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6219

富旺 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 富旺 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 57Quality 77Growth 100Momentum 7Chips 57

Is 富旺 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 72th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.5%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 33th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 51th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.3% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 7033.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.92
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 永豐金-台中 holds 2,875 lots
  • sellers have 271 lots left, ~52 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -24% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金-台中 has accumulated 2,875 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 新加坡商瑞銀 peaked at 128 lots, has sold 59%, 52 left, ~14 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +5.52pp, mid holders +6, retail -7.86pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -731 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金-台中統一-彰化台新-大裕元大-北屯元大-復北美商高盛
Distributing
新加坡商瑞銀玉山-台中土銀-新竹台新證券元大-上新莊富邦-虎尾
Desks
own scale
統一-敦南永豐金-萬盛新光第一金-彰化
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金-台中 +2,875
    sold 0%
  • 統一-彰化 +1,386
    sold 0%
  • 台新-大裕 +1,167
    sold 1%
  • 元大-北屯 +1,113
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-復北 +878
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 美商高盛 +724
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 新加坡商瑞銀 52 left
    sold 59%· ~14 sessions to clear
  • 玉山-台中 74 left
    sold 37%· ~17 sessions to clear
  • 土銀-新竹 39 left
    sold 51%· ~13 sessions to clear
  • 台新證券 45 left
    sold 43%· paused recently
  • 元大-上新莊 34 left
    sold 55%· paused recently
  • 富邦-虎尾 31 left
    sold 57%· ~16 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 統一-敦南 -480
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-萬盛 -436
    unclassified
  • 新光 -388
    unclassified
  • 第一金-彰化 -364
    unclassified
Still selling 271 lots ~52 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,878 absorbed / -196 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -22 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 7033.76%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

113 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 48.6%, Sample 105, Median 0%, Excess -0.6%, Beat mkt rate 47.6%；60-day: Win 44.7%, Sample 103, Median -0.91%, Excess -0.78%, Beat mkt rate 37.9%；120-day: Win 41.6%, Sample 101, Median -1.84%, Excess -4%, Beat mkt rate 36.6%

120 days after: historical avg +3.2%

20-day +0.57%
60-day +3.08%
120-day +3.2%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
48.6%
44.7%
41.6%
Sample
105
103
101
Median
0%
-0.91%
-1.84%
Excess
-0.6%
-0.78%
-4%
Beat mkt rate
47.6%
37.9%
36.6%

Over 101 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.2%, lagged the market by 4 pts; win rate 41.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 417-11.4% -17.7% 20.4% -25.5%
20-40 330+20.2% +14.3% 66.7% -7.6%
40-60 You are here425+13.8% +16.7% 68.7% -5.2%
60-80 822+7.4% +9.3% 54.1% -13.8%
80-100 141+15.7% +14.5% 79.4% -7.2%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 16.65, at the 50.6th percentile of its own history (40-60 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-9.1%
Win rate 18.4% Excess -12.6%
310d
+13.2%
Win rate 63.7% Excess +1.9%
449d
+3.3%
Win rate 46.9% Excess -4.4%
373d
60-day momentum down
-2.6%
Win rate 40.9% Excess -16.1%
447d
Now
-0.9%
Win rate 43% Excess -14.1%
384d
+12.1%
Win rate 44.5% Excess -1%
292d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum down”: across 384 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0.9%, win rate 43%, lagged the market by 14.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.89%, win rate 52.6%, beating the market by +9.13 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

47 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.39%, win rate 34.8%, beating the market by -7.23 pts on average.

What does 富旺 do? Company profile

建材營造業／營建業／不動產開發 上櫃（櫃買中心 TPEx）

Overview

富旺國際開發股份有限公司，股票代號6219，為台灣上櫃普通股，非ETF、ETN或權證。公司成立於1997-04-23，公開發行日為2000-07-26，興櫃日為2002-06-11，上櫃日為2003-02-26；總部位於台中市西區大隆路20號4樓之5。公司原名曾為視達國際開發股份有限公司，後轉型為不動產開發與建設公司。依2026年6月附近公開資料，董事長為林宗毅，總經理為林祐任，發言人為陳永和；實收資本額約新台幣12.496709億元，已發行普通股約124,967,090股，特別股0股。2024年報揭露2024年度合併營收47.70165億元、營業利益6.37904億元、稅後淨利6.04961億元、EPS 5.08元、負債比率84.14%。2024年年報列示114年3月31日前十大主要股東中，寶鉅投資股份有限公司持股14.73%、寶鑫投資有限公司11.11%、天衛資產管理股份有限公司10.84%、昌運建設開發股份有限公司10.44%。官網投資人關係資料顯示2024年報、2024年合併財報、2025年法說簡報等文件；2026年6月附近第三方彙整基本資料顯示公司資本額、股數與董總人事已更新，與2024年報資料存在時間差。員工規模：2024年報有員工資訊表，但本次可抽取資料未完整呈現總人數數字，故不臆測。

Business

富旺主要從事不動產建設、土地開發、住宅與商用不動產開發、買賣、租賃、仲介、代銷及綜合營造等業務。2024年報明確表示公司及子公司主要營業收入為營建收入，營運概況以不動產建設開發業務說明；主要產品包含集合住宅、別墅、店鋪、商場、廠辦、停車場及土地整合開發，主要採委託營造廠興建。2024年度營收結構為房地出售收入47.61508億元、占99.82%；勞務收入492.9萬元、占0.10%；其他372.8萬元、占0.08%，內銷占100%。公司歷年與現有建案涵蓋新北、新竹、苗栗、台中、彰化、雲林、高雄、台南等地，產品型態包括社區大樓、透天別墅、商用不動產與工業不動產。2025年4月法說簡報揭露全台版圖為26建案、3,663戶、總銷459.65億元，其中2025-2030可銷售金額合計375.80億元；台中案量最大，含富旺千蘊、富旺敦厚、天際WONE、心海城、高鐵商城及北屯同榮段、烏日前竹段、西屯何安段、沙鹿鹿寮段等即將公開案，台中區總銷約205.38億元；高鐵商城位於台中高鐵區，26單位，租金目標約4,500萬元/年，使用年限30年，土地面積5,430坪。商業模式上，富旺透過土地取得、規劃設計、預售、委託關係企業或營造廠施工、完工交屋認列收入；營建發包主要交由100%子公司寶鑫營造執行，以掌握工程進度與品質。下游客戶多為不特定購屋個人、公司行號、工業用地或廠辦需求企業，以及商場租賃客戶。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028展望以建案完工交屋節奏、土地庫存、商用不動產租金化及政策環境為核心。成長動能：1. 公司2025法說簡報揭露全台26建案、3,663戶、總銷459.65億元，其中2025-2030可銷售金額375.80億元，顯示中長期案源能見度高；2. 新竹、台中、彰化、雲林、高雄等區域案量分散，台中案量尤其大，包含住宅、商場與即將公開土地案；3. 高鐵商城轉向租賃型商用不動產，若出租率穩定，可改善純住宅交屋認列造成的營收波動；4. 公司近年強調低總價、自住、換屋與區域客層產品定位，2025法說亦列出1200萬元以下戶數634戶、占78%，有助於對應剛性需求與政策打房下的購屋能力限制；5. 2026Q1第三方財務資料顯示EPS 0.74元，較2025全年EPS -0.76元轉盈，代表交屋認列波動後仍有恢復獲利可能。主要風險與挑戰：1. 營建股財報高度受完工、使照、交屋時間點影響，單季營收與EPS波動很大；2025年多季虧損與全年EPS -0.76元即反映認列空窗與費用壓力；2. 房地合一稅、央行信用管制、政府打房、國稅局查稅、預售市場規範等會壓抑投資需求與成交速度；3. 建材、鋼筋、水泥、砂石、人工與融資成本上升會壓縮毛利；4. 公司負債比率偏高，2024年底合併負債比率84.14%，利率與資金周轉對推案能力影響大；5. 土地取得價格、區域供給競爭、少子化與人口移動會影響中長期銷售；6. 即將公開案與總銷資料來自公司法說簡報，屬公司規劃或揭露，實際銷售、完工、出租與獲利需以後續財報和重大訊息驗證。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 寶鑫營造股份有限公司 富旺100%持股子公司；2024年報揭露興建中建案主要委由寶鑫營造負責進行，2024年度主要供應商之一，與發行人關係為母子公司，非台股掛牌公司。
  • 隆全鐵工廠有限公司 2024年報列為2024年度主要供應商之一，占全年進貨淨額11.09%；非台股掛牌公司。
  • 地主、自然人、公司行號、政府機關或法院拍賣土地來源 公司主要原料為土地；年報說明土地來源包含個人、公司行號、國有財產局、銀行土地釋出招標、法院拍賣，以及合建地主；多數非上市櫃公司或非公司組織。
  • 水泥、鋼筋、砂石等建材供應商 年報說明營建工程所需附屬原料包含水泥、鋼筋、砂石等，價格由寶鑫營造專責部門注意並以多建案聯合採購降低成本；未揭露特定台股供應商名稱。
Downstream
  • 不特定購屋個人與公司行號 2024年報說明銷售住宅為主，房地產交易對象多為不特定個人或公司行號，重複性不高；非特定掛牌客戶。
  • 工業用地與廠辦需求企業 富旺產品包含工業不動產與廠辦大樓，服務產業用地不足需求；未揭露特定台股客戶。
  • 台中高鐵商城承租商戶 2025法說簡報揭露高鐵商城26單位、租金目標約4,500萬元/年；承租商戶名單未公開，故stock_id為null。

Competitors

  • 興富發建設 2542 台股上市大型建商，住宅推案與土地開發規模大，為建設業代表性競爭者；富旺年報指出實際競爭多依建案所在區域建商而定。
  • 遠雄建設 5522 台股上市建商，住宅、商辦與大型開發案經驗豐富，與富旺在住宅及商用不動產市場具廣義競爭關係。
  • 長虹建設 5534 台股上市建商，雙北與都會區住宅、商辦開發能力強，屬建設業同業。
  • 華固建設 2548 台股上市建商，住宅與商辦開發為主，屬建設業同業。
  • 冠德建設 2520 台股上市建商，住宅、商場及複合開發經驗較多，與富旺商用不動產方向有部分重疊。
  • 櫻花建設 2539 台股上市建商，以中部住宅市場為重要區域，與富旺台中及中部推案具區域競爭關係。
  • 國泰建設 2501 台股上市建商，規模與品牌較大，為建設業長期代表性公司；與富旺屬廣義同業。
Sources（14）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.