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8240

華宏 Optoelectronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal

Foreign buy

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 華宏 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 華宏 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 39th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.8%.
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 62th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 90th percentile.
Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.3% of volume (net buy).
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Foreign net buying 5 straight days are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.42

BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish
元大-基隆 holds 298 lots
sellers have 558 lots left, ~88 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +30% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 元大-基隆 has accumulated 298 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 813 lots, has sold 82%, 143 left, paused recently.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -2.23pp, mid holders +0, retail +0.42pp — little change.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -666 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

元大-基隆兆豐-天母富邦-台北元大-南京第一金-新興永豐金證券

Distributing

凱基-台北國票證券台新摩根大通港商野村美商高盛

Desks

own scale

新光群益金鼎-市府凱基-鳳山群益金鼎-鳳山

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

元大-基隆 +298

sold 0%
兆豐-天母 +191

sold 15%
富邦-台北 +137

sold 11%· still adding
元大-南京 +132

sold 0%
第一金-新興 +119

sold 0%· still adding
永豐金證券 +119

sold 9%

Distributing

凱基-台北 143 left

sold 82%· paused recently
國票證券 334 left

sold 56%· paused recently
台新 423 left

sold 32%· paused recently
摩根大通 166 left

sold 72%· paused recently
港商野村 108 left

sold 79%· paused recently
美商高盛 101 left

sold 72%· paused recently

Desks

新光 -1,573

unclassified
群益金鼎-市府 -545

unclassified
凱基-鳳山 -476

unclassified
群益金鼎-鳳山 -427

unclassified

Still selling 558 lots ~88 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +436 absorbed / -428 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -260 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Active · now 12%

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

45 historical occurrences (since 2012-06-15)

120 days after: historical avg +3.61%

20-day +0.16%

60-day -2.48%

120-day +3.61%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

45.5%

37.2%

39.5%

Sample

Median

-1.11%

-4.88%

-4.48%

Excess

-1.17%

-4.6%

-7.34%

Beat mkt rate

45.5%

34.9%

32.6%

Over 43 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.61%, lagged the market by 7.34 pts; win rate 39.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 +38.6%

20-40 +14.8%

40-60 -2.8%

60-80 +0.9%

80-100 +6.3% Now

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	480	+38.6%	+33.9%	95%	+10.3%
20-40	340	+14.8%	+2.8%	61.5%	0%
40-60	333	-2.8%	-6.6%	36.9%	-25.5%
60-80	802	+0.9%	-0.8%	48.4%	-19.7%
80-100 You are here	533	+6.3%	+8.2%	67.5%	-7.8%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 30.77, at the 90.5th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

+19.4%

Win rate 80.6% Excess +9.7%

433d

+9.7%

Win rate 65.3% Excess -2.1%

320d

Now

-6.2%

Win rate 35.5% Excess -15%

609d

60-day momentum down

+17.9%

Win rate 81.2% Excess +4.7%

368d

-0.8%

Win rate 45.7% Excess -9.7%

317d

+2.7%

Win rate 51.5% Excess -8.3%

559d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 609 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 6.2%, win rate 35.5%, lagged the market by 15%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.33%, win rate 52.2%, beating the market by -7.21 pts on average.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Pending

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

64 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.01%, win rate 40.9%, beating the market by -6 pts on average.

What does 華宏 do? Company profile

光電業；光學膜片、精密塗佈與高機能材料上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

8240 對應證券為華宏新技股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司成立於1973年8月9日，總部位於高雄市前金區中正四路235號11樓之6-7室，主要工廠包含高雄楠梓廠與台南官田廠，並於中國大陸、馬來西亞、印尼等地設有生產據點。公司於2005年6月23日上櫃；多數股市資料揭露資本額約新台幣10億元。2026年6月可查資料顯示董事長為張尊賢，總經理為林志明；林志明於2025年5月27日接任總經理。2024年年報揭露截至2025年3月31日集團員工合計1,847人。主要股東方面，2024年年報董事資料顯示華立企業持有約27.13%，寶廣投資約1.43%，張瑞欽約0.92%；此為年報揭露時點資料，非即時股東名冊。公司歷史從聚酯樹脂、玻璃纖維等複合材料起家，2000年前後切入TFT-LCD背光模組光學膜片材料，現為背光模組光學膜片後段裁切與加工重要廠商。

Business

華宏的營運公司屬性明確，核心商業模式為材料開發、採購、精密塗佈、裁切、印刷、背膠、貼合、成型加工與就近供貨服務，服務面板、背光模組、觸控、車用、電子電機、半導體製程與散熱應用客戶。2024年年報揭露產品營收結構為LCD材料新台幣61.50億元、占81.87%；BMC材料及成型品新台幣9.92億元、占13.21%；其他新台幣3.70億元、占4.92%。主要產品包括LCD背光模組用反射片、擴散膜與擴散板、增亮膜、複合膜、無鎘量子點膜、偏光膜、導光板；精密塗佈產品如防爆膜、保護膜、螢幕保護貼、硬化膜、OCA與專業塗佈代工；BMC材料與成型品如汽車前燈反射鏡、光學引擎基座與精密成型材料；高機能工程塑膠如Dry BMC、DAP、導電與抗靜電工程塑膠，應用於IC tray、Socket、LCD tray、通訊盒、汽車與電子電器零件。2024年銷售區域以中國大陸為主，占75.82%；台灣占21.05%；其他地區占3.13%。年報揭露公司LCD材料合作涵蓋京東方、群創、LG Display、友達、華星光電等全球主要TFT-LCD面板客戶；但最近二年度無任一客戶占銷貨總額10%以上。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028展望可分為成熟本業穩定化與新材料轉型兩條線。LCD光學膜片方面，傳統TV與Monitor背光材料已進入成熟期，且中國大陸反射膜、擴散膜、增亮膜等材料自製率提升，造成價格與毛利壓力；但LCD在電視、顯示器、車載、工控、醫療等中大尺寸應用仍有成本優勢，車用顯示、AIoT、工控與醫療顯示可支撐高規格光學材料需求。公司策略為降低傳統低毛利產品比重，轉向車載、工控、高性能、低碳光學膜、量子點膜與多功能複合膜。2026年可查法說與新聞資料顯示，公司預期光電材料持平，智慧電表、PCB加工等新應用量產，機能材料、精密塗佈、熱導材料穩定成長，營收有恢復成長機會；MoneyDJ報導亦指出2026年規劃擴產量子點膜。年報揭露多項預計2026年量產或推進的新產品，包括大尺寸反射式顯示器用多色光學膠、建築帷幕節能光學膜、半導體製程用UV解黏膠、LED製程用熱解黏膠、DAP電源變壓器骨架、BMC再製低碳材料、IC Tray新規格材料、UI馬達與力量傳感器。2027至2028缺乏公司明確量化財測，合理觀察重點為：新塗佈線與高附加價值材料是否放量、量子點膜與車載/工控導入速度、半導體與LED製程用膠材客戶認證進度、BMC低碳再製材料與電動車零組件應用是否形成規模。主要風險包括面板景氣循環、陸系供應鏈低價競爭、原料價格與匯率波動、終端消費電子需求偏弱、車用與半導體材料認證期長、海外產能管理與地緣政治/關稅不確定性。

Supply Chain

Upstream

華立企業股份有限公司 3010 主要股東與集團關係企業；華立為電子材料通路商，年報揭露其持有華宏約27.13%。是否為華宏特定原料供應商未於年報以名稱確認。
台、日、韓、中、美光學膜與化工材料供應商年報指出公司與台灣、日本、韓國、中國大陸及美國供應商建立長期策略夥伴關係；主要原物料包括擴散膜、反射片、增亮膜、複合膜、貼合膜、偏光片、擴散板、導光板、不飽和聚酯樹脂、DAP成型材料等，但年報以代號A、B揭露主要供應商，未公開實名。
長興材料工業股份有限公司 1717 台股掛牌樹脂與電子材料廠；與華宏BMC、工程塑膠、精密塗佈所需樹脂/化學材料屬上游相鄰供應鏈。未查得華宏年報公開確認其為直接供應商，列為供應鏈參考而非確認交易對象。

Downstream

京東方科技集團中國大陸上市面板廠；華宏年報列為LCD材料業務涵蓋的全球TFT-LCD面板主要客戶之一。
群創光電股份有限公司 3481 台股上市面板廠；華宏年報列為LCD材料業務涵蓋的全球TFT-LCD面板主要客戶之一。
友達光電股份有限公司 2409 台股上市面板廠；華宏年報列為LCD材料業務涵蓋的全球TFT-LCD面板主要客戶之一。
LG Display 韓國上市面板廠；華宏年報列為LCD材料業務涵蓋的全球TFT-LCD面板主要客戶之一。
TCL華星光電中國大陸TCL集團旗下未單獨台股掛牌面板廠；華宏年報列為LCD材料業務涵蓋的全球TFT-LCD面板主要客戶之一。
汽車、電子電機、LED照明、通訊與半導體製程客戶 BMC材料、工程塑膠、精密塗佈與散熱材料下游應用族群；公司產品用於汽車前燈反射鏡、電源變壓器骨架、IC tray、Socket、通訊盒、製程保護膜、UV/熱解黏膠等，年報未逐一揭露客戶實名。

Competitors

友輝光電股份有限公司 4933 上櫃公司，主要經營LCD背光模組零組件與聚光片，與華宏光學膜/背光材料業務具產品與客戶重疊。
明基材料股份有限公司 8215 上市公司，主要產品含偏光板、機能膜與光學相關材料；在偏光片、機能膜、精密塗佈等領域與華宏部分產品相鄰或競爭。
誠美材料科技股份有限公司 4960 上市公司，偏光板與顯示材料廠；與華宏偏光膜、LCD顯示材料供應鏈有相鄰競爭關係。
達邁科技股份有限公司 3645 上櫃公司，PI薄膜與高性能薄膜材料廠；與華宏精密塗佈、高性能光學/電子材料屬相鄰競爭與替代材料觀察對象。
中國大陸光學膜廠商年報指出中國大陸反射膜、擴散膜、增亮膜等產能已躍升世界第一，低價競爭使LCD光學材料市場競爭更激烈；多數非台股掛牌或未具體揭露名稱。

Sources（15）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.