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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2028 威致. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2028

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2028

威致 Iron & Steel As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 威致 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 48Quality 38Growth 70Momentum 23Chips 79

Is 威致 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 37th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.0%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 74th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 94th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 5.7% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 25.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.22
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 福邦證券 holds 413 lots
  • sellers have 303 lots left, ~72 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -13% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 福邦證券 has accumulated 413 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 統一-新營 peaked at 191 lots, has sold 30%, 133 left, ~23 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.04pp, mid holders +4, retail -0.48pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -134 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
福邦證券台新-埔里台灣企銀-台南台灣企銀-桃園台灣摩根士丹利華南永昌-台南
Distributing
統一-新營花旗環球摩根大通富邦-台北新加坡商瑞銀美商高盛
Desks
own scale
富邦-竹北玉山-台南合庫-三重兆豐-小港
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 福邦證券 +413
    sold 0%
  • 台新-埔里 +345
    sold 7%
  • 台灣企銀-台南 +206
    sold 18%· still adding
  • 台灣企銀-桃園 +180
    sold 0%
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +158
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-台南 +142
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 統一-新營 133 left
    sold 30%· ~23 sessions to clear
  • 花旗環球 76 left
    sold 34%· paused recently
  • 摩根大通 55 left
    sold 44%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-台北 39 left
    sold 54%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 44 left
    sold 48%· ~18 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 22 left
    sold 67%· paused recently

Desks

  • 富邦-竹北 -878
    unclassified
  • 玉山-台南 -187
    unclassified
  • 合庫-三重 -150
    unclassified
  • 兆豐-小港 -115
    unclassified
Still selling 303 lots ~72 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +419 absorbed / -186 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -31 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 25.12%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

92 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 45.8%, Sample 83, Median -1.53%, Excess +1.02%, Beat mkt rate 47%；60-day: Win 42.2%, Sample 83, Median -1.43%, Excess +5.25%, Beat mkt rate 37.3%；120-day: Win 45.1%, Sample 82, Median -2.78%, Excess +10.2%, Beat mkt rate 34.1%

120 days after: historical avg +11.03%

20-day +1.16%
60-day +6.09%
120-day +11.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.8%
42.2%
45.1%
Sample
83
83
82
Median
-1.53%
-1.43%
-2.78%
Excess
+1.02%
+5.25%
+10.2%
Beat mkt rate
47%
37.3%
34.1%

Over 82 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.03%, beat the market by 10.2 pts; win rate 45.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 323+0.8% +0.7% 52% -13.3%
20-40 84-3.2% +0.1% 51.2% -9.5%
40-60 237-14.1% -11.8% 22.4% -17.3%
60-80 401+11.5% +5% 60.6% -15.6%
80-100 You are here692+84.1% -0.9% 49.1% +53.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 47.43, at the 93.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-8%
Win rate 50.3% Excess -11.7%
163d
-16.4%
Win rate 9.2% Excess -21.1%
163d
+34.4%
Win rate 54.2% Excess +19.2%
601d
60-day momentum down
+6.6%
Win rate 59.8% Excess +4.7%
229d
-9.5%
Win rate 40.8% Excess -8.2%
130d
Now
+9.7%
Win rate 54.1% Excess -6.6%
571d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 571 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 9.7%, win rate 54.1%, lagged the market by 6.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +19.33%, win rate 64.7%, beating the market by +16.74 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

47 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.85%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +3.41 pts on average.

What does 威致 do? Company profile

鋼鐵工業 臺灣證券交易所上市

Overview

2028 為威致鋼鐵工業股份有限公司普通股，簡稱威致，屬臺灣證券交易所上市鋼鐵股。公司成立於 1982 年 10 月 27 日，1996 年 12 月 13 日上市，總部位於臺南市官田區南廍里南廍 123 號。董事長兼總經理為郭素惠。依 2024 永續報告書，公司實收資本額為新臺幣 3,257,148 仟元，2024 年營業額為新臺幣 10,196,132 仟元，員工人數 383 人，廠區約 14 萬平方公尺。公司早期以黑鐵絲加工與盤元買賣為主，1991 年於臺南官田籌建煉鋼與軋鋼一貫廠，1994 年及 1996 年完成軋鋼廠與煉鋼廠建設及試車。主要股東依 113 年年報基準日 2024-04-22 包含惠淳投資 12.93%、恩惠投資 9.93%、乾耀科技 9.83%、理恩投資 7.98%、應誠窗簾 5.46%、頂廣投資 4.20%、郭素惠 3.69%。

Business

威致為電爐煉鋼、煉軋一貫作業鋼鐵廠，主要業務為鋼胚、鋼筋、直棒鋼、條鋼盤元、特殊合金鋼等鋼鐵製品之加工製造與銷售。113 年度營業比重為鋼筋 85.46%、棒鋼 9.37%、盤元 4.20%、鋼胚 0.91%、其他 0.06%。商業模式為採購國內外廢鐵、生鐵與副原料，透過煉鋼廠生產鋼胚，再由軋鋼廠軋製鋼筋、棒鋼與盤元；鋼胚多可自產自用，降低軋鋼原料供應風險。鋼筋用途為辦公大樓、住宅、廠房、道路、橋梁、隧道等營建與公共工程；棒鋼與盤元用途為螺絲螺帽、手工具、汽機車零件與機械製造。銷售地區以臺灣為主，國內早期偏中南部，近年中北部比重提升；外銷重點區域包括澳洲、香港、韓國。主要銷售對象為國內盤商、貿易商、軋鋼製造業、其他金屬製造業、機械製造業、螺絲螺帽製造業、公共工程及民間營造業；公司未公開主要客戶真實名稱，年報以 A/B/C 公司代稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 年至 2028 年展望以鋼筋建材景氣、公共工程、外銷認證、高附加價值棒鋼/盤元、低碳鋼品與成型加工擴建為核心。公司 114 年度營業計畫目標為鋼筋內銷 40 萬噸、外銷 5 萬噸、棒鋼及盤元 10 萬噸，並依市場需求調整產品比重；經營方針包括提升國內鋼筋直接客戶市占、提升棒鋼與盤元高附加價值鋼品市占、改善製程效率、增設節能減碳設備、申請國際綠色鋼品認證。成長動能方面，AI 與低碳投資帶動廠商擴產、自動化設備需求、國際大廠擴大對臺投資、政府公共建設穩定成長，均可能支撐鋼筋與型鋼需求；公司亦已取得多國鋼筋認證、全品項產品碳足跡與 EPD、IATF 16949 汽車業品質管理系統，有利棒鋼/盤元切入較高附加價值與車用/工業應用。中期投資方面，財報揭露公司 111 至 114 年節能減碳設備與太陽光電/儲能投資預計購置機器設備新臺幣 1,559,667 仟元；為因應成型產品需求擴增，於臺南官田購地並計畫 113 至 116 年投入約新臺幣 911,000 仟元擴建裁剪廠，另規劃投入約新臺幣 80,000 仟元增設太陽能光電設備。2026 至 2028 年公司未公開量化財測，合理關注點為裁剪廠投產進度、成型加工比重、綠電/低碳設備效益、碳費與 CBAM 對成本及出口競爭力的影響。主要風險為中國產能過剩與低價鋼材外溢、全球鋼鐵產能增加與貿易保護、廢鋼與能源價格波動、臺灣電價調漲與碳費課徵、國內鋼筋產能過剩、公共工程與民間營建景氣波動、地緣政治及匯率風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 國內廢鐵中盤商 主要原料廢鐵來源；年報指出國內主要由南部廢鐵中盤商供應，部分由北、中區廢鐵中盤商供應，未揭露具體公司名稱。
  • 國外廢鐵供應商 進口廢鐵來源地包括香港、日本、美國、南非、澳洲、烏克蘭等地區；未揭露具體供應商名稱，多為境外或未上市供應商。
  • 消耗性物料供應商 供應電極棒、耐火材、重油、輥輪等煉軋鋼消耗性物料；年報未揭露具名供應商。
  • 副原料供應商 供應矽鐵、生石灰等煉鋼副原料；年報未揭露具名供應商。
  • 乾耀科技股份有限公司 財報揭露為關係人交易對象之一，且為主要股東之一；是否為台股掛牌公司未能確認，故 stock_id 設為 null。
Downstream
  • 國內盤商與貿易商 鋼筋、鋼胚、盤元與棒鋼主要銷售對象之一；公司未揭露主要客戶真實名稱。
  • 公共工程與民間營造業 鋼筋主要終端應用，包括辦公大樓、住宅、廠房、道路、橋梁、隧道等建築與基礎建設。
  • 螺絲螺帽製造業 棒鋼與盤元下游應用，尤其南部螺絲、螺帽業客戶為公司積極開發方向。
  • 手工具與機械製造業 棒鋼與盤元下游應用；年報指出公司積極布局中部手工具業客戶。
  • 汽機車零件製造業 棒鋼與盤元終端應用之一；公司取得 IATF 16949 汽車業品質管理系統驗證，有助拓展車用供應鏈。
  • 國外客戶 外銷重點地區包括澳洲、香港、韓國；多屬境外客戶，年報未揭露具名客戶。

Competitors

  • 東和鋼鐵 2006 臺灣上市鋼筋與鋼胚同業，櫃買產業鏈資料列為鋼筋本國上市公司。
  • 燁興 2007 臺灣上市鋼筋、線材盤元同業。
  • 豐興 2015 臺灣上市電爐鋼廠，鋼筋與棒鋼盤元同業。
  • 官田鋼 2017 臺灣上市鋼筋與線材盤元同業，地理位置同在臺南官田區，具區域競爭關係。
  • 海光 2038 臺灣上市鋼筋同業，與威致同屬南部鋼筋市場重要廠商。
  • 雄順 2073 臺灣上櫃鋼筋、線材盤元與棒鋼盤元同業。
  • 中鋼 2002 臺灣上市鋼鐵龍頭，為鋼胚、線材盤元等相關品項競爭或價格指標廠商。
  • 聚亨 2022 臺灣上市線材盤元同業。
  • 春雨 2012 臺灣上市線材盤元與螺絲相關供應鏈公司，與威致盤元下游應用部分重疊。
  • 春源 2010 臺灣上市棒鋼盤元與鋼材加工相關同業。
Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.