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2353

宏碁 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 宏碁 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 59Quality 37Growth 78Momentum 67Chips 51

Is 宏碁 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 30th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.4%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 57th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 72th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 36.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.52
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 合庫證券 holds 28,588 lots
  • sellers have 25,848 lots left, ~44 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +28% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 合庫證券 has accumulated 28,588 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 元大證券 peaked at 28,662 lots, has sold 44%, 16,178 left, ~29 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.91pp, mid holders -26, retail -0.48pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -123,784 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
合庫證券富邦證券國泰證券永豐金證券國泰-敦南大和國泰
Distributing
元大證券港商野村華南永昌宏遠證券法銀巴黎國泰-台中
Desks
own scale
美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利摩根大通美林
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 合庫證券 +28,588
    sold 0%
  • 富邦證券 +24,852
    sold 13%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +24,234
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金證券 +12,136
    sold 24%· still adding
  • 國泰-敦南 +6,255
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 大和國泰 +5,693
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 元大證券 16,178 left
    sold 44%· ~29 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 8,162 left
    sold 44%· ~44 sessions to clear
  • 華南永昌 9,185 left
    sold 30%· paused recently
  • 宏遠證券 248 left
    sold 89%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 法銀巴黎 1,084 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 國泰-台中 468 left
    sold 71%· paused recently

Desks

  • 美商高盛 -45,770
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -22,802
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 摩根大通 -21,228
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美林 -12,117
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 25,848 lots ~44 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +57,007 absorbed / -9,702 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -121,160 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 36.5%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

65 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 61.7%, Sample 47, Median +2.01%, Excess +0.9%, Beat mkt rate 48.9%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 46, Median -0.23%, Excess +0.59%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 52.3%, Sample 44, Median +2.25%, Excess +1.54%, Beat mkt rate 52.3%

120 days after: historical avg +5.29%

20-day +2.36%
60-day +3.76%
120-day +5.29%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
61.7%
50%
52.3%
Sample
47
46
44
Median
+2.01%
-0.23%
+2.25%
Excess
+0.9%
+0.59%
+1.54%
Beat mkt rate
48.9%
50%
52.3%

Over 44 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.29%, beat the market by 1.54 pts; win rate 52.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 583+26.2% +6.6% 54.7% +17%
20-40 443+10% -6.2% 39.5% -10.7%
40-60 370+14.9% +3.6% 53% -21.5%
60-80 You are here435+25.7% +34.3% 67.4% +3.6%
80-100 231+39.1% +22.3% 76.2% +5.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 26.52, at the 72.2th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+5.6%
Win rate 42.1% Excess +2.6%
323d
+4.1%
Win rate 43.9% Excess -8.4%
367d
Now
+17.1%
Win rate 64.2% Excess +3.2%
374d
60-day momentum down
+13.2%
Win rate 66.6% Excess +5.5%
467d
-5.1%
Win rate 17.9% Excess -19.5%
453d
+48.8%
Win rate 86.9% Excess +29%
198d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 374 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 17.1%, win rate 64.2%, beat the market by 3.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.46%, win rate 73.7%, beating the market by +6.93 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

64 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.01%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -1.6 pts on average.

What does 宏碁 do? Company profile

電腦及週邊設備業 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

宏碁股份有限公司為台灣證券交易所上市普通股，股票代號2353，產業類別為電腦及週邊設備業，主要經營業務為資訊產品、軟體及維修服務之通路銷售。公司創立於1976年，總部位於台北市松山區復興北路369號7樓之5，上市日期為1996/09/18。依TWSE個股資訊及公開資料，實收資本額為新台幣30,478,538,280元，董事長為陳俊聖，總經理為簡慧祥，發言人為陳怡如。宏碁業務遍及全球約160個市場，年報稱集團全球約12,000名員工；年報從業員工資料列2025年底全球員工約11,171人，2026/03/31約11,403人。2025年全年合併營收新台幣2,756.3億元，年增4.1%；毛利299.90億元，營業淨利51.44億元，稅後淨利37.80億元，EPS 1.26元。主要股東方面，2026/03/31前十大股東包含元大台灣高股息基金專戶2.84%、復華台灣科技優息ETF保管專戶2.50%、宏榮投資2.42%、合作金庫商業銀行1.77%、大華銀台灣優選股利高填息30ETF保管專戶1.61%、宏碁跨世紀投資1.21%、施振榮本人1.15%、融欣管理顧問0.75%、榕安管理顧問0.75%、新制勞工退休基金0.73%；年報並註明施振榮家族成員合計持股約6.09%。

Business

宏碁是全球PC與ICT品牌公司，採品牌、研發設計、行銷銷售、通路與售後服務為主的商業模式，主要製造多採委外ODM合作。2025年營收來源依公司年報分為電腦和顯示器產品67.8%、非電腦事業32.2%。核心產品包含筆記型電腦、桌上型電腦、顯示器、投影機、平板、無線連網裝置、伺服器、工業用電腦、電子看板、電競產品及周邊等；非PC產品與服務包含雲端服務、資訊安全與資料中心、整合式IT服務、電腦周邊軟硬體代理、電玩內容設計、AI輔助醫療診斷解決方案、智慧移動、家電設備、儲能解決方案、家用電子產品服務維修、人力資源服務、橡膠貿易與物流分銷。2025年地區營收占比為泛亞太52.7%、泛美24.5%、泛歐22.8%。根據年報引用IDC資料，2025年宏碁整體個人電腦出貨全球第六、市占率約6%；筆記型電腦全球第六、市占率約7%；桌上型電腦全球第五、市占率約3%。終端應用涵蓋消費者、教育組織、政府、企業客戶、電競玩家、創作者、醫療院所、資料中心及系統整合市場。年報揭露最近二年度無單一客戶占銷貨總額10%以上。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028展望以AI PC換機潮、多重事業引擎與供應鏈韌性為主軸。短中期成長動能包括Windows 10終止支援帶動商用與教育設備汰換、AI PC滲透率提升、輕薄AI筆電與電競產品升級、商用PC及Chromebook需求、以及非PC事業占比提高。公司2025年非電腦與顯示器業務已占營收32.2%，2026年5月新聞稿亦顯示非PC業務約33.1%，顯示多元化策略持續。公司長期策略聚焦四大成長領域：工業電腦、智慧醫療、能源與家電；其中宏碁智醫發展VeriSee系列AI醫療影像分析與aiMed醫療語音助理，安圖斯科技發展AI伺服器、工作站、HPC、VDI/HCI及AI運算管理平台，宏碁資訊以雲端、AI與資安服務協助企業數位轉型。年報稱Acer Value Lab已開發超過30款AI代理人，並由宏碁資訊協助企業導入。產業面，Gartner資料顯示2025年全球PC出貨成長，成長來自Windows 11升級與提前備貨；Canalys/Omdia資料則預估AI-capable PC在2025年可達全球PC出貨約40%，到2028年超過2億台，對宏碁AI PC產品線有利。主要風險包括DRAM/NAND等關鍵零組件因AI資料中心需求而供應緊張並推升成本、地緣政治與關稅政策、匯率波動、通膨與利率、PC市場需求循環、品牌價格競爭、資安攻擊、AI與資料法規變化、ODM與供應鏈集中風險。公司因應方式包含多元ODM與供應商策略、區域組裝與貼近市場、提升平均售價與產品規格、彈性定價促銷、供應商RBA與ESG管理、外匯避險及持續資安投資。2027-2028具體財務預測未由公司公開揭露，本段對2027-2028僅依產業趨勢與公司策略作合理推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 材料元件製造商 年報供應鏈圖列為宏碁上游，包含處理器、記憶體、面板、儲存、網通、電池、機構件等零組件；公司未逐一揭露供應商名稱。
  • ODM代工廠 年報說明宏碁及子公司主要採取委外製造模式，與多家ODM廠商合作；未揭露各ODM名單。
  • 廣達電腦 2382 台股上市大型筆電與伺服器ODM，屬宏碁PC產業上游可能合作或同供應鏈企業；宏碁年報未確認個別供應關係，列為供應鏈推估。
  • 仁寶電腦 2324 台股上市大型筆電ODM，屬宏碁PC產業上游可能合作或同供應鏈企業；宏碁年報未確認個別供應關係，列為供應鏈推估。
  • 緯創資通 3231 台股上市ICT與伺服器/PC ODM，屬宏碁PC產業上游可能合作或同供應鏈企業；宏碁年報未確認個別供應關係，列為供應鏈推估。
  • 英業達 2356 台股上市筆電、伺服器與智慧裝置ODM，屬宏碁PC產業上游可能合作或同供應鏈企業；宏碁年報未確認個別供應關係，列為供應鏈推估。
  • 和碩 4938 台股上市電子製造服務與ODM公司，屬宏碁PC產業上游可能合作或同供應鏈企業；宏碁年報未確認個別供應關係，列為供應鏈推估。
Downstream
  • 經銷及系統整合商 年報供應鏈圖列為下游，負責將宏碁產品與方案導入消費、教育、政府及企業客戶；公司未逐一揭露通路名單。
  • 消費者 終端個人與家庭使用者，購買宏碁筆電、桌機、顯示器、平板、電競與智慧生活產品。
  • 教育組織 終端應用市場之一，採購Chromebook、筆電、桌機、顯示器、管理與服務方案。
  • 政府 終端應用市場之一，採購商用PC、系統整合、資安、雲端與資料中心相關服務。
  • 企業客戶 終端商用客戶，需求包含商用筆電、桌機、顯示器、伺服器、雲端、AI、資安與IT維運服務。
  • 展碁國際 6776 宏碁集團掛牌子公司，專業通路代理商，代理及經銷國內外逾150個品牌，產品涵蓋商用與家用資訊電子、軟體、數位娛樂、生活家電等。
  • 宏碁資訊 6811 宏碁集團上櫃子公司，提供雲端、地端資訊系統規劃建置、AI應用、資安、維運與客製開發，服務政府、金融、電信、製造、醫療等企業客戶。
  • 智聯服務 6751 宏碁集團上櫃子公司，提供資訊應用系統整合、主機、網路、儲存、軟體建置與維運服務，屬宏碁集團企業服務下游方案平台。

Competitors

  • 華碩 2357 台股上市，與宏碁同屬台灣PC品牌，競爭領域涵蓋筆電、桌機、電競、顯示器、商用與消費通路。
  • 微星科技 2377 台股上市，競爭領域包含電競筆電、桌機、顯示器、主機板、顯示卡與創作者產品。
  • 技嘉科技 2376 台股上市，競爭領域包含電競筆電、桌機、主機板、顯示卡、伺服器與AI運算硬體。
  • 藍天電腦 2362 台股上市，筆電與準系統/通路相關企業，在部分筆電與電競硬體供應鏈及品牌市場具競爭或替代關係。
  • 研華 2395 台股上市，工業電腦與邊緣運算龍頭；在宏碁長期聚焦的工業電腦與AIoT解決方案領域具競爭關係。
  • 聯想 香港上市及全球PC品牌，2025年全球PC市占領先，為宏碁全球PC主要競爭者。
  • HP Inc. 美國上市，全球PC與列印品牌，為宏碁商用與消費PC主要競爭者。
  • Dell Technologies 美國上市，全球PC、伺服器與企業IT解決方案公司，為宏碁商用PC與企業方案主要競爭者。
  • Apple 美國上市，Mac產品線在高階消費與創作者筆電市場與宏碁競爭。
Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.