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8074

鉅橡 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 鉅橡 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 30Quality 67Growth 68Momentum 85Chips 16

Is 鉅橡 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 70th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.7%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 73th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 98th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -3.4% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 23.1%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.29
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大證券 holds 1,728 lots
  • sellers have 1,090 lots left, ~91 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +26% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大證券 has accumulated 1,728 lots since the start (sold 24%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 摩根大通 peaked at 1,541 lots, has sold 75%, 379 left, ~88 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.02pp, mid holders +2, retail -1.46pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -650 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大證券富邦-台南元大-館前群益金鼎-三民國泰-敦南華南永昌-板橋
Distributing
摩根大通新加坡商瑞銀元大-內湖台新-新莊新光統一-敦南
Desks
own scale
元富元大-佳里台新台新證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大證券 +1,728
    sold 24%· still adding
  • 富邦-台南 +1,313
    sold 1%
  • 元大-館前 +1,286
    sold 8%
  • 群益金鼎-三民 +625
    sold 8%
  • 國泰-敦南 +552
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-板橋 +505
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 摩根大通 379 left
    sold 75%· ~88 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 339 left
    sold 76%· ~33 sessions to clear
  • 元大-內湖 171 left
    sold 73%· paused recently
  • 台新-新莊 119 left
    sold 66%· paused recently
  • 新光 107 left
    sold 57%· ~21 sessions to clear
  • 統一-敦南 46 left
    sold 79%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元富 -3,091
    unclassified
  • 元大-佳里 -802
    unclassified
  • 台新 -624
    unclassified
  • 台新證券 -614
    unclassified
Still selling 1,090 lots ~91 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +842 absorbed / -454 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -604 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 23.08%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

48 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 40%, Sample 40, Median -1.41%, Excess -0.66%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%；60-day: Win 31.6%, Sample 38, Median -3.44%, Excess -1.13%, Beat mkt rate 42.1%；120-day: Win 40.5%, Sample 37, Median -1.69%, Excess -3.88%, Beat mkt rate 35.1%

120 days after: historical avg -2.58%

20-day -1.22%
60-day -1.6%
120-day -2.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40%
31.6%
40.5%
Sample
40
38
37
Median
-1.41%
-3.44%
-1.69%
Excess
-0.66%
-1.13%
-3.88%
Beat mkt rate
37.5%
42.1%
35.1%

Over 37 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 2.58%, lagged the market by 3.88 pts; win rate 40.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 247+20.9% +16.5% 96.8% -11.4%
20-40 238+39.5% +19.9% 95.4% +19.8%
40-60 649+21% -6.2% 42.7% +10.8%
60-80 685+25% -2.9% 39.3% +14.7%
80-100 You are here1189+11.8% +6.1% 63.7% -7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 45.95, at the 98.0th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+8.2%
Win rate 72.1% Excess -8.2%
172d
+24.2%
Win rate 62.6% Excess +18.1%
492d
Now
+13.1%
Win rate 50.8% Excess +2.8%
989d
60-day momentum down
+16.6%
Win rate 100% Excess +4.2%
213d
+1.8%
Win rate 49.4% Excess -1.1%
474d
+9.1%
Win rate 57.1% Excess +1.2%
788d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 989 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 13.1%, win rate 50.8%, beat the market by 2.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.23%, win rate 63%, beating the market by +3.96 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

45 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.8%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +0.07 pts on average.

What does 鉅橡 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；PCB鑽孔墊板、酚醛樹脂積層板與絕緣材料 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

8074 對應鉅橡企業股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN、權證或特別股。公司成立於1996年2月1日，2002年5月公開發行，2003年2月24日登錄興櫃，2004年1月27日上櫃。總部與主要工廠位於台南市佳里區海澄里萊芊寮12-27號或12之18號，另有中壢辦公室。董事長與總經理為莊煌星，發言人為馮興運，代理發言人為賴宏杰。公開股務資料顯示實收資本額約新台幣8.097億元、已發行普通股80,974,466股；2026年另公告辦理現金增資發行6,000千股、每股50元，資本額與股數是否已完成變更登記需以後續公開資訊觀測站資料為準。員工規模方面，113年度年報揭露2024年底合計295人，2025年2月28日合計300人。關係企業包括鉅橡維京控股有限公司、昆山鉅橡複合材料有限公司與鉅莊企業股份有限公司；鉅莊主要做建築防火材料裝飾板。可確認董監持股資料包含莊煌星約3.70%、蘇偕迪約3.71%、馮興運約2.65%；完整主要股東名單未在本次可查來源中完整取得。

Business

鉅橡為 PCB 鑽孔製程耗材與酚醛樹脂積層板製造商。2024年主要產品營收比重為墊板54.51%、電木板17.89%、其他27.60%。墊板主要用於 PCB、FPCB、IC載板、HDI、類載板、ABF等鑽孔製程的上蓋板、下墊板與 CCL 裁切保護墊板；電木板用於 PCB 鑽孔與成型製程、工治具、IT測試治具、可變電阻、氣動工具、微型馬達、模具與開關等；其他產品與商品包括美耐板、銅箔、鋁片、木漿板、貼面木漿板、壓合襯紙與其他絕緣板材。商業模式以自行生產酚醛樹脂積層板、電木板、墊板與部分美耐板，並代理或販售相關耗材與板材；產品屬 PCB 製程耗材，需求與 PCB、FPCB、CCL、IC載板、伺服器板、汽車電子、5G與電子測試治具景氣連動。2024年銷售地區比重約內銷51%、外銷49%。年報揭露2024年無單一銷貨客戶達銷貨總額10%以上，客戶名稱未具名；公司說明2024年營收成長受惠兩岸 PCB 材料出貨成長與美耐板產品穩健發展，兩大核心業務皆雙位數成長。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年的核心展望在於高階 PCB 製程耗材與美耐板雙軌成長。公司年報對2025年指出，載板應用、AI、5G及其他創新科技可帶動 PCB 產業鏈更多設計與投入；PCB線路細微化、孔徑微小化、ABF/HDI/類載板需求提升，會提高高階鑽孔蓋墊板品質要求。2026年公開新聞顯示，公司2026年第1季營收3.64億元、年增約19%，毛利率26.28%，稅後淨利約4,247萬元，EPS 0.52元，創同期新高；2026年5月單月營收1.31億元、年增23.08%，2026年1至5月累計營收約6.39億元、年增22.67%，顯示 AI 高階材料與 PCB/IC載板耗材需求仍有拉貨動能。高階產品方面，法人新聞引用法說會資訊指出高階產品營收比重由2024年約8%、2025年約12%，目標2026年進一步提升至約16%；此為公司展望與市場資訊，2027至2028是否延續需視客戶驗證、AI伺服器與載板實際需求而定。擴產方面，公司2024年董事會通過興建鉅橡二廠；2026年公告現金增資6,000千股、每股50元，市場解讀為支應新廠與產能需求，但實際資金用途、投產進度與效益仍需追蹤公開資訊。新產品包含美耐耐燃一級板、酚醛電容板、無甲醛美耐板；美耐板已發展抗菌板、金屬板、磁性板、熱修復板、抗指紋板、同心板與自製潤滑鋁蓋板。主要風險包括原紙仰賴進口與匯率波動、酚/甲醛/甲醇/甲苯等石化原料價格波動、PCB景氣循環、AI伺服器與ABF載板需求不如預期、客戶高階產品驗證進度延後、中國低階競爭與東南亞供應鏈移轉的不確定性、南部生產基地與北部 PCB 客戶距離造成的即時服務壓力，以及環保與 VOC/廢水處理成本。2027至2028的成長判斷屬推估：若AI伺服器、HPC、5G、汽車電子與IC載板維持擴張，高階鑽孔墊板耗材可望續受惠；若終端庫存修正或載板資本支出放緩，營收與毛利率將受壓。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台灣化學纖維股份有限公司 1326 年報列為酚供應商之一；台股上市公司。
  • 正隆股份有限公司 1904 年報列為原紙供應商之一；台股上市公司。
  • 長春人造樹脂廠股份有限公司 年報列為酚與甲醛供應商之一；未上市公司。
  • International Paper 年報以 IP 列為原紙供應商之一；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 佳敬有限公司 年報列為原紙供應商之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 高倉企業有限公司 年報列為酚供應商之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 恭宏企業有限公司 年報列為甲醛供應商之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 全瑨化工有限公司 年報列為甲醇及甲苯供應商之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 川慶化學股份有限公司 年報列為甲醇及甲苯供應商之一；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
Downstream
  • PCB、FPCB與CCL廠商 年報揭露墊板下游為 PCB 業，FPCB 用上蓋板/下墊板，CCL 裁切保護墊板；2024年無單一客戶達10%以上，客戶未具名。
  • 欣興電子股份有限公司 3037 IC載板與PCB為鉅橡產品終端應用下游之一；未由鉅橡年報列名為特定客戶，屬產業鏈代表公司。
  • 景碩科技股份有限公司 3189 IC載板為高階鑽孔墊板應用場景；未由鉅橡年報列名為特定客戶，屬產業鏈代表公司。
  • 南亞電路板股份有限公司 8046 IC載板為高階鑽孔墊板應用場景；未由鉅橡年報列名為特定客戶，屬產業鏈代表公司。
  • 健鼎科技股份有限公司 3044 PCB製造為鉅橡墊板產品下游應用；未由鉅橡年報列名為特定客戶，屬產業鏈代表公司。
  • 華通電腦股份有限公司 2313 PCB製造為鉅橡墊板產品下游應用；未由鉅橡年報列名為特定客戶，屬產業鏈代表公司。
  • 電機、電子與模治具業者 年報揭露電木板下游為電機業、電子業與模治具業，主要用於工治具、電子產品組裝與測試。
  • 建材與室內裝修通路 鉅莊與 LAVI 樂維美耐板、康倍特板等產品面向建築防火材料與裝飾板市場；多數通路或客戶未具名。

Competitors

  • Risho Kogyo Co., Ltd. MoneyDJ列為鉅橡競爭對手之一；日本業者，非台股掛牌。
  • LCOA MoneyDJ列為競爭對手之一；具體公司全名與掛牌狀態未能在本次來源中確認。
  • 欣岱實業股份有限公司 MoneyDJ列為競爭對手之一；台灣未上市櫃公司。
  • 其他中國或亞洲PCB鑽孔墊板與絕緣材料廠 年報提到亞洲與中國市場競爭、低階耗材競爭與供應鏈移轉壓力，但未完整列名。
Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.