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1529

樂事綠能 Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 樂事綠能 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 60Quality 54Growth 95Momentum 14Chips 65

Is 樂事綠能 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 61th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.5%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 45th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 9th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 158.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.29
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 台新-大昌 holds 800 lots
  • sellers have 604 lots left, ~270 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +0% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台新-大昌 has accumulated 800 lots since the start (sold 7%), holding.
  • Main distributor 國泰-敦南 peaked at 516 lots, has sold 31%, 358 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -1.91pp, mid holders +0, retail +1.63pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,175 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台新-大昌富邦-高雄玉山-台南台新-成功合庫-自強合庫-鳳山
Distributing
國泰-敦南摩根大通統一-三多新光-高雄玉山-高雄富邦-嘉義
Desks
own scale
致和-府前台灣摩根士丹利元富-敦南中國信託-新竹
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台新-大昌 +800
    sold 7%
  • 富邦-高雄 +383
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山-台南 +354
    sold 6%
  • 台新-成功 +211
    sold 0%
  • 合庫-自強 +176
    sold 0%
  • 合庫-鳳山 +166
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 國泰-敦南 358 left
    sold 31%· paused recently
  • 摩根大通 149 left
    sold 69%· paused recently
  • 統一-三多 151 left
    sold 62%· paused recently
  • 新光-高雄 39 left
    sold 87%· ~39 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-高雄 204 left
    sold 32%· paused recently
  • 富邦-嘉義 96 left
    sold 66%· ~240 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 致和-府前 -2,774
    unclassified
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -449
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元富-敦南 -386
    unclassified
  • 中國信託-新竹 -369
    unclassified
Still selling 604 lots ~270 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +767 absorbed / -204 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -910 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 158.34%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

111 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 52.1%, Sample 96, Median +1.84%, Excess +1.25%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 49%, Sample 96, Median -0.56%, Excess -1.83%, Beat mkt rate 42.7%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 94, Median -0.2%, Excess -2.22%, Beat mkt rate 36.2%

120 days after: historical avg +4.62%

20-day +1.87%
60-day +1.31%
120-day +4.62%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.1%
49%
50%
Sample
96
96
94
Median
+1.84%
-0.56%
-0.2%
Excess
+1.25%
-1.83%
-2.22%
Beat mkt rate
50%
42.7%
36.2%

Over 94 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.62%, lagged the market by 2.22 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here92+64.7% +24.3% 100% +66.5%
20-40 102+58% +33.3% 91.2% +57.9%
40-60 190+26% +11% 61.6% +14.1%
60-80 255-3.2% -12.5% 30.6% -31.8%
80-100 327+1.8% -15.4% 30.3% -32%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 20.09, at the 9.2th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+27.8%
Win rate 78.7% Excess +30.7%
61d
+14.7%
Win rate 38.7% Excess +13.1%
163d
+3.1%
Win rate 35.2% Excess -11.6%
327d
60-day momentum down
Now
+22.9%
Win rate 74.8% Excess +13.5%
131d
+14.6%
Win rate 84.4% Excess -6.6%
179d
+4.5%
Win rate 44% Excess -6%
225d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 131 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 22.9%, win rate 74.8%, beat the market by 13.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

16 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.34%, win rate 43.8%, beating the market by -1.89 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.7%, win rate 40.9%, beating the market by -3.16 pts on average.

What does 樂事綠能 do? Company profile

電機機械 上市（台灣證券交易所）

Overview

樂事綠能科技股份有限公司，前身為樂士股份有限公司，成立於1978年5月24日，2022年7月更名為樂事綠能科技股份有限公司。股票代號1529，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股，上市日期為2000年9月11日；公開資訊及券商基本資料列示產業別為電機機械。公司登記地址為台南市北區成功路114號7樓之1，英文通訊地址曾列台北市松山區南京東路五段188號4樓之2；電話為02-2559-1021，官方網站為www.luxe.com.tw。董事長為陳介仁，總經理為陳連聰，發言人為陳介仁。依2026年2月基本資料，實收資本額約新台幣15.5095億元，已發行普通股155,095,074股。依113年度年報，截至2025年3月25日從業員工90人，平均年齡42.63歲，平均服務年資3.88年。主要股東依113年度年報截至2025年3月25日：官田鋼鐵15,568,543股、持股10.038%；致和證券13,754,943股、8.868%；保利都投資10,833,893股、6.985%；美優實業9,043,420股、5.830%；嘉績百貨企業6,442,022股、4.153%；官田投資開發3,348,546股、2.159%；夏都國際開發2,944,077股、1.898%；鄭洪麗花2,813,974股、1.814%；鄭瑞昌1,542,423股、0.994%；胡君豪1,210,290股、0.780%。

Business

公司定位為電力能源設備與服務供應商，業務分為電機設備、再生能源售電與系統/營造工程。主要產品與服務包括高低壓配電盤、自動控制盤、馬達起動盤、試驗儀器、比流器CT、比壓器PT、變壓器、電抗器、電工器材、板金箱體、監控網路、變電所統包、水電工程、太陽能電廠EPC、綜合營造工程、設備點檢維修與測試維護。113年度合併營收新台幣696,439仟元，較112年度752,370仟元下降，年報說明主因台電亭置式變壓器延後；113年度營收結構為銷貨收入334,132仟元、47.98%，售電收入187,671仟元、26.95%，工程收入168,879仟元、24.25%，其他5,757仟元、0.82%。商業模式包括：一、取得台電等公營事業及工程標案後出貨亭置式變壓器、配電盤、CT/PT等重電產品；二、透過自有及子公司太陽能電廠與台電簽訂20年固定優惠費率購售電合約，形成售電收入；三、承攬太陽能、機電與公共工程，以工程進度認列收入；四、提供維修、測試與維運服務。113年度主要銷貨客戶為台灣電力公司467,379仟元、占67.11%，官田鋼鐵77,372仟元、占11.11%，客戶集中度高；年報說明主要因取得台電亭置式變壓器標案，以及集團持有約35MW太陽能電廠售電對象亦為台電。2026年法說摘要指出自有及子公司持有太陽能電廠總裝置容量約41MW，售電收入毛利率相對較高。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以重電與綠能雙主軸為核心。成長動能方面，台電強化電網韌性建設計畫規劃十年投入5,645億元，對亭置式變壓器、配電盤、GIS、CT/PT、電抗器等輸配電設備供應鏈形成中長期需求；樂事綠能已取得台電50KVA亭置式變壓器合格供應商認證，112年及113年取得台電50KVA標案，113年報揭露正進行新版100KVA、167KVA亭置式變壓器試作與送審，若認證與標案進度順利，有機會擴大產品組合與訂單規模。2025年財報新聞與法說摘要顯示，公司受惠台電強韌電網及變壓器出貨，2025年EPS約1.01元，並取得台電約3.27億元亭置式變壓器訂單；但實際營收認列仍取決於交貨時程。綠能方面，自有太陽能電廠售電具長約與較高毛利特性，若2026年以後併網容量與發電效率提升，可望提供較穩定現金流；工程與營造業務則可能受公共工程、儲能案場、太陽能EPC案源帶動。新技術與產品方面，公司年報列示未來產品認證包括100KVA、167KVA亭置式變壓器，並將配合台電需求開發改良型變壓器、提高國產化比率。主要風險包括：台電客戶集中度高，標案得標、驗收、交貨及預算進度延誤會造成單月或年度營收波動；銅、矽鋼片、絕緣油、樹脂、鋼材等原物料價格波動影響毛利；工程收入需依成本投入比率認列，預估總成本與施工進度若偏離將影響損益；太陽能售電受天候、設備可用率、颱風災損、躉購費率與能源政策影響；重電市場競爭者資本與產能較大，樂事綠能資本額與風險承受力相對有限。2026至2028具體營收與獲利數字未見公司正式財測，故本段屬依年報、法說與產業政策推估的研究判斷。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 同成電機 113年度年報列為主要供應商，進貨金額75,947仟元、占全年進貨淨額11.27%；年報說明其為機電產品供應商，符合公司商品原物料規格並可穩定供貨，未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 德鑫新技 112年度年報列示為主要供應商之一，進貨金額48,922仟元、占進貨淨額8.39%；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 代理商及協力商 年報揭露系統工程、配電盤、變比器、電工器材、監控網路及營造工程的供應來源包含自行進口、代理商及協力商；供應品項包括太陽能模組、逆變器、電線電纜、消防器材、配電盤管件、開關、電錶、電驛、鐵板、銅排、銅角線、矽鋼片、絕緣油、樹脂、漆包線、線圈、水泥、預拌混凝土與鋼筋等。
Downstream
  • 台灣電力股份有限公司 113年度最大銷貨客戶，銷貨467,379仟元、占67.11%；公司亭置式變壓器等重電產品主要銷售對象，太陽能電廠售電亦透過台電20年固定優惠電價保證收購制度。台電為國營事業，非台股上市櫃公司。
  • 官田鋼鐵股份有限公司 2017 113年度第二大銷貨客戶，銷貨77,372仟元、占11.11%，年報列為關係人；官田鋼鐵投入儲能領域，與樂事綠能機電/配電盤及工程業務可能具關聯。
  • 國立北門高級中學 年報重大合約列示113年10月1日至115年7月1日機電工程及配電盤銷售合約，屬公共工程客戶，非上市櫃公司。
  • 晶電能源 112年度年報主要銷貨客戶表列示小額銷貨客戶，未確認為台股上市櫃公司。

Competitors

  • 士林電機 1503 台股上市重電設備廠，產品涵蓋變壓器、配電盤、開關設備與電力系統，與樂事綠能在台電強韌電網及重電設備標案市場競爭。
  • 中興電工 1513 台股上市重電與電力設備廠，具GIS、變電設備、電力工程與能源相關業務，為輸配電設備與工程領域主要競爭者。
  • 亞力電機 1514 台股上市重電設備廠，產品包含配電盤、變壓器、開關設備、電力監控及工程服務，與樂事綠能在台電及民間電力設備市場競爭。
  • 華城電機 1519 台股上市變壓器與重電設備廠，受惠電網建設與電力設備需求，與樂事綠能在變壓器及輸配電設備市場競爭。
  • 東元電機 1504 台股上市機電大廠，業務涵蓋馬達、機電系統、能源與工程服務，部分產品與系統整合業務與樂事綠能重疊。
  • 大同 2371 台股上市綜合電機與能源工程公司，具重電、電纜、系統工程及綠能布局，為廣義電力設備與工程競爭者。
  • 森崴能源 6806 台股上市能源工程與綠能服務公司，在太陽能、儲能與工程承攬領域與樂事綠能部分業務重疊。
  • 雲豹能源 6869 台股掛牌綠能開發與售電/儲能公司，在再生能源投資、售電與能源服務領域與樂事綠能綠能事業具部分競爭或替代關係。
Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.