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5522

遠雄 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 遠雄 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 89Quality 78Growth 96Momentum 56Chips 83

Is 遠雄 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~90% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.8%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 4th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 41th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 6.8% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 191.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.28
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 兆豐證券 holds 2,445 lots
  • sellers have 829 lots left, ~42 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 兆豐證券 has accumulated 2,445 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美林 peaked at 623 lots, has sold 59%, 257 left, ~8 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.14pp, mid holders +4, retail -0.30pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -662 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
兆豐證券摩根大通統一中國信託富邦證券花旗環球
Distributing
美林凱基凱基-台北港商野村美商高盛宏遠證券
Desks
own scale
台灣摩根士丹利永豐金證券群益金鼎台新
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 兆豐證券 +2,445
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +1,463
    sold 15%
  • 統一 +910
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 中國信託 +826
    sold 5%
  • 富邦證券 +785
    sold 7%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +649
    sold 3%· still adding

Distributing

  • 美林 257 left
    sold 59%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 凱基 417 left
    sold 31%· paused recently
  • 凱基-台北 311 left
    sold 40%· paused recently
  • 港商野村 204 left
    sold 59%· ~11 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 150 left
    sold 66%· paused recently
  • 宏遠證券 164 left
    sold 39%· ~24 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -2,905
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 永豐金證券 -742
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎 -710
    unclassified
  • 台新 -532
    unclassified
Still selling 829 lots ~42 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,472 absorbed / -725 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -506 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 191.64%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

116 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 56.9%, Sample 102, Median +1.61%, Excess +1.15%, Beat mkt rate 53.9%；60-day: Win 59.4%, Sample 101, Median +4.04%, Excess +2.92%, Beat mkt rate 44.6%；120-day: Win 70.4%, Sample 98, Median +6.68%, Excess +2.45%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +7.68%

20-day +1.99%
60-day +6.43%
120-day +7.68%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
56.9%
59.4%
70.4%
Sample
102
101
98
Median
+1.61%
+4.04%
+6.68%
Excess
+1.15%
+2.92%
+2.45%
Beat mkt rate
53.9%
44.6%
50%

Over 98 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.68%, beat the market by 2.45 pts; win rate 70.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 460+9.3% +11.7% 71.5% -3.8%
20-40 494-3.3% +1.3% 52.6% -18.7%
40-60 You are here238+12.6% +6.2% 68.5% -2.4%
60-80 730+15.9% +11% 68.4% +1.2%
80-100 1110+16.2% +20.2% 73.6% -3.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 7.93, at the 41.3th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+1.5%
Win rate 71.4% Excess -6%
420d
Now
+2.7%
Win rate 56.7% Excess +2.2%
395d
+7.7%
Win rate 71.6% Excess -3%
1072d
60-day momentum down
+4.5%
Win rate 64.8% Excess -2.6%
438d
+1.8%
Win rate 62.2% Excess +1.9%
193d
+9.7%
Win rate 65.6% Excess -4.2%
634d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 395 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 2.7%, win rate 56.7%, beat the market by 2.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.43%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by -4.67 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

59 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.91%, win rate 44.8%, beating the market by -4.7 pts on average.

What does 遠雄 do? Company profile

建材營造／營建 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

5522 對應遠雄建設事業股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股，非 ETF、ETN、權證或特別股。公司成立於 1978/08/09，原於 1999/12 起在櫃買中心掛牌，2007/08/06 轉上市；總部位於台北市信義區基隆路一段200號16樓。董事長為趙文嘉，總經理為王耀堂，發言人為謝清林。股本為新台幣 7,815,962,410 元，已發行普通股 781,596,241 股。主要股東及關係企業資料顯示，遠東建設事業股份有限公司持有約 35.6%，信宇投資股份有限公司持有約 16.6%，遠雄建設持有遠雄營造股份有限公司 100%。公開資料中未查得全公司最新員工總數；公司官網描述其營造團隊有二百餘名專任營造工程師。

Business

公司主要業務為委託營造廠商興建國民住宅、商業大樓出租出售、投資興建公共建設、特定專業區開發、室內裝潢設計施工承包等。商業模式以土地取得、產品規劃、預售、營造施工、完工交屋認列收入為主，並輔以租賃收入、售地收入及投資性不動產或轉投資固定收益。2025 年合併營收為新台幣 311.53 億元，稅後淨利 58.25 億元，EPS 7.45 元；主要營收來源包含新北市「遠雄九五」、台中市「遠雄藝舍」、桃園售地案，以及下半年陸續交屋的「遠雄晴川」、「遠雄商舟」、「遠雄夏沐」、「遠雄幸福成」、「遠雄藏萃」等。依 2024-2025 兩年合計營收結構，住宅案以台中市 39.2%、桃園市 18.1%、台南市 10.9%、台北市 7.6%、新北市 3.3%為主；廠辦及其他商業設施以台北市 13.1%、新北市 6.0%為主；租賃收入約 1.0%，售地及其他約 0.9%。主要客戶為自住與置產購屋者、企業商辦或廠辦買方、租戶、地主與都更合作方；終端應用為住宅、商辦、廠辦、店面及其他商業設施。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 年已受完工交屋潮與早期低成本土地個案挹注，營收年增 39.1%，EPS 7.45 元創近年高水準。2026 年公司年度計畫列出同時銷售興建個案 10 案、預計完工 8 案、以前年度完工持續銷售 3 案、預計新推案 7 案；預計完工案包含新北「遠雄信義 CENTER」、桃園「遠雄仰森」、台中「遠雄洄山行」、「遠雄綠美」、高雄「遠雄琢蘊」、「遠雄 PARK 16」、台南「遠雄綠禾」、「遠雄東御苑」等。外部報導亦指出 2026 年遠雄除「遠雄商舟」第一季部分入帳、「台中幸福成」跨年度認列外，全年還有多筆新案完工交屋，總銷約 296 億元且多數接近完銷，短期業績能見度較高。2027-2028 年未查得公司正式量化財測，較合理的展望是持續依六都與新竹土地開發、預售去化、完工交屋節奏推動營收，但營建業認列高度受使照取得、交屋時點與個案毛利率影響。成長動能包括北部高含金量區域布局、商辦與廠辦比重提高、都更案、AI 半導體產業帶動工業地產與商辦需求、BIM 導入、低碳建築、綠建材、循環材料與 ISO 59000 循環經濟驗證等。主要風險包括央行信用管制與房貸緊縮、購屋負擔升高、房市量縮價盤整、中南部競品降價、建照使照比偏高造成庫存風險、土地與營建成本高檔、機電設備價格、土方與廢棄物處理成本、碳費與綠色通膨、利率與銀行授信政策、供應商承攬量能、訴訟與公司治理事件尚未完全落幕等。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 地主及都更地主 土地取得、合建、都更與開發案來源；多為個人、法人或政府機關，非特定台股掛牌公司。
  • 遠雄營造股份有限公司 遠雄建設 100% 持有之子公司，主要業務為綜合營造業，承接集團建案施工與工程管理；未上市櫃。
  • 建築師、結構、大地、帷幕、機電及工程設計顧問 建案規劃設計與專業工程顧問，年報產業鏈列示工程設計、結構工程、機電工程、基礎工程等上游角色；多為未上市或專案型供應商。
  • 鋼筋、水泥、預拌混凝土、磁磚、鋁模板、綠建材與機電設備供應商 建材原料與設備供應鏈；公司年報強調建立綠建材供應鏈、循環採購、磁磚回收再製與鋁模板循環使用，但未揭露可逐一確認的主要台股供應商名單。
  • 銀行及金融機構 土地、工程與營運資金授信來源；公司策略強調分散授信銀行並維持資金彈性，未揭露特定主要銀行名單。
Downstream
  • 個人購屋者 住宅案主要終端客戶，包含自住、換屋與置產買方；非公司。
  • 民間企業商辦及廠辦買方 商辦、廠辦及其他商業設施買方或租戶；包含科技、服務業與一般企業，未揭露特定台股主要客戶。
  • 政府機構及公共建設相關單位 公共建設、特定專業區開發、都更或都市開發相關合作與法規審查對象；非一般上市櫃公司客戶。
  • 房仲、代書、建經公司及物業管理業者 銷售、交易履約、交屋、社區管理與售後服務通路或配套角色；多為未上市櫃或專案合作方。

Competitors

Sources（8）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.