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3624

光頡 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 光頡 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 22Quality 66Growth 74Momentum 98Chips 46

Is 光頡 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 71th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.5%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 83th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 100th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.1% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 30.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.67
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大證券 holds 2,238 lots
  • sellers have 7,352 lots left, ~59 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +119% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大證券 has accumulated 2,238 lots since the start (sold 12%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台灣摩根士丹利 peaked at 4,142 lots, has sold 44%, 2,332 left, ~38 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +6.98pp, mid holders +13, retail -11.22pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -54 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大證券國泰證券永豐金證券群益金鼎群益金鼎-台北玉山證券
Distributing
台灣摩根士丹利摩根大通美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀凱基-台北美林
Desks
own scale
元大-新竹永豐金-天母永豐金-忠孝富邦-板橋
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大證券 +2,238
    sold 12%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +1,948
    sold 9%
  • 永豐金證券 +1,493
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎 +1,299
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎-台北 +1,207
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 玉山證券 +1,001
    sold 3%· still adding

Distributing

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 2,332 left
    sold 44%· ~38 sessions to clear
  • 摩根大通 1,659 left
    sold 48%· ~59 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 1,261 left
    sold 51%· ~14 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 372 left
    sold 84%· paused recently
  • 凱基-台北 963 left
    sold 55%· paused recently
  • 美林 295 left
    sold 83%· ~16 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-新竹 -2,601
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-天母 -1,080
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-忠孝 -1,013
    unclassified
  • 富邦-板橋 -693
    unclassified
Still selling 7,352 lots ~59 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +6,704 absorbed / -4,693 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

18 historical occurrences (since 2014-03-26)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 18, Median +1.7%, Excess +8.83%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%；60-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +4.68%, Excess +4.6%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%；120-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +11.76%, Excess +20.31%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%

120 days after: historical avg +27.29%

20-day +10.45%
60-day +6.86%
120-day +27.29%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55.6%
52.9%
52.9%
Sample
18
17
17
Median
+1.7%
+4.68%
+11.76%
Excess
+8.83%
+4.6%
+20.31%
Beat mkt rate
44.4%
52.9%
52.9%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 27.29%, beat the market by 20.31 pts; win rate 52.9%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 30.83%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

59 historical occurrences (since 2011-03-16)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 45.8%, Sample 48, Median -4.1%, Excess +2.78%, Beat mkt rate 39.6%；60-day: Win 52.2%, Sample 46, Median +2.29%, Excess +5.74%, Beat mkt rate 47.8%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 44, Median +0.9%, Excess +4.64%, Beat mkt rate 40.9%

120 days after: historical avg +6.93%

20-day +4.05%
60-day +8.92%
120-day +6.93%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.8%
52.2%
50%
Sample
48
46
44
Median
-4.1%
+2.29%
+0.9%
Excess
+2.78%
+5.74%
+4.64%
Beat mkt rate
39.6%
47.8%
40.9%

Over 44 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.93%, beat the market by 4.64 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 419+6.7% +2.3% 55.6% -13.5%
20-40 504+24.4% +1.3% 52.2% -2.6%
40-60 441+13.7% -1% 47.8% -3.6%
60-80 577-0.2% -12.9% 43% -9.6%
80-100 You are here792+46.8% +27.8% 73.4% +33.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 70.53, at the 100.0th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+4.5%
Win rate 41.5% Excess -2.7%
275d
+9.2%
Win rate 46% Excess +4.1%
441d
Now
+18.1%
Win rate 53.7% Excess +9.5%
778d
60-day momentum down
+19.5%
Win rate 65.9% Excess +7.6%
452d
+8.4%
Win rate 57% Excess 0%
402d
+3.4%
Win rate 53.1% Excess -5.4%
505d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 778 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 18.1%, win rate 53.7%, beat the market by 9.5%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

48 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.49%, win rate 57.4%, beating the market by +2.44 pts on average.

What does 光頡 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；被動元件；精密電阻、厚膜/薄膜電阻與電感 上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

光頡科技股份有限公司成立於1997/10/01，總部及主要工廠位於新竹縣湖口鄉新竹工業區光復北路70號，另有高雄分公司/工廠據點。公司於2008/03/28公開發行、2008/05/15興櫃、2011/03/16上櫃。董事長為蔡高明，總經理為胡傳斌；113年年報列示實收資本額新台幣1,173,408,420元，已發行普通股117,340,842股，113年度員工合計890人。主要股東依113年年報包含大陸商廣東風華高新科技股份有限公司持股40.00%、台亞半導體股份有限公司持股2.45%、黃苾忻持股1.70%、茂陞投資股份有限公司持股0.81%等。公司子公司/據點涵蓋無錫、美國、義大利等，主要作為被動元件製造、銷售與服務據點。

Business

光頡為薄膜與厚膜技術導向的被動元件製造商，核心產品為精密電阻、高頻電感及一般電阻，並延伸至功率電阻、MELF金屬膜柱狀電阻、耐高壓電阻、電流感測電阻、功率電感、抗硫化電阻、電容與超級電容等。公司官方簡介指出其成立於1997年，具薄膜精密電阻、電流檢測電阻、陶瓷晶片電感、功率電感及MELF薄膜電阻製造經驗。113年度合併營收為新台幣2,581,140仟元，較112年成長1.09%；區域營收中內銷12.56%，外銷87.44%，主要外銷市場為大陸36.15%、香港14.46%、美國7.72%、德國7.32%、新加坡5.83%、韓國3.69%、其他12.27%。年報說明產品以精密電阻、高頻電感、一般電阻三大類為主，主要應用於醫療儀器、量測設備、汽車控制板、電腦控制板、電源轉換器、醫療電源、UPS、燃料電池、通訊網路設備、筆電、主機板、充電器、電源供應器、手機、藍牙模組、無線網卡、GPS、汽車與工業設備儀器等。商業模式為自有品牌Viking與代工並行，透過海外子公司、代理商、經銷商與設計導入服務拓展客戶；年報揭露單一最大銷貨客戶占比9.24%，未達高度集中。2026年法說轉述資料顯示2026Q1產品組合約為精密電阻57%、一般電阻36%、高頻電感5%、其他2%；終端應用約車用48%、工控22%、AI相關12%、代工11%、醫療與航太7%，此部分屬法說/媒體整理，非年報查核表格。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年主要展望來自年報揭露之114年營運方向與2025-2026法說/媒體資訊延伸推估。成長動能包括：1. AI伺服器、資料中心、交換機與伺服器電源對高精密薄膜電阻、高功率厚膜電阻與高頻電感需求上升；2026Q1法說轉述指出AI應用營收占比已達12%，客戶涵蓋緯穎、智邦、台達電、康舒等台灣供應鏈，且AI需求規格較高，有助產品組合與ASP。2. 車用電子復甦與電動車/ADAS/車載電源長期需求，年報列示公司持續開發車規薄膜、合金、厚膜與MELF產品，並以IATF 16949、AEC-Q200等車用要求作為競爭基礎。3. 醫療、工控、儲能、5G/6G、航太與再生能源等利基應用提升高可靠度、高耐溫、高耐濕、抗硫化與高功率產品需求。4. 產能與產品升級：年報列示113年量產/開發ARW長邊薄膜車規電阻、CSMW長邊合金電阻、AEC-Q200薄膜電阻、CSM合金車規電阻、ARHP車用薄膜高功率電阻、耐高溫厚膜電阻、超高功率厚膜電阻等；114年持續開發ARW 0508、CSM-W車規升級、ARHP、CSM高功率低阻產品。2026法說轉述指出公司尋找中國大陸現成廠房，以薄膜電阻為擴產重心，初步新增1億顆、目標擴至2億顆，預估資本支出約新台幣6億元。5. 價格與供需：2026法說/媒體轉述指出因貴金屬等原料上漲與供需改善，公司已對部分產品調漲，若被動元件龍頭進一步漲價，產業價格有上行空間。主要風險包括：新台幣升值壓縮外銷毛利、貴金屬/基板等關鍵原料波動、基板等關鍵材料供應集中於少數國外廠商、AI/車用訂單若波動造成產能利用率回落、中國與國際同業擴產或價格競爭、品牌知名度相對國際大廠仍需提升、外銷比重高帶來匯率與地緣政治/貿易政策風險。2027-2028具體數字指引未見可查證公開資料，僅能合理推估公司仍將圍繞AI、車用、工控、醫療、航太與高可靠度被動元件擴產及升級。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • A公司 113年年報揭露為曾占進貨總額10%以上供應商之一，112年進貨96,680仟元、占11.75%；113年進貨44,673仟元、占5.60%。年報未揭露真實名稱，推測為原料或零組件供應商，故stock_id設為null。
  • 麗智 113年年報揭露為主要供應商，112年進貨84,025仟元、占10.21%；113年進貨75,455仟元、占9.46%。公開資料顯示麗智電子為金仁寶集團旗下未掛牌晶片電阻廠，非台股上市櫃公司，stock_id設為null。
  • 廣東風華高新科技股份有限公司 113年年報揭露為供應商，113年進貨80,569仟元、占10.10%；同時為光頡具重大影響之個體及持股40%大股東。該公司為中國深圳上市公司，非台股上市櫃，stock_id設為null。
  • 歐美及日本基板、瓷棒、鐵帽、導電膠、電阻膠、油墨、合金材供應商 年報說明被動元件主要原料為基板、瓷棒、鐵帽、導電膠、電阻膠、油墨及合金材，大部分由歐美及日本進口；具體公司未揭露，stock_id設為null。
Downstream
  • 緯穎科技服務股份有限公司 6669 2026法說轉述指出AI領域客戶涵蓋緯穎，屬資料中心/AI伺服器供應鏈；此為媒體整理之法說資訊，非年報具名主要客戶。
  • 智邦科技股份有限公司 2345 2026法說轉述指出AI領域客戶涵蓋智邦，應用於交換機/網通與資料中心相關需求；此為媒體整理之法說資訊，非年報具名主要客戶。
  • 台達電子工業股份有限公司 2308 2026法說轉述指出AI領域客戶涵蓋台達電，應用於伺服器電源與電源相關被動元件；此為媒體整理之法說資訊，非年報具名主要客戶。
  • 康舒科技股份有限公司 6282 2026法說轉述指出AI領域客戶涵蓋康舒，應用於伺服器電源；此為媒體整理之法說資訊，非年報具名主要客戶。
  • Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. 2026法說轉述指出光頡持續為Vishay代工厚膜電阻，年約5至6億顆；Vishay為美國上市公司且亦為競爭者，非台股上市櫃，stock_id設為null。
  • 中國大陸、歐美、韓國、新加坡等經銷商與終端電子客戶 年報揭露外銷占比約87.44%，大陸、香港、美國、德國、新加坡、韓國為主要銷售區域；具體客戶多未揭露，單一最大銷貨客戶占比9.24%。

Competitors

  • 國巨股份有限公司 2327 台股上市被動元件龍頭，產品涵蓋電阻、電容、電感等；與光頡在晶片電阻、被動元件供應與價格趨勢上具競爭及產業指標關係。
  • 華新科技股份有限公司 2492 台股上市被動元件廠，產品涵蓋MLCC、晶片電阻與RF元件等，為台灣被動元件同業。
  • 大毅科技股份有限公司 2478 台股上市晶片電阻與被動元件廠，與光頡一般/厚膜電阻等產品線具競爭關係。
  • 天二科技股份有限公司 6834 台股上櫃晶片電阻廠，近年透過入股麗智南通補足厚膜電阻料號與產能，與光頡在晶片電阻/厚膜電阻市場具競爭關係。
  • Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. 年報列為精密電阻與MELF金屬膜柱狀電阻主要競爭對手，為美國上市公司，非台股上市櫃。
  • KOA Corporation 年報列為精密電阻主要競爭對手，為日本上市/海外公司，非台股上市櫃。
  • Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. 年報列為高頻電感/薄膜陶瓷電感主要競爭對手，為日本上市公司，非台股上市櫃。
  • Coilcraft, Inc. 年報提及繞線陶瓷電感市場供應商以Coilcraft、Murata為主；Coilcraft為海外未上市/非台股公司，stock_id設為null。
Sources（8）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.