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1532

勤美 Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal

Revenue ≥20%

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 勤美 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Is 勤美 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 32th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.1%.
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 46th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 79th percentile.
Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -2.2% of volume (net sell).
Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 26.0%, above the 20% growth threshold.
Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.31

BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
國票-長城 holds 5,446 lots
sellers have 1,054 lots left, ~240 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -5% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

Largest holder 國票-長城 has accumulated 5,446 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
Main distributor 新光 peaked at 665 lots, has sold 27%, 486 left, ~87 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.05pp, mid holders +1, retail -0.01pp — little change.
Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -114 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).

Branch inventory reconstruction

Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.

Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.

Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.

Accumulating

國票-長城宏遠-館前台新-台北凱基-台北中國信託富邦-新竹

Distributing

新光凱基-站前台中銀-員林凱基-三重玉山-台中台新-新店

Desks

own scale

台灣摩根士丹利美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀台新-高雄

Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline

Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

國票-長城 +5,446

sold 0%· still adding
宏遠-館前 +1,762

sold 0%· still adding
台新-台北 +1,693

sold 0%· still adding
凱基-台北 +1,088

sold 2%· still adding
中國信託 +1,066

sold 1%
富邦-新竹 +893

sold 0%

Distributing

新光 486 left

sold 27%· ~87 sessions to clear
凱基-站前 105 left

sold 28%· paused recently
台中銀-員林 79 left

sold 41%· ~15 sessions to clear
凱基-三重 73 left

sold 41%· ~15 sessions to clear
玉山-台中 77 left

sold 31%· paused recently
台新-新店 19 left

sold 83%· ~2 sessions to clear

Desks

台灣摩根士丹利 -2,752

hedge desk · will cover
美商高盛 -1,564

hedge desk · will cover
新加坡商瑞銀 -1,538

hedge desk · will cover
台新-高雄 -1,336

unclassified

Still selling 1,054 lots ~240 sessions to bottom at most

Recent buy/sell force +5,111 absorbed / -559 sold buyers slightly ahead

Hedge-desk net short -114 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure

TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check

>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 26.03%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

63 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)

120 days after: historical avg -4.99%

20-day -0.54%

60-day -0.48%

120-day -4.99%

20-day

60-day

120-day

Win

46.7%

43.3%

41.7%

Sample

Median

-0.86%

-2.08%

-4.75%

Excess

-1.41%

-2.56%

-8.18%

Beat mkt rate

41.7%

33.3%

26.7%

Over 60 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 4.99%, lagged the market by 8.18 pts; win rate 41.7%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

0-20 -3.6%

20-40 +3.2%

40-60 +2.4%

60-80 +5.3% Now

80-100 +15.3%

PE percentile band	Sample days	240-day avg return	Median	Win rate	Avg excess (vs index)
0-20	397	-3.6%	-9.8%	33.2%	-25.6%
20-40	572	+3.2%	+2.4%	51%	-12.5%
40-60	952	+2.4%	+2.5%	54.1%	-8%
60-80 You are here	660	+5.3%	+3.1%	54.2%	-9.3%
80-100	397	+15.3%	+14.2%	83.4%	-12%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 20.56, at the 78.8th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation

Momentum

Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)

Mid

Expensive (own-history top 1/3)

60-day momentum up

-1.4%

Win rate 33.2% Excess -5.2%

247d

-0.3%

Win rate 40.4% Excess -3.1%

686d

Now

+6.6%

Win rate 71.1% Excess -9.1%

658d

60-day momentum down

-4.9%

Win rate 29.6% Excess -10.9%

618d

+6%

Win rate 61.2% Excess -0.4%

672d

+10.7%

Win rate 67.7% Excess -16.4%

217d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 658 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.6%, win rate 71.1%, lagged the market by 9.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.41%, win rate 59.3%, beating the market by -0.1 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

60 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.63%, win rate 53.3%, beating the market by +1.06 pts on average.

What does 勤美 do? Company profile

電機機械；集團事業另含建設住宅、生活創新商場與飯店台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

1532 對應勤美股份有限公司，為台灣證交所上市普通股，非 ETF、ETN、特別股或權證。公司成立於 1972-09-09，上市日期為 2000-09-11，總部位於台北市大安區仁愛路四段85號4樓，新竹廠位於新竹縣新豐鄉。董事長為林廷芳，總經理為林靖誼與麥聖偉，發言人為陳鴻毅。依證交所公司基本資料，實收資本額為新台幣4,226,042,710元，已發行普通股數422,604,271股，每股面額新台幣10元。依113年度年報，截至2025-03-31集團員工合計2,357人，其中直接人員1,509人、間接人員848人，平均年齡39.6歲，平均服務年資8.7年。主要股東依113年度年報列示，2025-04-19前十大股東包括詠遠投資68,552,965股、持股16.22%，何明憲26,312,540股、6.23%，君邦投資15,676,900股、3.71%，陳高杏花8,954,176股、2.12%，美達工業7,688,597股、1.82%，以及多個台新銀行受託投資股份有限公司信託財產專戶等。公司集團事業分為金屬成型、建設住宅、生活創新三大事業，113年度合併營收約新台幣180.20億元，營業淨利約20億元，本期淨利約15億元，每股盈餘3.05元；2025年營收依2026年5月法說資料為154.11億元，其中金屬成型約97.80億元、建設住宅約41.94億元、生活創新約14.37億元。

Business

勤美的核心商業模式為多事業體控股與營運。金屬成型事業提供鑄造、機械加工、組裝與物流服務，產品材質包含灰口鑄鐵、球墨鑄鐵與鋁製品，應用於汽車零件、農業機械、工具機、壓縮機、工程與機械設備零件等；集團據點包含新竹廠、化新精密、天津勤美達、蘇州勤美達、天津勤威、蘇州勤堡、勤美達武漢，以及美國、墨西哥、歐洲、日本、泰國等物流或服務據點。依2026年5月法說資料，金屬成型集團鑄造年產能近34萬噸，新竹廠產能約2萬噸/年、營收約8至10億元。113年度營收結構為金屬成型事業新台幣97.39億元、54.05%，建設住宅事業75.18億元、41.72%，生活創新事業7.62億元、4.23%。2025年營收結構則受建案認列減少影響，金屬成型約97.80億元、占比約63.5%，建設住宅約41.94億元、占比約27.2%，生活創新約14.37億元、占比約9.3%。建設住宅事業主要透過璞真建設等品牌進行住宅、大樓開發租售、都更與商辦/住宅建案開發，訴求高端住宅、綠建築、低碳建材、BIM與智慧建築。生活創新事業包含台中勤美誠品綠園道、金典綠園道商場、PARK2、勤美術館、0km山物所、台中勤美洲際酒店、全國大飯店、香格里拉樂園等商場、飯店與文化場域。金屬成型主要客戶與終端應用包括國際汽車、農機、壓縮機、機械與工程零件客戶；年報提及與 ZF TRW、Ford、GM、YANMAR 等國際大廠合作，並透過 CMAI 與 CMJ 提供歐美與日本客戶物流服務。2024年金屬成型銷售地區以中國約52%、美國18%、日本15%、歐洲5%、台灣3%為主；2025年為中國約50%、美國18%、日本16%、歐洲7%、台灣3%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望需分事業看待。金屬成型方面，成長動能來自國際大廠持續委外代工、全球供應鏈分工、集團垂直整合與近34萬噸鑄造產能、精密加工與物流服務能力；公司法說與年報指出，客戶委外代工訂單增加、開發設計能力可參與國際級客戶未來產品開發，並持續導入自動化、智慧製造、環保設備、回收鋼料與太陽能。2026年5月法說指出2026年1至4月整體營收43.92億元，高於2025年同期40.32億元，其中金屬成型由33.07億元增至37.54億元，反映金屬本業較建設認列更穩定。建設住宅方面，2026至2028年為建案認列關鍵期，法說資料列示在建案包括2026年玥隱信義、麟璞真，2027年璞真之道、璞真上善，2028年勤美璞真城仰、吾雙、南港總部，2029年勤美之真，2030年璞真宇見，另規劃案延伸至2031至2033年；因此2026至2028年營收與獲利波動將高度受建案交屋、完工、銷售率與成本控制影響。生活創新方面，2024年台中勤美洲際酒店開幕、0km山物所啟用，2025年生活創新營收較2024年增加，未來成長看飯店住房率、餐飲與草悟道商圈整合效益。ESG與低碳趨勢方面，2025年法說披露金屬成型回收鋼料使用率集團平均94%、單廠最高98%，已建置16.5MW太陽能光伏與1488kWh儲能設備，2024年較2015年單位產品能耗下降9.91%、溫室氣體排放密集度下降38.02%；建設事業與台泥合作導入低碳水泥、台泥極平80自平泥與儲能系統，若低碳建築需求提升，可能強化品牌溢價。主要風險包括全球景氣與客戶庫存循環、農機與機電需求恢復不如預期、俄烏戰爭與地緣政治、匯率與關稅、低價競爭、AI與自動化技術投資壓力、資安風險、台灣房市信用管制與限貸、營建缺工與建材成本、飯店與商場競爭、建案認列時點造成盈餘波動。2026至2028的具體財務數字無法可靠預測，僅能依公司法說與年報推估營運重點為金屬成型穩定修復、建設案量認列、生活創新場域放大與低碳/自動化投資。

Supply Chain

Upstream

回收鋼料與少量生鐵供應商金屬成型事業主要原料；年報指出以回收鋼料為主、少量生鐵為輔，分散向中國大陸、台灣、巴西、南非、日本等地採購，未揭露具名供應商。
鑄造與加工設備供應商上游設備來源；公司法說提及使用德國、日本、丹麥先進鑄造及加工設備，並導入 DISA、KW 高壓高速造模機、機械手臂、自動研磨機等設備，但未逐一揭露供應商名稱。
台灣水泥 1101 建設住宅事業低碳建材合作方；2025年法說引用台泥與璞真建設合作，導入台泥卜特蘭石灰石水泥、台泥極平80自平泥及 EnergyArk 儲能系統。
建築師、營造廠、水電、建材、代銷、房屋仲介與金融業者建設住宅事業上中下游關係；年報以產業鏈圖列示此類供應與協力角色，未具名。
服飾、餐飲、生活商品、化妝品與酒類品牌商或代理供應商生活創新商場事業上游招商與商品來源；年報以商場經營產業鏈列示品牌商或代理供應商，未具名。

Downstream

ZF TRW 金屬成型下游客戶；年報列為多年合作國際大廠，非台股掛牌公司。
Ford 汽車零件下游終端客戶；年報列為國際汽車製造商合作對象，美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
General Motors 汽車零件下游終端客戶；年報列為國際汽車製造商合作對象，美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
YANMAR 農機與柴油引擎相關下游客戶；年報與法說均提及與日本 YANMAR 合作，非台股掛牌。
BIRN 法說資料提及與北歐大型鑄造廠 BIRN 策略聯盟，非台股掛牌。
住宅與商辦買方、商場消費者、飯店旅宿與餐飲消費者建設住宅與生活創新事業的終端需求來源；屬一般消費者與企業客戶，非單一掛牌公司。

Competitors

永冠-KY 1589 年報列示為金屬成型/鑄造同業之一；台股上市公司，主要從事鑄鐵與能源、機械相關鑄件。
嘉鋼 2067 年報文字疑似列示為嘉鋼精密等鑄造與加工同業；台股上櫃公司，主要經營鑄鐵鑄造及加工買賣。
大詠城 4538 年報列示為鑄造/精密加工同業之一；台股上櫃公司，從事機械鑄件產品與鑄件模具開發設計。
美達工業年報列示為金屬成型同業之一；查得為台灣公司但非台股上市櫃掛牌。
六和機械年報列示為金屬成型同業之一；台灣鑄造品工業同業公會資料顯示其為金屬材料成形、汽車零件及產業設備零件製造商，非台股上市櫃掛牌。
新光三越台中店、大遠百 Top City、廣三 SOGO、TIGER CITY、三井 Outlet Park、三井 LaLaport 等台中百貨與商場年報列為勤美誠品綠園道所處台中商場零售競爭環境；多數非台股掛牌或非單一台股上市櫃公司。
高端住宅與都更建商建設住宅事業競爭對手依建案區位而異，年報未提供具名同業；因無法確認單一掛牌競品，stock_id 設為 null。

Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.