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1444

力麗 Textiles As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 力麗 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 46Quality 29Growth 90Momentum 56Chips 78

Is 力麗 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 26th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.6%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 68th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 66th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 5.2% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 81.0%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.45
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 holds 3,349 lots
  • sellers have 2,228 lots left, ~53 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +13% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台灣摩根士丹利 has accumulated 3,349 lots since the start (sold 4%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 1,525 lots, has sold 32%, 1,041 left, ~53 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.37pp, mid holders +5, retail -0.80pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -224 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台灣摩根士丹利華南永昌-鳳山凱基-台北元大-民生三民高橋華南永昌-基隆
Distributing
摩根大通美商高盛國泰-敦南華南永昌-林口新加坡商瑞銀元大-館前
Desks
own scale
國票-九鼎元大-台南港商野村元大-六合
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +3,349
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-鳳山 +2,842
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-台北 +1,118
    sold 18%
  • 元大-民生三民 +954
    sold 5%
  • 高橋 +918
    sold 15%
  • 華南永昌-基隆 +836
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 摩根大通 1,041 left
    sold 32%· ~53 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 480 left
    sold 50%· ~30 sessions to clear
  • 國泰-敦南 355 left
    sold 45%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-林口 375 left
    sold 39%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 332 left
    sold 44%· ~29 sessions to clear
  • 元大-館前 84 left
    sold 70%· ~4 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 國票-九鼎 -1,023
    unclassified
  • 元大-台南 -1,021
    unclassified
  • 港商野村 -964
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大-六合 -812
    unclassified
Still selling 2,228 lots ~53 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +5,395 absorbed / -918 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -214 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 81.02%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

64 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 60.3%, Sample 63, Median +0.91%, Excess +1.07%, Beat mkt rate 47.6%；60-day: Win 53.2%, Sample 62, Median +1.92%, Excess +3.71%, Beat mkt rate 58.1%；120-day: Win 40.3%, Sample 62, Median -2.24%, Excess +4.59%, Beat mkt rate 41.9%

120 days after: historical avg +3.94%

20-day +1.6%
60-day +3.55%
120-day +3.94%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60.3%
53.2%
40.3%
Sample
63
62
62
Median
+0.91%
+1.92%
-2.24%
Excess
+1.07%
+3.71%
+4.59%
Beat mkt rate
47.6%
58.1%
41.9%

Over 62 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.94%, beat the market by 4.59 pts; win rate 40.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 150-9.8% -8.3% 10.7% -69.5%
20-40 173+3.2% +1.1% 54.3% -13.7%
40-60 189+8.8% +5.6% 63.5% -40%
60-80 You are here629+4.3% +1.5% 53.6% -18.9%
80-100 695+5.8% -0.1% 49.5% +3.3%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 26.61, at the 65.6th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-0.6%
Win rate 46.5% Excess -9.3%
157d
-6.3%
Win rate 7.6% Excess -18.8%
184d
+0.1%
Win rate 26.6% Excess -8.3%
567d
60-day momentum down
+3.4%
Win rate 76.4% Excess -6.8%
144d
Now
-0.4%
Win rate 33% Excess -13.9%
224d
+7.1%
Win rate 52.5% Excess -4.2%
680d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 224 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0.4%, win rate 33%, lagged the market by 13.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.11%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by +6.22 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

73 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.65%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -3.98 pts on average.

What does 力麗 do? Company profile

紡織纖維 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

力麗企業股份有限公司為台灣上市普通股公司，股票代號1444，產業別為紡織纖維。公司成立於1979/01/15，公開發行日為1989/11/18，上市日為1990/08/08，總部位於台北市中山區松江路162號11樓。董事長為郭紹儀，總經理為陳漢卿。實收資本額約新台幣99.56億元，普通股發行股數995,595,059股，每股面額新台幣10元，無特別股。113年年報揭露截至114/03/31合併從業員工1,914人。主要法人/關係股東包括東廷投資、力鵬企業、力茂投資、力興投資、鴻興投資、凱祥投資、智祥投資、順煜投資、鴻毅投資及郭紹儀等，其中東廷投資與力鵬企業為重要法人股東；年報揭露郭紹儀以本人與他人名義合計持有相當比例股份。公司屬力麗集團/力寳龍關係企業，與力鵬、印尼力寳龍、力麗科技、力麟科技、力傑能源等關係企業形成聚酯、尼龍、織布、染整、綠能與回收循環布局。

Business

力麗為一貫化纖廠，主要業務為聚酯加工絲、聚酯原絲與聚酯粒、瓶用酯粒，並延伸至長纖織物、尼龍薄膜、環保回收纖維、機能性紗線及部分營建/資產相關收入。113年度合併營收約新台幣82.70億元，年增1.48%，稅後淨利約2.46億元；主要銷售量包括加工絲44,786噸、瓶用酯粒55,552噸、聚酯粒11,622噸、聚酯原絲4,139噸、煤炭199,778噸、長纖織物2,341萬碼。MoneyDJ彙整之2024營收結構為聚酯加工絲約44%、瓶用酯粒約21%、長纖織物約13%、聚酯絲/粒約8%、尼龍薄膜約3%。產品用途包括下游平織褲料、衣料、家飾布、時裝、戶外用品；瓶用酯粒供飲料、食品、礦泉水、包裝飲用水、果汁、茶飲、碳酸飲料、食用油、化妝品、清潔用品之包裝瓶，也可製成PET膠片供食品、玩具、電器、零配件、手工具及家飾用品外包裝。113年度銷售地區以台灣為主，銷售額約48.91億元，外銷亞洲約22.41億元、美洲約9.69億元、其他約1.69億元，合計約82.70億元；加工絲國內市占率約12.06%。商業模式以採購PTA、EG、POY、尼龍粒等石化/化纖原料，經聚合、紡絲、假撚加工、織布/染整或瓶級酯粒加工後，銷售給布廠、吹瓶廠、膠片廠、品牌供應鏈及海外通路。公司亦以LIBOLON力寳龍品牌整合集團尼龍、聚酯、聚合、紡絲、織布、染整與後加工能力，並發展RePET、PolyPlus、CRZ廢衣回收纖維、低溫染聚酯纖維、石墨烯纖維、濃染CD纖維、Warm Tech、鞋材用發泡TPEE等差異化與環保機能產品。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的核心展望為「低碳永續、高值化、海外/印尼擴張、電子與3C材料應用、資產與綠能收益」並行。2025年公司營業計畫聚焦力寳龍綠能循環經濟，自織物回收導入SRF替代能源，與瑞曼迪斯合資SRF工廠，建置地面型3MW太陽光電設備並申請自發自用，同時擴大電子業、3C產品應用。年報明確表示未來接單策略將朝高值化方向發展，並以低碳技術、綠色產品與能源自發自用降低碳費及能源風險。2025全年合併營收約71.14億元，較2024年下滑約13.98%，顯示傳統聚酯/加工絲仍受中國大陸、印度、東南亞低價競爭與全球消費疲弱影響；2026年1至5月累計營收約38.38億元，年增約24%，工商時報報導指出力麗策略性調降部分加工絲、聚酯產能，強化環保回收與機能性產品，彰化廠聚焦高附加價值加工絲，印尼廠持續擴充織布產能，市場預期2026營運優於2025。2027至2028年屬合理推估而非公司正式財測：成長動能可能來自CRZ織物回收與物理式脫色系統、PolyPlus/NylonPlus回收材料、環保低溫染與生物可分解聚酯、電子材料/3C網布用紗、車材/醫療/產業用紗、歐美品牌低碳供應鏈需求、印尼力寳龍織染三期擴廠與在地化供應鏈；風險則包括PTA/EG等原料與油價波動、電價與碳費成本、台灣缺電與人工成本、台灣未加入RCEP造成關稅/區域整合劣勢、下游染整與成衣外移、人才斷層、一般規格品價格競爭、產能利用率不足、品牌去庫存循環、匯率與地緣政治/關稅政策不確定性。

Supply Chain

Upstream
Downstream
  • 力鵬企業股份有限公司 1447 關聯企業與主要客戶；113年年報列力鵬為銷貨金額約12.04億元、占銷貨約15%的主要客戶。
  • 福懋興業股份有限公司 1434 年報列為國內布廠等下游銷貨客戶之一。
  • 弘裕企業股份有限公司 1474 年報列為國內布廠等下游銷貨客戶之一。
  • 國內吹瓶廠與膠片廠 瓶用酯粒下游客戶群，用於飲料、食品、清潔用品、化妝品包裝瓶及PET Sheet；年報未逐一揭露公司名稱。
  • New Balance 國際品牌客戶/終端應用；年報提及新式環保產品在鞋材及成衣應用上已由NB穩定下單，非台股上市櫃公司。
  • Adidas 國際品牌客戶/終端應用；年報提及環保產品延伸至Adidas，德國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 迪卡儂 國際品牌/通路客戶；年報提及環保產品延伸至迪卡儂，未上市且非台股掛牌。
  • Apple Inc. MoneyDJ稱力麗環保聚酯紗線/Ecoya 3D網布曾打入Apple供應鏈；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Google MoneyDJ稱力麗相關3D網布產品曾打入Google供應鏈；美國上市公司Alphabet旗下，非台股掛牌。

Competitors

Sources（9）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.