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8021

尖點 Other Electronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 尖點 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 12Quality 77Growth 91Momentum 99Chips 46

Is 尖點 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~84% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.3%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 94th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 100th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.1% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 86.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.74
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 摩根大通 holds 4,821 lots
  • sellers have 4,078 lots left, ~190 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +147% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 摩根大通 has accumulated 4,821 lots since the start (sold 18%), now trimming.
  • Main distributor 永豐金證券 peaked at 3,662 lots, has sold 31%, 2,523 left, ~190 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +6.16pp, mid holders +15, retail -10.15pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -4,228 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
摩根大通富邦證券國票-敦北法人港商麥格理華南永昌兆豐-忠孝
Distributing
永豐金證券元大證券台新-台北統一台灣摩根士丹利國泰證券
Desks
own scale
中國信託新加坡商瑞銀美商高盛富邦-建國
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 摩根大通 +4,821
    sold 18%
  • 富邦證券 +4,366
    sold 19%· still adding
  • 國票-敦北法人 +2,131
    sold 2%
  • 港商麥格理 +1,399
    sold 0%
  • 華南永昌 +1,315
    sold 6%
  • 兆豐-忠孝 +452
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 永豐金證券 2,523 left
    sold 31%· ~190 sessions to clear
  • 元大證券 1,129 left
    sold 67%· paused recently
  • 台新-台北 1,414 left
    sold 52%· paused recently
  • 統一 464 left
    sold 82%· paused recently
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 502 left
    sold 75%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 國泰證券 320 left
    sold 79%· paused recently

Desks

  • 中國信託 -1,317
    unclassified
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 -1,275
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美商高盛 -1,062
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 富邦-建國 -911
    unclassified
Still selling 4,078 lots ~190 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,800 absorbed / -1,307 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -3,090 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

32 historical occurrences (since 2009-10-06)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 51.6%, Sample 31, Median +0.43%, Excess +1.62%, Beat mkt rate 51.6%；60-day: Win 58.1%, Sample 31, Median +6.71%, Excess +13.89%, Beat mkt rate 54.8%；120-day: Win 51.7%, Sample 29, Median +0.3%, Excess +20.03%, Beat mkt rate 41.4%

120 days after: historical avg +28.72%

20-day +2.96%
60-day +18.72%
120-day +28.72%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
51.6%
58.1%
51.7%
Sample
31
31
29
Median
+0.43%
+6.71%
+0.3%
Excess
+1.62%
+13.89%
+20.03%
Beat mkt rate
51.6%
54.8%
41.4%

Over 29 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 28.72%, beat the market by 20.03 pts; win rate 51.7%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 86.29%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

77 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 60, Median +1.27%, Excess +2.28%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 51.7%, Sample 58, Median +0.61%, Excess +4.87%, Beat mkt rate 44.8%；120-day: Win 47.3%, Sample 55, Median -2.19%, Excess +12.25%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120 days after: historical avg +17.89%

20-day +3.62%
60-day +8.79%
120-day +17.89%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.3%
51.7%
47.3%
Sample
60
58
55
Median
+1.27%
+0.61%
-2.19%
Excess
+2.28%
+4.87%
+12.25%
Beat mkt rate
50%
44.8%
40%

Over 55 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.89%, beat the market by 12.25 pts; win rate 47.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 465+28.1% +24.1% 86% +3.6%
20-40 409+16.6% +23.4% 70.9% -3.4%
40-60 504+8.2% +9.8% 64.3% -5.4%
60-80 597+0.3% -8.1% 26% -3.3%
80-100 You are here802+185.5% +57.7% 67% +157.7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 155.3, at the 99.8th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+11.8%
Win rate 76.9% Excess +4.6%
290d
+5.4%
Win rate 62.9% Excess -1.3%
423d
Now
+40.4%
Win rate 56.8% Excess +27.2%
932d
60-day momentum down
+4.6%
Win rate 63.7% Excess -0.8%
430d
+10%
Win rate 64.8% Excess +1.4%
375d
+51.7%
Win rate 44.5% Excess +42%
447d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 932 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 40.4%, win rate 56.8%, beat the market by 27.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

49 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.91%, win rate 72.3%, beating the market by +8.02 pts on average.

What does 尖點 do? Company profile

其他電子業；PCB 鑽針、銑刀與鑽孔加工服務 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

尖點科技成立於1996年4月12日，股票代號8021，2004年上櫃，2008年1月21日轉上市，總部位於新北市樹林區佳園路三段203號。公司董事長為林序庭，總經理為林若萍；官方投資人關係資料列示實收資本額為新台幣1,450,424,670元。公司自述全球員工約1,900人，營運據點遍及台灣、中國大陸、韓國、日本與泰國，並有多家海內外子公司；2024年年報另揭露母公司從業人員截至2025年2月28日為362人。主要股東方面，2024年年報列示截至2025年3月29日主要股東包含林序庭持股5,519,260股、持股比例3.88%，宏誠創業投資股份有限公司持股4,416,152股、3.11%，萬承國際開發股份有限公司持股3,000,600股、2.11%。公司發言人為張家齊。2026年4月至5月公司辦理上限新台幣6億元私募無擔保可轉換公司債，媒體與公開資訊指出欣興、臻鼎-KY、金像電等 PCB 客戶參與，目的與高階鑽針產能、新廠購置及供應鏈合作有關。

Business

尖點的核心業務為印刷電路板（PCB）用精密微型鑽針、銑刀、槽刀之研發、製造與銷售，並提供 PCB 專業鑽孔加工服務，包含機械鑽孔與雷射鑽孔。鑽針是 PCB 機械鑽孔製程的關鍵耗材，用於貫穿電路板層間接點，使電子零件與線路連通；銑刀與槽刀則用於外型切割、修邊、導角、槽孔加工等。依公司2024年年報，2024年度精密金屬製品及加工服務營收為新台幣34.72933億元，占營收98.08%，其他為0.68166億元，占1.92%；凱基資料列示2025年營收比重為精密金屬製品及加工服務97.40%、其他2.60%。銷售區域方面，2024年中國占59.97%、台灣占35.78%、其他占4.25%。公司2024年月均出貨量約2,500萬至2,800萬支，年報估計全球市占率約10%至15%，為世界排名頂尖的鑽針供應商。2026年第一季官方法說簡報列示合併營收13.40億元、年增51.0%，毛利率36.6%，EPS 1.17元，產能利用率約91%。商業模式以自有品牌銷售高精密鑽針與銑刀，加上代鑽孔加工服務，主要客戶為國內外 PCB、HDI、IC載板、軟板、車用板與高階伺服器板廠；終端應用包含電腦、通訊、網通、高速運算、AI伺服器、消費性電子、穿戴裝置、車用電子、低軌衛星等。公司年報揭露2024年銷貨客戶以匿名甲公司、乙公司、丙公司表示，其中甲公司占16.88%，乙公司占12.36%，丙公司占5.59%；乙公司與公司有共同投資成立公司之情事。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的主要成長動能來自 AI 伺服器、高速運算、高速交換機、ABF/IC載板、HDI、車用電子、低軌衛星與高頻高速材料升級。公司年報引用 Prismark 估計全球 PCB 市場2023至2028年複合成長率約5.4%，2025年全球 PCB 產值可望回升，且高階 PCB 成長率優於整體市場。尖點2024年已完成或持續開發新世代伺服器專用鑽針、新一代 ABF 載板專用鑽針、車用電子鍍膜鑽針、低軌衛星專用鑽針，2024年研發費用約1.41億元、占營收約4.0%，截至2024年底累計189項專利。2025年公司營收44.10億元、年增24.5%，EPS 2.75元，受惠 AI 伺服器與高速交換機需求，營運創高。產能方面，公司沿革顯示2025年鑽針/銑刀月產能合計達3,100萬支，2026年第一季預估達3,500萬支；2026年法說與新聞資料指出公司規劃2026年底前將鑽針月產能提升至至少4,500萬支，並投入逾16億元資本支出，高階鍍膜鑽針比重目標提升至約55%或以上。中壢新廠與上海新廠為後續擴產重點，媒體與法說紀錄指出中壢新廠規劃約800萬支月產能、預計2027年起分批貢獻；泰國據點已於2025年度投產，有助客戶 China+1 與區域供應鏈彈性。2027至2028年展望取決於中壢新廠、上海新廠與泰國據點爬坡、高階產品占比、AI/HPC客戶擴產節奏，以及鑽針 ASP 是否能反映材料與供需。主要風險包含低階成熟鑽針價格競爭、陸資廠商擴產、主要原料碳化鎢供應與價格波動、匯率與跨境物流成本、AI伺服器需求循環、客戶集中度、擴產資本支出與新廠爬坡不如預期、技術規格轉換與良率風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 日本三菱 年報列為主要原料碳化鎢供應廠商之一；非台股掛牌公司，應為日本供應商，實際法人與股票代號未於年報中完整揭露。
  • 日本住友 年報列為主要原料碳化鎢供應廠商之一；非台股掛牌公司，實際法人與股票代號未於年報中完整揭露。
  • 日本京瓷 年報列為主要原料碳化鎢供應廠商之一；非台股掛牌公司，實際法人與股票代號未於年報中完整揭露。
  • 瑞士及日本高精密機器供應商 公司官網稱生產流程採瑞士及日本全自動高精密機器；未揭露具體供應商名稱，故 stock_id 設為 null。
Downstream
  • 欣興電子股份有限公司 3037 台股上市 PCB/IC載板廠；2026年參與尖點私募可轉換公司債，公開資訊稱目的為鞏固供應鏈關係，屬高階鑽針與載板/AI相關需求的重要下游客戶或策略合作對象。
  • 臻鼎科技控股股份有限公司 4958 台股上市 PCB 龍頭；媒體與公開資訊指出參與尖點私募可轉換公司債，反映 AI PCB 供應鏈與高階鑽針產能合作。
  • 金像電子股份有限公司 2368 台股上市 PCB 廠，AI伺服器板相關供應鏈；媒體報導列為尖點私募可轉換公司債洽定或參與對象之一，用於強化高階鑽針供應關係。
  • 匿名甲公司、乙公司、丙公司 公司2024年年報揭露2024年前三大銷貨客戶以甲、乙、丙匿名表示，分別占銷貨淨額16.88%、12.36%、5.59%；未揭露實名，乙公司與尖點有共同投資成立公司之情事。

Competitors

  • 凱崴電子股份有限公司 5498 台股上櫃公司；尖點2024年年報列為國內主要競爭同業之一，業務包含 PCB 原料、鑽頭等相關產品。
  • 高僑自動化科技股份有限公司 6234 台股掛牌公司；尖點2024年年報列為國內主要競爭同業之一，營運包含自動化設備與微型鑽頭。
  • Union Tool Co. 日本上市公司，全球 PCB 鑽針主要競爭者；尖點年報提及日系廠商中全球市占率第一者，並稱尖點與日本廠商同樣具備 HDI 與 IC載板微尺寸鑽針能力。
  • 中國大陸鑽針廠商 年報指出近年陸資廠商積極切入，主要以傳統 PCB 用小尺寸鑽針為主，低階成熟市場價格競爭較激烈；未列具體公司名稱。
Sources（21）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.