Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2414 精技. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2414

No install, open FinLab Studio

2414

精技 Electronics Distribution As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 精技 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 59Quality 61Growth 89Momentum 80Chips 65

Is 精技 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 39th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.7%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 36th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 99th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 2.4% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 73.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.62
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 永豐金證券 holds 846 lots
  • sellers have 298 lots left, ~165 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +48% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金證券 has accumulated 846 lots since the start (sold 5%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 300 lots, has sold 63%, 110 left, ~6 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.82pp, mid holders +3, retail -1.41pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -203 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金證券美林(牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐摩根大通元大證券統一
Distributing
凱基-台北台灣摩根士丹利合庫-台中元大-三民群益金鼎-敦南永豐金-竹科
Desks
own scale
台灣企銀群益金鼎-延平兆豐-鹿港玉山-信義
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金證券 +846
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 美林 +305
    sold 0%· still adding
  • (牛牛牛)亞-鑫豐 +267
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +260
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大證券 +260
    sold 14%· still adding
  • 統一 +222
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 110 left
    sold 63%· ~6 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 184 left
    sold 26%· paused recently
  • 合庫-台中 63 left
    sold 43%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 元大-三民 33 left
    sold 54%· ~165 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-敦南 31 left
    sold 52%· ~52 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金-竹科 32 left
    sold 49%· ~13 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 台灣企銀 -307
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎-延平 -302
    unclassified
  • 兆豐-鹿港 -236
    unclassified
  • 玉山-信義 -181
    unclassified
Still selling 298 lots ~165 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,059 absorbed / -306 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -140 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

44 historical occurrences (since 2008-05-19)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 44, Median +0.22%, Excess -0.33%, Beat mkt rate 52.3%；60-day: Win 74.4%, Sample 43, Median +4.05%, Excess -0.47%, Beat mkt rate 44.2%；120-day: Win 74.4%, Sample 43, Median +6.91%, Excess -0.38%, Beat mkt rate 55.8%

120 days after: historical avg +5.7%

20-day +0.57%
60-day +3.42%
120-day +5.7%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
74.4%
74.4%
Sample
44
43
43
Median
+0.22%
+4.05%
+6.91%
Excess
-0.33%
-0.47%
-0.38%
Beat mkt rate
52.3%
44.2%
55.8%

Over 43 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.7%, lagged the market by 0.38 pts; win rate 74.4%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 73.47%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

30 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 75%, Sample 28, Median +2.57%, Excess +0.74%, Beat mkt rate 53.6%；60-day: Win 70.4%, Sample 27, Median +3.62%, Excess -1.43%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%；120-day: Win 65.4%, Sample 26, Median +6.12%, Excess -6.96%, Beat mkt rate 46.2%

120 days after: historical avg +5.32%

20-day +2.75%
60-day +4.92%
120-day +5.32%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
75%
70.4%
65.4%
Sample
28
27
26
Median
+2.57%
+3.62%
+6.12%
Excess
+0.74%
-1.43%
-6.96%
Beat mkt rate
53.6%
44.4%
46.2%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.32%, lagged the market by 6.96 pts; win rate 65.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 377+14.2% +14.9% 91% +1.1%
20-40 407+17.6% +20.1% 82.8% +5.5%
40-60 699+19.9% +18% 89.4% +2.8%
60-80 749+14.4% +17.2% 85.2% +0.8%
80-100 You are here811+19.1% +18.4% 96.4% -3.3%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 17.2, at the 99.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+10.9%
Win rate 88.3% Excess +5.1%
290d
+6.9%
Win rate 80% Excess +0.1%
851d
Now
+7.8%
Win rate 79.7% Excess -2%
1229d
60-day momentum down
+5.7%
Win rate 62.8% Excess +3.4%
325d
+9.9%
Win rate 88.5% Excess -2%
270d
+16.1%
Win rate 98.5% Excess -0.1%
198d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1229 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.8%, win rate 79.7%, lagged the market by 2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

50 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.41%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +0.07 pts on average.

What does 精技 do? Company profile

電子通路業 上市（臺灣證券交易所，TWSE）

Overview

2414 對應證券為「精技」，證交所 ISIN 清單列為股票，ISIN TW0002414000，上市日 2000/09/11，市場別上市，產業別電子通路業，因此判定為普通股。公司成立於 1979/03/05，原名精技實業有限公司，1991 年 6 月因應業務專業化更名為精技電腦股份有限公司，1998/02 起於櫃買中心掛牌，2000/08 底轉證交所掛牌買賣。總部位於台北市內湖區新湖二路236號3樓；董事長葉佳紋，總經理李盈芳，發言人洪莉萍。實收資本額約新台幣 16.17 億元，已發行普通股 161,735,846 股，無特別股。2024 年報揭露 2024 年底集團員工 825 人、年報刊印日前 831 人。主要股東（2025/04/22 年報資料）包括恆捷科技 26.41%、西德有機化學藥品 4.64%、富榮國際投資 4.33%、葉國筌 3.42%、李英新 2.69%、桃德 1.61%、台新銀行受託保管益昇控股 1.47%、卓美玉 1.24%、佳雲投資 1.20%、陳榮輝 0.69%。2024 年集團合併營收 240.35 億元、年增 3.96%，稅後淨利 4.885 億元，EPS 2.67 元；2025 年全年營收約 284.02 億元、年增 18.17%；2026 年第一季營收 81.73 億元，EPS 1.17 元；2026 年 1-5 月累計營收約 152.41 億元、年增 36.22%。

Business

精技集團有兩大營運主體：一是母公司在台灣從事資訊科技產品通路銷售，二是子公司精聯電子（3652，精技持股 40%）研發、設計與製造自動辨識資料收集產品（AIDC），以 unitech 品牌銷售全球。2024 年營收結構為資訊科技產品通路銷售 215.98 億元、占 90%；AIDC 產品銷售 24.37 億元、占 10%。資訊科技產品包含網路伺服器、個人電腦、筆記型電腦、平板、網路裝置、繪圖裝置、列印與顯示裝置、穿戴裝置、儲存裝置、PC DIY 組件、數位相機與數位監控器；主要代理/銷售品牌包括 HP、Apple、Lenovo、ViewSonic、Logitech、Canon、Samsung、華碩、明基、創見等。AIDC 產品包括軍工規行動電腦、條碼掃描器、RFID 讀取器、門禁安控終端與相關軟體，台灣市場另有條碼列印機代理、電子標籤、智能物流自動化/倉儲管理解決方案、配件與耗材。商業模式上，IT 通路業務位於中游配銷商角色，向上游品牌與製造商採購，提供備貨、物流配送、維修、技術支援、信用管理與行銷服務，再銷售予系統整合商、加值商、經銷商、專賣店、政府、學校與企業等；AIDC 業務則偏上游品牌/製造商，透過海外子公司與當地經銷夥伴銷售。2024 年內銷 228.53 億元、占 95.1%，外銷 11.82 億元、占 4.9%；公司揭露無單一銷貨客戶占銷售總額 10% 以上，資訊科技產品往來客戶約 10,000 家。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028 年展望可分為三條主軸。第一，台灣 IT 通路需求：公司在 2024 年報對 2025 年資訊科技產品市場判斷為需求仍強但受缺料干擾、維持緩成長；截至 2026/05 的營收資料顯示，2026 年前 5 月營收年增 36.22%，短期動能明顯優於過去年度，可能來自企業 IT 汰換、商用 PC、AI PC、伺服器/網通、政府與企業專案、品牌代理組合與通路補貨時點。第二，AI PC 與 AI 伺服器/算力中心：公司已切入 AI 伺服器代理市場，但公開報導指出目前占營收比重仍低，原因是高階 AI 伺服器多由大型客戶或算力中心直接向原廠採購；未來若企業自建算力中心趨勢擴大，通路商與品牌商合作可能加深，但貢獻節奏仍需觀察。第三，精聯電子 AIDC 與智慧物流/智慧製造：公司規劃推出工規行動電腦、穿戴式行動電腦、指環型條碼掃描器、iOS Sled 條碼掃描器等，鎖定倉儲、零售、物流、自動化與數位轉型需求；2024 年報引用 VDC Research 指出全球堅固型手持式電腦市場 2024 年約 32.6 億美元、2030 年約 43.3 億美元、CAGR 約 4.2%，歐美仍為最大市場，APAC 成長率較高。長期成長動能包括企業 e 化、雲端與物聯網、RFID、5G、影像/語音辨識、AI 智慧資料擷取、智慧倉儲與智慧物流、台商回流設廠對 AIDC 的需求，以及 IT 通路規模經濟與全台物流維修據點。主要風險包括 IT 通路毛利率低、產品生命週期短與價格下滑、品牌代理權變化、缺料或庫存去化、應收帳款與存貨管理、匯率與利率波動、AI 伺服器可能被原廠直銷壓縮通路角色、AIDC 中低階產品面臨新興國家低價競爭，以及部分室內低頻應用被消費型手機/平板替代。2027-2028 年的具體財務預測公開資料不足，以上為依公司揭露策略、產業趨勢與 2026 年營收動能所做的研究推論。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 惠普 HP IT 通路上游品牌商；美國上市公司，精技代理/銷售其資訊產品。
  • Apple IT 通路上游品牌商；美國上市公司，精技代理/銷售其資訊產品。
  • Lenovo 聯想集團 IT 通路上游品牌商；香港上市公司，精技代理/銷售其資訊產品。
  • Samsung Electronics IT 通路上游品牌商；韓國上市公司，精技代理/銷售其資訊產品。
  • 華碩電腦 2357 台股上市公司；精技代理/銷售其資訊產品。
  • 宏碁 2353 台股上市公司；公開互動資料列為供應商/相關品牌，屬 IT 產品上游品牌商。
  • 友訊科技 2332 台股上市公司；公開互動資料列為供應商/相關品牌，屬網通設備上游品牌商。
  • 創見資訊 2451 台股上市公司；精技年報列為銷售品牌之一，屬記憶體/儲存產品上游品牌商。
  • 斑馬 Zebra Technologies AIDC 掃描引擎供應商；美國上市公司。
  • 霍尼韋爾 Honeywell AIDC 掃描引擎供應商；美國上市公司。
  • 新大陸 Newland AIDC 掃描引擎供應商；中國上市或集團關係企業，非台股掛牌。
  • 倍微科技 6270 台股上櫃公司；年報列為 CPU 與 IC/電子零件供應商。
  • 文曄科技 3036 台股上市公司；年報列為 IC/電子零件供應商。
  • 艾睿 Arrow Electronics IC/電子零件供應商；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 安富利 Avnet CPU/電子零組件供應商；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 科誠 Co-True LCD 模組供應商；未確認為台股掛牌。
  • 寶龍達 BITLAND LCD 模組供應商；非台股掛牌或未確認上市。
  • 金晟芯 Jin Sheng Xin 影像模組供應商；未確認為台股掛牌。
  • 漢通 Atemitech 電池供應商；未確認為台股掛牌。
  • 鉅康 Netvox 機構件供應商；未確認為台股掛牌。
Downstream
  • 系統整合商與加值商 IT 通路下游客戶類型；承接精技配銷產品，提供終端企業專案、整合、導入與維修服務；精技未揭露單一重大客戶名稱。
  • 經銷商與專賣店 IT 通路下游客戶類型；銷售至個人、家庭、企業與機構市場；精技提供備貨、配送、維修與技術支援。
  • 政府機構與學校 IT 通路終端應用客群；屬機構性產品市場，常採購品牌 PC、伺服器、周邊、網通與資訊設備。
  • 企業客戶 IT 通路終端應用客群；用於辦公室自動化、設計自動化、工廠自動化、雲端/網路環境與資訊設備汰換。
  • 製造業、零售業、物流業與商業服務業 AIDC 下游應用產業；使用 unitech 工規行動電腦、條碼/RFID、倉儲盤點、撿貨、生產線資料收集、門禁、運輸管理、抄表、醫療與安控等解決方案。
  • 海外經銷夥伴 AIDC 下游通路；精聯電子透過美國、歐洲、日本、中國等海外據點與當地經銷商拓展 unitech 品牌。

Competitors

  • 聯強國際 2347 台股上市；大型 IT/電子通路與配銷商，為精技在資訊產品通路業務的主要同業。
  • 展碁國際 6776 台股上市；3C、系統產品與數位娛樂產品代理通路商，與精技在品牌代理及資訊通路市場競爭。
  • 零壹科技 3029 台股上市；資訊軟硬體、雲端、資安與企業 IT 解決方案通路商，屬機構/企業 IT 通路同業。
  • 大綜電腦系統 3147 台股上櫃；系統整合與資訊服務商，部分企業 IT 專案、設備銷售與服務與精技下游/同業市場重疊。
  • 邁達特 6112 台股上市；資訊服務、雲端與企業解決方案通路/系統整合商，與精技在企業 IT 市場有競爭與合作可能。
  • 燦坤實業 2430 台股上市；3C 零售通路，與精技在消費性資訊產品通路終端市場有部分重疊。
  • 震旦行 2373 台股上市；辦公設備、通訊與辦公自動化通路/服務商，與精技 OA/資訊設備通路業務有部分重疊。
  • 神腦國際 2450 台股上市；通訊與 3C 通路商，與消費性電子/資訊通路市場部分重疊。
  • 集雅社 2937 台股上櫃；家電與影音通路商，與 3C/消費性通路名單有部分重疊。
  • 互盛電 2433 台股上市；辦公設備與事務機通路服務商，與 OA/資訊設備通路市場部分重疊。
  • Zebra Technologies 美國上市；AIDC、條碼、行動資料收集與企業資產追蹤解決方案國際大廠，與精聯電子 unitech 品牌競爭。
  • Honeywell 美國上市；工業自動化、條碼掃描與行動資料收集設備國際競爭者。
  • Datalogic 義大利上市；條碼掃描、工業自動化與資料收集產品國際競爭者，非台股掛牌。
Sources（15）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.