
- 華南永昌-彰化 2 left
- 統一-內湖 4 left
- 富邦-新店 4 left
Desks
- 新光 -121
- 凱基-三重 -73
- 玉山-台南 -49
- 玉山-景美 -45
Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 491 | -1.3% | -0.6% | 45.4% | -8.9% |
| 20-40 | 728 | -9.2% | -11.2% | 28.2% | -16.5% |
| 40-60 | 781 | +7.1% | +6.4% | 55.2% | -7.6% |
| 60-80 You are here | 537 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 45.3% | -18% |
| 80-100 | 426 | -9.9% | -20.3% | 18.5% | -42.5% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 15.34, at the 71.5th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 318 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 4.9%, win rate 39.9%, lagged the market by 11%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.19%, win rate 65.2%, beating the market by +3.16 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
61 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.03%, win rate 51.8%, beating the market by +5.36 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
39 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.09%, win rate 57.9%, beating the market by +0.39 pts on average.
What does 詩肯 do? Company profile
Overview
詩肯股份有限公司，統一編號89403884，成立於1995/10/09，前身為旭展電子股份有限公司，2010年更名為詩肯股份有限公司並轉型為品牌家具連鎖門市；2000/07/13公開發行，2002/05/17興櫃，2002/10/21上櫃。總部位於桃園市龜山區頂湖一街69號。董事長為林福勤，總經理為謝秀珠，發言人為何山壯。實收資本額約新台幣5.019億元，已發行普通股50,192,942股，特別股0股。公司主要業務為品牌家具連鎖門市業務；法說資料列示員工人數約466人，104人力銀行揭露員工數約400人，兩者口徑可能不同。主要股東與董監持股方面，公開資料可確認英屬維京群島商NOBLE LINK MANAGEMENT LTD.持股15,049,125股並由林福勤代表；Yahoo股市揭露董監持股比例約34.46%；另可確認總經理謝秀珠持股約1,247,860股、林杰人於2026年董事改選資料持股2,028,200股。公司重要子公司包括Nova Furnishing Holdings Pte. Ltd.，所在地新加坡，主要為投資與家具零售事業。
Business
詩肯為台灣連鎖家具通路商，採品牌化、直營門市與百貨/商場通路並行的零售模式，收入主要來自終端消費者購買家具與寢具。旗下品牌包括詩肯柚木Scanteak（北歐風格柚木實木家具）、詩肯居家Scanliving（皮沙發、現代家具、床墊、系統櫃等）、詩肯睡眠/床墊相關品牌、諾雅家具NOVA（2019年併購的新加坡家具品牌，定位中低價與訂製家具），並導入德國Nolte/CS Schmal系統家具與規劃法蘭克名牀等產品線。產品包括沙發、桌椅、床架、床墊、衣櫃、收納櫃、沙發布套與居家生活家具。MoneyDJ資料顯示2024年產品營收比重約為客廳組62%、房間組17%、餐廳組11%、床墊10%；區域別約內銷67%、外銷33%。2025年法說摘要指出品牌結構約為詩肯柚木30%、詩肯居家27%、NOVA約三分之一、床墊9%至10%。公司主要由印尼進口柚木半成品，再交由工廠製造，產品設計及工廠由新加坡團隊負責，台灣端以直營門市、百貨商場專櫃/快閃、購物中心與官方網站銷售。公司官網稱全球在德國、新加坡、台灣、日本、馬來西亞、美國等地有超過150間零售分店與旗艦店，台灣門市超過120間；惟2025年新聞與法說摘要顯示台灣實際營運門市約83至87店，可能因統計口徑、品牌別與時點不同而有差異。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年公司面臨台灣房市交易量低迷、消費信心偏弱、租金與人事費用上升等壓力；2025年全年營收約22.07億元，年減約3.57%，全年EPS約0.99元。2026年初營運明顯回溫：2026年1至5月累計營收約10.74億元，年增約14.79%；2026年第1季營收約7.04086億元，毛利率約58.04%，歸屬母公司淨利約7,530萬元，EPS約1.50元，年增約114%。成長動能包括：一、NOVA新加坡體質調整與費用率改善，2026年第1季獲利顯著改善；二、通路結構由街邊店逐步轉向百貨、購物中心與賣場，提高坪效並接近人流；三、法蘭克名牀與床墊/皮沙發等新產品線延伸客群；四、台南新倉儲投資約6億元，若順利投入營運，有助強化南台灣物流效率與供貨能力；五、短影音與社群行銷若能有效導客，可降低對傳統家具街與房市成交的依賴。2026至2028年較可能的策略方向是審慎展店、淘汰坪效較差或停車不便街邊店、擴大商場通路、提升同店銷售、複製新品牌成功模式並改善NOVA獲利能力。主要風險包括房市買賣移轉與交屋量不如預期、民眾耐久財消費縮手、百貨抽成與租金成本侵蝕毛利、匯率與海運/木材成本波動、印尼柚木與合法永續木材供應風險、NOVA整合與台灣展店測試不如預期，以及家具市場高度分散、電商與平價家具競爭加劇。2027至2028具體財務預測公司未公開，以上展望屬根據已揭露策略與產業趨勢之研究推估。
Supply Chain
- 印尼柚木半成品供應商 公司主要由印尼進口柚木半成品，屬非台股掛牌供應來源；涉及木材合法、永續與匯率/運費風險。
- 新加坡詩肯集團設計與製造團隊 MoneyDJ資料指出產品設計及工廠由新加坡團隊負責，非台股掛牌。
- Nolte Group／CS Schmal 德國系統板材家具商，詩肯引進其旗下CS Schmal品牌，作為系統家具產品供應與品牌合作來源；非台股掛牌。
- f.a.n. Frankenstolz／法蘭克名牀 德國名床品牌，詩肯規劃導入並於百貨通路測試新品牌；非台股掛牌。
- 台灣終端家庭消費者 主要客戶群，包含新婚、換屋、裝修、自住剛性需求與中高消費族群；非公司法人客戶。
- 新光三越 百貨商場與專櫃/快閃合作通路，未上市櫃。
- 遠東百貨 2903 百貨商場通路之一；台股上市公司，與旗下百貨/商場體系可提供家具品牌專櫃與人流。
- 遠東SOGO百貨 百貨商場合作通路，未上市櫃，屬遠東集團百貨體系。
- 微風集團 百貨與購物中心通路，詩肯曾於微風南京等通路測試NOVA門市；未上市櫃。
- 新加坡NOVA門市與消費者 透過子公司Nova Furnishing Holdings Pte. Ltd.經營新加坡家具零售市場；子公司與消費者均非台股掛牌。
Competitors
- 米羅柚木 台灣柚木家具品牌，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 皇朝傢俬 家具品牌/通路，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 皇齊柚木 柚木家具業者，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 美克家居 中國家具業者，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 新麗屋 家具與居家通路業者，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 優渥實木 台灣實木家具品牌，非台股上市櫃；MoneyDJ列為競爭者。
- 來思達 8066 台股上櫃家具/家居相關貿易公司，可作同產業財務比較，但商業模式較偏家具外銷與貿易，與詩肯台灣零售通路不完全相同。
- 床的世界 台股掛牌家具寢具零售同業，與詩肯床墊、寢具與家具零售業務有部分競爭。
- 寶雅 5904 台股上櫃居家生活/生活用品零售通路，非直接家具品牌同業，但在居家生活消費與零售通路類股中常被作為類別比較。
Sources（19）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.