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8080
steady quality, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 泰霖 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 70th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.2%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 100th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.1% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -39% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 群益金鼎-敦南 has accumulated 209 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 群益金鼎 peaked at 149 lots, has sold 31%, 103 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.01pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -43 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 群益金鼎-敦南 +209
- 群益金鼎-館前 +151
- 台灣企銀-九如 +128
- 元大-長庚 +102
- 富邦-建國 +94
- 玉山證券 +88
Distributing
- 群益金鼎 103 left
- 凱基-台北 44 left
- 永豐金-彰化 31 left
- 台灣企銀-竹北 21 left
- 永豐金-羅東 6 left
- 元大-彰化 8 left
Desks
- 新光 -243
- 凱基-新莊 -167
- 台新-松江 -161
- 凱基-和平 -120
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 20-40 | 4 | Insufficient data | |||
| 40-60 | 11 | Insufficient data | |||
| 60-80 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 80-100 You are here | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 1397.5, at the 94.7th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(0d)
(19d)
(0d)
(0d)
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 74 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 1.9%, win rate 51.4%, lagged the market by 41.1%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.16%, win rate 35.7%, beating the market by -4.4 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
83 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.79%, win rate 32.9%, beating the market by -7.49 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +19.82%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by +16.85 pts on average.
What does 泰霖 do? Company profile
Overview
8080 為櫃買中心掛牌之上櫃普通股，現名泰霖事業股份有限公司，前身為印鉐事業股份有限公司，櫃買中心公告其於 2025-01-20 起以更名後新股票開始櫃檯買賣。公司成立於 1993-12-06，2004-05-10 上櫃，總部位於台北市中山區植福路308號3樓；董事長劉東嶽、總經理張志弘、發言人蕭美智。最新可查之股本資料約為實收資本額新台幣 671,638,210 元、已發行普通股 67,163,821 股；法說簡報曾列 631,638,210 元，推測係不同時點資料。公司網站揭露/市場資料顯示主要業務為營建剩餘土石方資源處理，2025 年起新增建材經銷、匯流排系統相關業務。104人力銀行資料列資本額約6.3億元、員工數約20人。主要股東方面，公開董監持股資料顯示豐盛投資股份有限公司約持有 32,300 張、持股 48.09%，總經理張志弘約持有 3,700 張、持股 5.51%；鉅亨網亦列前十大持股約 53.6%、外資持股約 0.1%。
Business
泰霖目前定位由原電子零組件代理商轉型為土方工程、營建剩餘土石方資源處理與建材經銷公司。土石方處理包含整地開挖、搬運、棄土、清運，以及將開挖或拆除工程產生之剩餘土石方送往核准土石方處理場或再利用設施；公司法說列舉承攬工程包含北投區文承路、新莊區中華路、板橋區光復街、士林區美崙街、中正區南陽街、信義區基隆路等工程。公司亦從事收容證明經銷業務。2025 年前三季營業收入 149,921 千元，其中土石方處理 134,644 千元，約占 89.8%；建材經銷 15,277 千元，約占 10.2%；其他 27 千元。2025 年全年合併營收 202,128 千元，年增 25.24%。建材經銷主軸為鋁製或銅鋁導體匯流排系統，產品用於建築配電，可取代部分傳統電纜，訴求節省管道空間、模組化安裝、降低材料與施工成本、較佳散熱與安全性；法說資料列出台中市西屯區、台南市安南區、高雄市前金區等匯流排工程實績。商業模式主要來自工程承攬、土石方處理/收容證明服務與建材經銷；個別主要客戶未在已查資料中完整揭露，終端應用以住宅、商辦、公共或民間建築基礎工程與機電配電工程為主。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 年公司營收回升，全年營收 2.02128 億元、年增 25.24%，且前三季毛利率由 2024 年度 14.23% 提升至 21.50%；主要動能來自土方工程收入增加與新增建材經銷。2026 年起的關鍵外部變數是內政部國土管理署自 2026-01-01 實施營建剩餘土石方全流向管理政策，要求清運車輛 GPS 與電子聯單，理論上有利合規處理、收容與流向管理業者提高需求與議價，但短期也可能造成清運車輛、合法去化量能、工地施工進度與成本波動。公司法說表示將把土石方分類、加工轉化為可再利用再生材料，回售給開發商或營造廠，並從前期土方基礎工程延伸到後期匯流排機電系統，形成「從開工挖土到完工通電」的營造週期滲透。建材業務方面，2025 年引進國際匯流排系統，2026 年起規劃擴展建材市場，並評估室內裝潢建材如天花板、地板、壁板、衛浴設備、浴櫃、馬桶等，以提供建案更完整方案。2027-2028 年展望屬推估：若土方全流向制度持續落實、都更危老與公共工程維持、匯流排與室內建材取得更多實績，公司可能由單一土方收入轉為土方、再生材料、機電建材與室內建材多元收入；但目前未查得公司公開揭露明確 2027-2028 年營收目標、產能或長約。主要風險包括營建景氣與房市管制影響開挖案量、土資場與清運量能不足、政策執行調整、工程認列時點波動、建材新品開發不確定、公司規模小且營收基期低、主要股東持股集中、股價可能先反映題材而非實際獲利。
Supply Chain
- 建築工地、建設公司與營造廠 土方工程與營建剩餘土石方來源及工程發包方；公司法說未揭露個別主要上市櫃客戶名稱。
- 合法土石方收容處理場所與再利用機構 土石方清運後之收容、暫存、分類、加工與再利用協力節點，多為地方核准場域或未上市業者。
- 匯流排系統原廠與銅、鋁、鋁鎂合金導體/外殼供應商 建材經銷業務上游；公司法說提及引進國際匯流排系統，但未揭露原廠名稱與供應合約。
- 開發商與營造廠 土石方處理服務、再生材料回售及建材方案之主要需求端；個別客戶未完整公開。
- 住宅、商辦與公共工程建案之機電承包商 匯流排系統與配電建材之下游客戶或施工整合方；法說列台中、台南、高雄工程實績但未揭露業主。
- 建案室內裝修與衛浴建材通路 公司規劃 2026 年起擴展室內建材品項，屬未來潛在下游，實際合作對象尚未查得。
Competitors
- 可寧衛 8422 上市廢棄物處理與環保服務公司，市場新聞將其與泰霖同列土方/廢棄物流向管理題材；核心業務與營建剩餘土石方並非完全相同，屬相鄰競爭/替代性處理服務。
- 崑鼎 6803 上櫃環保工程與廢棄物處理營運商，與泰霖在環保處理、資源循環與合規服務題材上相鄰，但主業差異大。
- 日友 8341 上櫃廢棄物清除處理公司，與泰霖在廢棄物/資源處理產業鏈上相鄰，但並非純土石方處理同業。
- 大同 2371 上市電力設備與電纜/匯流排相關產品供應商；在匯流排、配電設備或機電建材市場可能與泰霖建材經銷業務形成競合。
- 士電 1503 上市重電與配電設備公司，與匯流排、配電設備、機電工程市場相關；屬泰霖匯流排/建材經銷業務的廣義競爭者。
- 華城 1519 上市重電設備公司，主要在電力設備與配電市場競爭，與泰霖建材經銷之機電配電應用有部分市場重疊。
Sources（16）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.