Ask AI to review this stock
Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.
Tell your AI:
Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2065 世豐. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2065
2065
steady quality, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 世豐 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
-
Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 56th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.3%.
-
Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 60th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 93th percentile.
-
Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.5% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -4% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 永豐金-高雄 has accumulated 2,304 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 元大-北港 peaked at 102 lots, has sold 36%, 65 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.65pp, mid holders +0, retail -3.54pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -187 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 永豐金-高雄 +2,304
- 富邦-建國 +47
- 華南永昌-古亭 +41
- 合庫-鳳山 +37
- 中國信託-高雄 +35
- 凱基-五股 +32
Distributing
- 元大-北港 65 left
- 華南永昌-東昇 27 left
- 統一-南京 4 left
- 凱基-大直 3 left
- 元大-新竹 18 left
- 新光-高雄 5 left
Desks
- 新光 -385
- 富邦-南屯 -102
- 國泰-敦南 -96
- 群益金鼎-北高雄 -94
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 430 | +24.6% | +22.3% | 100% | +10.9% |
| 20-40 | 185 | +6.6% | +10.2% | 73.5% | -30.9% |
| 40-60 | 202 | +1.5% | +6.9% | 60.9% | -16.5% |
| 60-80 | 372 | -14.6% | -30.1% | 37.4% | -40.3% |
| 80-100 You are here | 32 | -30% | -38.1% | 0% | -88.3% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 28.44, at the 93.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 141 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 6.4%, win rate 51.1%, lagged the market by 19.7%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.54%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +1.73 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
45 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.81%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by -0.29 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
18 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.43%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by -5.37 pts on average.
What does 世豐 do? Company profile
Overview
2065 對應證券為世豐螺絲股份有限公司，屬上櫃普通股。公司創立於 1973 年 8 月 9 日，總公司位於高雄市橋頭區復興西路 810 號，主要生產基地包含橋頭、彌陀及越南廠；董事長為杜泰源，總經理為陳駿彥，發言人為陳秀珠。公司於 2017 年 4 月 21 日上櫃。依 2026 年 2 月資料，實收股本約新台幣 6.3517 億元、已發行普通股 63,516,707 股；2025 年法說會列示員工人數 288 人，2025 年年報列示 2025 年底員工 290 人、2026 年 3 月底 286 人。2026 年 4 月 7 日主要股東包含麗泰股份有限公司 11.97%、世鎧精密股份有限公司 7.94%、世豐投資股份有限公司 7.27%、唯聖投資有限公司 5.06%；股東結構中其他法人持股 42.05%、個人 57.15%、外國機構及外國人 0.80%。公司股利政策為當年度股東紅利分派以不低於剩餘可分配盈餘 50% 為原則，其中現金股利不低於配發股利總額 10%；2025 年度合計配發現金股利每股 1.5 元，已於 2026 年 5 月 8 日發放。
Business
世豐為專業螺絲製造商，營業項目包含螺絲、螺帽、螺絲釘、鉚釘等製品製造、機械設備製造與國際貿易。2025 年營收淨額為新台幣 20.72496 億元，其中螺絲 20.58584 億元、占 99.33%，其他代工、貿易商品、出售線材與針具等 0.13912 億元、占 0.67%。主要產品應用於建築工程、戶外與居家 DIY 修繕，產品線涵蓋鑽尾螺絲、木結構螺絲、乾牆螺絲、塑板螺絲、鐵板螺絲、木螺絲、雙牙螺絲、烤漆螺絲、汽車扣件等。2024 年法說會銷售市場分布為美國約 61%、歐洲 16%、亞洲 12%、澳洲 7%；年報揭露 2025 年銷售仍以外銷為主，2025 年外銷金額 18.99269 億元、占 91.64%。客戶屬性以國外品牌商、OEM、建築批發、五金零售通路商、線上購物平台、伐木場與進口商為主，主要銷貨對象名稱在年報以代號揭露；2025 年最大客戶「甲」占營收 21.68%，但未揭露實名。公司商業模式是以自有全製程製造能力供應建築與修繕扣件，透過品質、交期、表面處理、耐腐蝕、客製化共同開發與外銷通路滲透取得訂單。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 年公司營運受美國對等關稅、鋼鋁 232 條款衍生關稅、台幣快速升值、越南子公司初期營運成本較高及終端客戶採購保守影響，全年營收 20.72496 億元、年減 10.76%，稅後淨利 0.71 億元、年減約 65.37%，EPS 1.12 元。2026 年前 5 月營收 9.13 億元、年增 1.19%，5 月單月營收約 1.81618 億元、年增 18.56%，公司說明受惠歐洲、美國及亞洲市場訂單維持穩健，以及越南新廠生產與出貨占比逐步提升。2025 至 2028 年主要成長動能包括：越南廠切入新客戶與新產品認證、分散台灣地緣與關稅風險、提升產品附加價值、推進自動化與智慧製造以改善毛利結構、拓展歐洲與東南亞市場、與客戶共同開發高功能客製化扣件。新產品與技術方向包含風管專用機械牙子彈尾鐵板螺絲、三角牙自攻螺絲、PVC 板用高穩定性攻速螺絲、越南內銷屋頂螺絲、不含全氟/多氟烤漆螺絲、不銹鋼螺絲粉體噴頭、抗 UV 噴頭螺絲、雙立瑪鑽尾螺絲、汽車扣件、高強度螺絲、Composite Deck Screws、Structural Lag Screw、環保 KAITEX 烤漆螺絲、Multi-Material 複合材料應用螺絲及低碳排高性質螺絲。產業趨勢方面，台灣扣件產業仍具完整聚落與出口競爭力，但面臨中國與東南亞低價競爭、歐美利率與景氣循環、客戶庫存調整、鋼材盤元價格波動、匯率波動、美國關稅政策、委外加工品質與交期穩定度、越南廠爬坡成本及新客戶認證時程等風險。2027 至 2028 年未見公司公開量化財測；上述展望屬依公司法說會、年報策略與 2026 年已公布營運訊息所作之方向性推估。
Supply Chain
- 中鋼 2002 主要原料盤元供應商；年報列示盤元由中鋼供應，品質與貨源穩定、長期合作。
- 盤元、碳鋼線材供應鏈 扣件主要原料為碳鋼盤元；部分主要進貨廠商在年報以 A、B 代號揭露，未揭露實名。
- 表面處理、熱處理、電鍍與烤漆委外加工廠 公司具完整製程，但因產能調配、客戶要求或特殊產品仍會委外加工；年報未揭露具名廠商。
- 美洲大型品牌商、建築批發與五金零售通路商 主要外銷市場與客戶類型；2024 年美洲銷售占比約 61%，2025 年最大銷貨客戶以代號「甲」揭露、占營收 21.68%，未揭露實名。
- 歐洲建築批發、五金零售通路商與線上購物通路 法說會列示歐洲為主要市場之一，2024 年占比約 16%；2026 年公司稱歐洲客戶訂單需求穩健。
- 澳洲與亞洲建築、戶外修繕及 DIY 通路商 法說會列示澳洲、亞洲市場與建築批發、五金零售、線上購物、伐木場等客戶屬性；未揭露具名客戶。
- 木造房屋、鐵皮屋頂、木棧道、室內裝修等終端應用 主要終端應用領域，非單一掛牌公司。
Competitors
Sources（11）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.