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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2033 佳大. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2033
2033
steady quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 佳大 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 44th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.7%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 74th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 54th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.3% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -4% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 兆豐-三民 has accumulated 1,436 lots since the start (sold 1%), now trimming.
- Main distributor 第一金-高雄 peaked at 52 lots, has sold 46%, 28 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -1.51pp, mid holders +0, retail +0.02pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -362 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 兆豐-三民 +1,436
- 富邦-嘉義 +564
- 富邦證券 +512
- 新光 +490
- 元富-同大 +391
- 富邦-七賢 +369
Distributing
- 第一金-高雄 28 left
- 中國信託-永康 30 left
- 華南永昌-基隆 34 left
- 中國信託-新竹 5 left
- 元富-林園 16 left
- 富邦-板橋 26 left
Desks
- 合庫-台中 -1,268
- 康和-高雄 -933
- 華南永昌-小港 -408
- 凱基-台北 -229
Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
| 20-40 | 122 | +69.4% | +66.5% | 100% | +44% |
| 40-60 You are here | 331 | +57.7% | +43.4% | 99.1% | +33% |
| 60-80 | 574 | -5.4% | -8.4% | 27% | -27.3% |
| 80-100 | 894 | +3.6% | +0.3% | 50.8% | -23.4% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 47.42, at the 54.3th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(8d)
(6d)
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 398 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 36%, win rate 83.4%, beat the market by 19.2%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.04%, win rate 52.6%, beating the market by +7.48 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
44 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.93%, win rate 47.5%, beating the market by +3.57 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
23 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.6%, win rate 31.8%, beating the market by -6.23 pts on average.
What does 佳大 do? Company profile
Overview
2033 對應證券為佳大世界股份有限公司普通股，市場別為上市，非 ETF、ETN、特別股、權證或 REIT。公司成立於 1973-04-23，總部及主要通訊地址為台南市永康區永運五路2號，統一編號 72072615；董事長吳大和、總經理陳正平、發言人王秋月。公司股票於 2000-09-11 上市，普通股每股面額新台幣10元，實收資本額新台幣806,945,360元，已發行普通股數80,694,536股，無私募股數、無特別股。主要營業項目為預力鋼絞線、一般鋼線、預力鋼線等鋼線鋼纜製品。主要股東與內部人資料可確認者包括董事長吳大和持有約6,859,931股，曾文俊約3,285,730股，豪富投資股份有限公司約1,049,946至1,050,000股，李世民約338,000股；董事與內部人持股比率第三方資料約14.29%。員工規模未在本次可查之 114 年年報摘錄中確認；第三方工商資料曾列員工數174人但資料來源日期較舊，不宜視為最新。
Business
佳大屬鋼線、鋼纜與預力鋼材加工製造商，商業模式為採購盤元、鐵線、鋅塊等原物料，經酸洗、伸線、鍍鋅、絞線、鋼索/鋼纜加工等製程後銷售予國內外工業、建築、電線電纜、交通與工程應用客戶。主要產品包含一般鋼線、鍍鋅鋼線、預力鋼線、預力鋼棒、預力鋼絞線、鍍鋅或不鍍鋅鋼索/鋼纜等；用途涵蓋電纜用心線、電信架空線、打包用鍍鋅鋼線、鋼索鋼纜、彈簧床鋼線、運動器材、避震彈簧、傘骨、車條、機械五金彈簧、基樁、電線桿、高壓水管、預力橋樑、漁業、商船、林業與吊索。114年度產品營收結構為一般鋼線463,380千元、佔65.94%；鋼纜185,356千元、佔26.38%；鍍鋅鋼線53,798千元、佔7.66%；其他201千元、佔0.03%。114年度營業收入702,735千元，較113年度577,650千元成長21.65%；毛利100,046千元，毛利率14.24%；營業利益30,397千元；稅後淨利28,306千元；EPS 0.35元。114年銷售量21,077公噸，年增29.61%，但平均單價因原料成本與銷售組合不同較前一年下跌。2024年第三方資料顯示鋼線產品銷售地區約台灣90%、亞洲10%；114年年報則揭露公司仍將深耕日本、美國、中國大陸與東南亞市場。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年已見營運復甦：114年度線材市場稍見起色，銷售量明顯增加，帶動營收、毛利與獲利較113年改善。2026年公司官方營運策略聚焦於取得較具價格優勢之原料、產品依客戶需求分級、投入新式伸線機提升產品品質與產能、升級既有設備與優化製程、強化客戶溝通與銷售服務、落實 ISO 9001:2015、強化上下游關係、提升市場反應速度、簡化原料採購規格與嚴控資本支出。技術與製程方面，公司已揭露持續蒐集分析不良率與損耗率因素、購置新伸線機、優化酸洗除鏽與磷化品質、設計隧道式酸洗及更新空污設備；另規劃約154KW太陽能發電自用並取得綠能憑證，以因應未來碳稅與 ESG 要求。2027至2028年展望屬合理推估：若全球鋼價維持回升、基礎建設與重建需求改善、以及日本、美國與東南亞通路開發有成，佳大可望受惠於一般鋼線與鋼纜出貨量提升、設備更新帶來良率與成本改善；但成長幅度仍受盤元與鋅塊價格波動、台灣出口關稅與貿易協定劣勢、中美貿易摩擦、俄烏及中東地緣政治、台海政治風險、中國與東南亞低成本產能競爭、油電與環保成本上升、匯率波動及終端需求循環影響。公司規模不大，產品相對成熟，較像景氣循環與製程效率改善型標的，而非高速成長型公司。
Supply Chain
- 電線電纜製造商 佳大一般鋼線可用於電纜用心線、電信架空線等；下游客戶類型可確認，但個別直接客戶未揭露。
- 營造與預力混凝土製品業者 預力鋼線、預力鋼棒、預力鋼絞線可用於基樁、電線桿、高壓水管、預力橋樑等工程應用；個別直接客戶未揭露。
- 機械五金、彈簧與運動器材製造商 一般鋼線與鍍鋅鋼線可供彈簧床、避震彈簧、傘骨、車條、機械五金彈簧與運動器材等應用；個別直接客戶未揭露。
- 漁業、商船、林業與吊索通路 鍍鋅與不鍍鋅鋼索、鋼纜用於漁業、商船、林業及吊索；多屬終端應用或通路型客戶，未揭露直接客戶名單。
Competitors
- 中鋼 2002 台股上市大型鋼鐵廠，具線材盤元與鋼線鋼纜相關上游能力，第三方資料列為佳大鋼線鋼纜同業。
- 志聯 2024 台股上市鋼鐵業者，第三方資料列為鋼線、鋼纜主要競爭對手之一。
- 官田鋼 2017 台股上市鋼鐵業者，盤元與線材相關，第三方資料列為鋼線鋼纜競爭廠商。
- 松和 5016 台股上櫃公司，主要經營鋼纜、鋼線、棒鋼之生產銷售，與佳大在鋼線鋼纜市場重疊。
- 春雨 2012 台股上市線材與扣件相關廠商，第三方資料列為同業競爭廠商。
- 晉椿 2064 台股上櫃棒材與線材供應商，產品含鋼線、鐵線、不鏽鋼材等，與佳大部分產品市場重疊。
- 聚亨 2022 台股上市鋼鐵線材相關廠商，第三方資料列為鋼線鋼纜競爭廠商。
- 強新 5013 台股上櫃公司，產品含盤元、不鏽鋼盤元、黑鐵絲、五金線材、鍍鋅鋼線等，與佳大在線材與鋼線產品競爭。
- 燁興 2007 台股上市盤元與鋼鐵線材相關廠商，第三方資料列為主要競爭對手之一。
Sources（14）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.