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8927

北基 Oil, Gas & Electricity As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 北基 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 46Quality 43Growth 91Momentum 5Chips 95

Is 北基 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 49th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.9%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 70th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 30th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 15.2% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 91.4%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.52
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大-東港 holds 4,604 lots
  • sellers have 682 lots left, ~56 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -20% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-東港 has accumulated 4,604 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 560 lots, has sold 62%, 211 left, ~8 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.76pp, mid holders +2, retail -1.45pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -771 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-東港富邦-七賢兆豐-南門宏遠-台中國泰-敦南台新-中原
Distributing
凱基-台北元大-六合元大-花蓮群益金鼎-基隆美林台新-高雄
Desks
own scale
凱基-桃園華南永昌合庫-嘉義港商野村
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-東港 +4,604
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-七賢 +4,077
    sold 0%
  • 兆豐-南門 +2,374
    sold 0%
  • 宏遠-台中 +638
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-敦南 +471
    sold 10%· still adding
  • 台新-中原 +439
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 211 left
    sold 62%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 元大-六合 178 left
    sold 66%· paused recently
  • 元大-花蓮 151 left
    sold 51%· ~15 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎-基隆 158 left
    sold 31%· paused recently
  • 美林 91 left
    sold 59%· paused recently
  • 台新-高雄 81 left
    sold 60%· ~17 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基-桃園 -1,098
    unclassified
  • 華南永昌 -617
    unclassified
  • 合庫-嘉義 -605
    unclassified
  • 港商野村 -570
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 682 lots ~56 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,699 absorbed / -571 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -567 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 91.37%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

63 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 60, Median +0.07%, Excess +0.6%, Beat mkt rate 46.7%；60-day: Win 62.1%, Sample 58, Median +1.73%, Excess +4.1%, Beat mkt rate 62.1%；120-day: Win 63.2%, Sample 57, Median +7.57%, Excess +5.28%, Beat mkt rate 73.7%

120 days after: historical avg +3.71%

20-day +0.75%
60-day +3.54%
120-day +3.71%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
62.1%
63.2%
Sample
60
58
57
Median
+0.07%
+1.73%
+7.57%
Excess
+0.6%
+4.1%
+5.28%
Beat mkt rate
46.7%
62.1%
73.7%

Over 57 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.71%, beat the market by 5.28 pts; win rate 63.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 52+14% +14% 100% +6.5%
20-40 You are here547+13.5% +17.5% 72.4% +2.5%
40-60 382+20.5% +12.8% 64.1% +9.8%
60-80 579+43.9% +30.1% 82.4% +20.2%
80-100 589+33.1% +24.4% 76.4% +6.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 39.61, at the 29.5th percentile of its own history (20-40 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+4.2%
Win rate 76.5% Excess -1.7%
294d
+13.3%
Win rate 44.4% Excess +5.4%
428d
+17%
Win rate 71.1% Excess +8%
661d
60-day momentum down
Now
+3%
Win rate 61.7% Excess -9.6%
316d
+5.6%
Win rate 78% Excess -2.5%
218d
+17.7%
Win rate 72.6% Excess +0.1%
336d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 316 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 3%, win rate 61.7%, lagged the market by 9.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.47%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by +5.06 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.6%, win rate 61.9%, beating the market by +8.63 pts on average.

What does 北基 do? Company profile

油電燃氣業；燃料零售、油品通路，並跨足房地產、光電、儲能與電動車充電 上櫃（櫃買中心，TPEX）

Overview

北基國際成立於1988年12月16日，原以加油站與石油製品零售為主，股票於2000年11月2日上櫃，總部位於新北市板橋區新海路137號。公司英文名稱為North-Star International Co., LTD.，英文簡稱Pei Chi。依公開市場資料，現任董事長為鍾育霖，總經理為廖順慶；2024年查核財報封面仍列鍾嘉村為董事長，但2025年10月後已公告由鍾育霖接任。資本額資料因除權、庫藏股與時點差異而略有不同，Goodinfo揭示約新台幣42.35億元，Yahoo股市資料曾揭示股本約43.21億元；本研究採「約42至43億元」描述。公司官網揭示截至2024年底，集團加油站營運據點涵蓋16個縣市共80處、員工總人數960人、2024年集團營業收入新台幣125.40793億元，並有3個新站點興建中。114年第1季前十大股東包括高雄汽車客運21.22%、鍾嘉村7.52%、東正投資顧問7.44%、尚發營造5.96%、黃雅瑄3.39%、艾欣投資實業3.29%、台亞石油3.10%、信安企業2.95%、乖乖2.11%、苗栗汽車客運1.58%。北基屬三地集團相關企業，近年透過子公司及轉投資布局三地能源、北基實業、北極星能源、中華太子、金獅湖、英光企業、三地國際地產等。

Business

北基核心商業模式為加油站通路營運：向台灣中油、台塑石化等來源採購或銷售汽柴油，透過全台自營、租賃或整合站點銷售92/95/98無鉛汽油、高級柴油，並搭配洗車、打蠟、汽機車潤滑保養周邊商品與會員服務。公司近年多角化經營，新增房地產開發、飯店餐旅、太陽光電售電、儲能、EV充電與綠電服務。依2024年合併財報之客戶合約收入，主要產品收入為油品新台幣71.58844億元、約占57.1%；房地銷售41.65940億元、約占33.2%；售電收入8.70559億元、約占6.9%；其他3.45450億元、約占2.8%。若按營運部門，2024年外部客戶收入為油品銷售73.30604億元、光電事業9.70508億元、不動產開發41.65940億元、餐旅服務0.73741億元。主要客戶高度分散，2024與2023年度均無單一客戶占合併營收10%以上。綠能端主要透過三地能源及其子公司從事太陽能光電案場開發、電業籌設與併聯、EPC、案場維運、儲能輔助服務、EV充電、電巴銷售、綠電銷售與憑證服務；特爾電力為EV快充服務品牌，北基也將加油站屋頂光電、快充樁與既有站點結合，推動加油站轉型為多元能源補給站。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年成長動能主要來自三條線：第一，油品通路本業持續擴點與汰弱留強。2025年法說會指出加油站由2024年的76站擴至82站，後續持續拓點、提升油品市占率，並利用既有站點導入洗車、會員、快充與光電，提高單站附加價值。2026年前二月營收新聞指出油品事業受惠發油量與站點服務收入穩定成長，並在浮動油價機制下可一定程度反映進貨成本。第二，房地產與資產活化。2024年房地銷售已成為重要獲利來源，2025年法說會提及至2030年資產活化藍圖及投資建案總銷逾200億元，台南「水星光」等建案交屋認列將影響年度營收波動；2026年與2027年的營收可見度取決於建案完工、交屋節奏與房市買氣。第三，綠能與儲能。三地能源持續布局太陽光電、儲能、EV充電與綠電服務，2025年法說會提及儲能案場預計第4季完工並挹注營收；長期來看，台灣再生能源占比提升、用電大戶條款、AI與電動車用電需求增加，均有利儲能與綠電交易需求。2024年投資說明會指出三地能源朝1GW發電總量目標邁進，並規劃多個2024至2025年光電案場開工或商轉。主要風險包括：國際油價及庫存損益波動、加油站租金與人事成本上升、缺工與少子化、電動車滲透率提高使純油新車需求下滑、房市買氣與交屋認列時點波動、儲能案場建置進度與併網/法規/台電輔助服務價格變動、綠能案場融資利率與槓桿壓力、三地集團治理與司法事件造成的市場信任風險。2027至2028年的具體財務數字未見公司正式指引，本段對中長期方向屬依公司已揭露案場與產業趨勢推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台灣中油股份有限公司 國營未上市油品供應商；北基加油站銷售來源之一，提供汽柴油等主要商品。
  • 台塑石化股份有限公司 6505 油品供應與品牌來源之一；北基加油站銷售汽柴油，部分來源與台塑石油體系相關。
  • 士林電機廠股份有限公司 1503 三地能源170MW儲能案場新聞揭示施工維運團隊由士電承攬，屬儲能工程設備與建置供應鏈。
  • 台達電子工業股份有限公司 2308 2024年投資說明會列為三地能源儲能合作夥伴之一，屬電力電子、儲能與能源管理設備供應鏈。
  • Wartsila 海外上市能源設備商；170MW儲能案場採用其儲能系統，非台股上市櫃公司。
  • Tesla 美國上市公司；公司投資說明會列為儲能合作夥伴之一，非台股上市櫃公司。
Downstream
  • 一般汽機車用戶與企業車隊 油品零售終端客戶，透過加油站購買92/95/98無鉛汽油、高級柴油、洗車與周邊服務；非單一上市櫃公司。
  • 台灣電力股份有限公司 國營未上市；太陽光電售電、併網與儲能輔助服務的重要交易/系統對象。
  • 電動車車主與充電服務使用者 透過特爾電力與加油站快充樁使用EV充電服務；屬分散終端客戶。
  • 住宅建案購屋客戶 不動產開發案如水星光、艾美城品等交屋認列之終端客戶；非單一上市櫃公司。
  • 綠電需求企業與用電大戶 三地能源綠電銷售、憑證服務及用電規劃的潛在客戶；客戶名單未完整揭露。

Competitors

Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.