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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 4413 飛寶企業. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=4413
4413
quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 飛寶企業 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 28th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.6%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 38th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 38th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -2.5% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 統一-仁愛 has accumulated 78 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 國泰-敦南 peaked at 38 lots, has sold 63%, 14 left, ~140 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.03pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.04pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -10 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 統一-仁愛 +78
- 兆豐-南門 +78
- 玉山-士林 +48
- 合庫-嘉義 +42
- 國泰-台南 +26
- 元大-北投 +25
Distributing
- 國泰-敦南 14 left
- 臺銀 26 left
- 元大-中山北路 4 left
- 凱基-湖口 1 left
- 富邦-內湖 3 left
- 中國信託 1 left
Desks
- 群益金鼎-中山 -102
- 元大-太平 -50
- 華南永昌-台中 -31
- 元富-城東 -19
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 243 | +14.8% | +10% | 79.8% | -11.2% |
| 20-40 You are here | 298 | +18.4% | +18.5% | 80.2% | -13.8% |
| 40-60 | 200 | +5.9% | +8.6% | 64.5% | -33.1% |
| 60-80 | 131 | -7.7% | -3.1% | 39.7% | -59.6% |
| 80-100 | 147 | +17.8% | +22% | 81% | +15.4% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 17.85, at the 37.7th percentile of its own history (20-40 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 167 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 9.5%, win rate 70.7%, lagged the market by 6.4%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
5 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.96%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +9.7 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
78 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.87%, win rate 42.6%, beating the market by -2.57 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
What does 飛寶企業 do? Company profile
Overview
4413 對應證券為飛寶企業股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN 或權證。公司統一編號 22676914，成立於 1987-10-30，公開發行日為 1997-12-01，上櫃日為 1999-07-29，總部位於新北市三重區新北大道二段252號8樓。英文名為 EST GLOBAL APPAREL CO., LTD.，英文簡稱 EST。主要經營項目為成衣國際貿易業、長纖紡織業。依 2026 年 6 月可查資料，董事長為蔡煌瑯，總經理為韓佳芳；蔡煌瑯於 2025-05-14 由法人董事深達投資股份有限公司改派代表並當選董事長，韓佳芳於 2026-05-14 獲任總經理。實收資本額約新台幣 313,146,890 元，已發行普通股約 31,314,689 股；104 人力銀行揭露員工人數約 60 人，該數字較可能為台灣母公司/辦公室口徑，未必含海外廠全部員工。可查主要股東/董監持股包括深達投資股份有限公司約 3,860,355 股、持股約 12.33%；寶塑企業股份有限公司約 2,000,000 股；林瑞擇約 653,000 股。前十大持股比例各資料源揭露約 21% 至 34% 不等，需以最新股東會年報或集保資料為準。
Business
公司核心業務為成衣託工製衣、品牌客製化成衣代工與紡織相關原物料/布料服務，產品涵蓋流行服飾、功能性服飾、無縫服飾、居家服飾、休閒服、輕運動與機能服等。營收結構方面，公開資料顯示 2024 年產品營收比重為成衣 100%；另一市場資料揭露託工製衣約 90.3%、加工業務約 9.7%，兩者口徑可能不同。商業模式上，公司接單後依客戶需求進行布料開發、主副料採購、打樣、款式與量產管理，再透過非洲生產據點或代工廠完成成衣，出口至美國等市場。官網揭露史瓦帝尼廠可提供男、女、童裝一站式生產，工廠面積約 6,600 平方公尺、倉庫約 1,400 平方公尺，男裝襯衫正常產能約每月 20,000 打，年營業額約 1,200 萬美元；主要客戶名單含 Haband、Dollar General、Wal-Mart、JCPenny、Fred's、Prima、LongStreet、Woolworth、Truworth、Exact、Markham、Eagles、Mr. Price。MoneyDJ 亦列示主要客戶包括 Nike、adidas。2025 年合併營收為新台幣 862,214 仟元、毛利 111,560 仟元、歸屬母公司淨利 16,442 仟元、EPS 0.53 元；2026 年前 5 月累計營收 207,736 仟元，年減約 22.9%。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025 年營收明顯回升，全年合併營收 8.62 億元，較 2024 年累計營收 4.01 億元大幅成長，主要動能推測來自成衣訂單回補、海外產能利用提升及非洲供應鏈布局。2026 年 4 月董事會通過馬達加斯加海外投資案，公告理由為因應業績擴展需求並落實全球製造端向上整合，以強化供應鏈韌性及國際競爭力；這是 2026-2028 年最具體的中期成長項目。史瓦帝尼廠已於 2023 年正式營運，若訂單與勞動力穩定，可作為少量多樣、出口美國成衣的彈性產能。產業趨勢方面，美國品牌與零售商仍要求低成本、快速交期、合規與供應鏈分散，非洲產地若享有 AGOA 等優惠可提升吸引力；但 AGOA 曾於 2025-09-30 到期，後於 2026-02-03 由美國重新授權至 2026-12-31 並追溯生效，因此 2027-2028 是否延長仍是重大不確定性。主要風險包括美國關稅與貿易政策變動、AGOA 續期不確定、美元匯率波動、棉紗/布料/副料價格、非洲政治與勞工管理風險、海運與交期風險、客戶集中、低毛利代工競爭、2026 年初營收年減，以及公司現金增資案於 2026-04-14 因全球經濟不確定性暫緩執行，顯示資本市場與擴產資金安排需持續追蹤。
Supply Chain
- 中國及國內外主副料供應商 供應本布、裡布、拉鍊、鈕釦等成衣主副料；公開資料未揭露具名供應商，多為未確認之國內外供應鏈。
- 國內外紡紗、織布、染整與布料加工廠 提供棉、毛、絲、麻、人造纖維、胚布、染整與加工服務；屬產業上游，未能確認特定供應商名稱。
- 馬達加斯加代工廠與投資據點 公開資料指出過去生產以馬達加斯加代工廠為主，2026 年董事會通過於馬達加斯加進行海外投資以強化製造端整合；非台股掛牌。
- 史瓦帝尼自有成衣工廠／子公司 官網揭露史瓦帝尼子公司 2023 年正式營運，提供成衣製造與出口服務；非台股掛牌。
- Wal-Mart／Walmart 史瓦帝尼廠官網列示主要客戶之一；美國上市零售商，非台股掛牌。
- Dollar General 史瓦帝尼廠官網列示主要客戶之一；美國上市折扣零售商，非台股掛牌。
- JCPenney 史瓦帝尼廠官網列示主要客戶之一；美國零售通路，非台股掛牌。
- Nike MoneyDJ 列示主要客戶之一；美國上市運動品牌，非台股掛牌。
- adidas MoneyDJ 列示主要客戶之一；德國上市運動品牌，非台股掛牌。
- Haband、Fred's、Prima、LongStreet、Woolworth、Truworth、Exact、Markham、Eagles、Mr. Price 史瓦帝尼廠官網列示之服飾/零售客戶群；多為海外通路或品牌，非台股掛牌或未確認掛牌狀態。
Competitors
- 遠東新 1402 台股上市紡織纖維大型同業，具纖維、紡織與成衣供應鏈布局。
- 新纖 1409 台股上市纖維與紡織材料同業。
- 新紡 1419 台股上市紡織同業，MoneyDJ/StockFeel 列為長纖布或織布競爭者。
- 福懋 1434 台股上市紡織同業，織布與染整規模較大。
- 大宇 1445 台股上市紡織同業，StockFeel 列為競爭者。
- 得力 1464 台股上市紡織同業，MoneyDJ 列為競爭者。
- 昶和 1468 台股上市紡織同業，MoneyDJ/StockFeel 列為競爭者。
- 儒鴻 1476 台股上市成衣/機能布料大型同業，規模與客戶層級高於飛寶企業。
- 聚陽 1477 台股上市成衣代工龍頭之一，與飛寶同屬成衣代工供應鏈但規模差距大。
- 廣越 4438 台股上市成衣代工同業，主攻戶外與機能服飾。
Sources（16）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.