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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6230 尼得科超眾. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6230

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6230

尼得科超眾 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 尼得科超眾 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 27Quality 22Growth 66Momentum 23Chips 71

Is 尼得科超眾 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 29th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -1.4%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 91th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 94th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 21.9%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.21
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 元大-中山北路 holds 128 lots
  • sellers have 97 lots left, ~130 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +10% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-中山北路 has accumulated 128 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 華南永昌-桃園 peaked at 69 lots, has sold 58%, 29 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.07pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.07pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -201 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-中山北路聯邦-雙和元大-嘉義凱基-中港凱基-永華永豐金-三重
Distributing
華南永昌-桃園玉山-嘉義富邦-陽明國泰-敦南群益金鼎凱基
Desks
own scale
玉山-新莊元大-大同美林元大-汐止
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-中山北路 +128
    sold 0%
  • 聯邦-雙和 +99
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-嘉義 +78
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-中港 +64
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-永華 +64
    sold 0%
  • 永豐金-三重 +63
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 華南永昌-桃園 29 left
    sold 58%· paused recently
  • 玉山-嘉義 26 left
    sold 61%· ~8 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-陽明 7 left
    sold 88%· paused recently
  • 國泰-敦南 23 left
    sold 51%· ~38 sessions to clear
  • 群益金鼎 4 left
    sold 87%· paused recently
  • 凱基 3 left
    sold 90%· paused recently

Desks

  • 玉山-新莊 -123
    unclassified
  • 元大-大同 -69
    unclassified
  • 美林 -58
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大-汐止 -57
    unclassified
Still selling 97 lots ~130 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +207 absorbed / -75 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -163 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 21.94%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

58 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 49.1%, Sample 53, Median 0%, Excess +0.31%, Beat mkt rate 41.5%；60-day: Win 45.3%, Sample 53, Median -2.78%, Excess +2.42%, Beat mkt rate 41.5%；120-day: Win 44.2%, Sample 52, Median -1.31%, Excess -2.74%, Beat mkt rate 36.5%

120 days after: historical avg +4.19%

20-day +0.84%
60-day +6.37%
120-day +4.19%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
49.1%
45.3%
44.2%
Sample
53
53
52
Median
0%
-2.78%
-1.31%
Excess
+0.31%
+2.42%
-2.74%
Beat mkt rate
41.5%
41.5%
36.5%

Over 52 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.19%, lagged the market by 2.74 pts; win rate 44.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 46+180.9% +174.7% 100% +167.6%
20-40 107+64.8% +64.4% 78.5% +45.1%
40-60 428+33.7% +40.2% 74.5% +18.2%
60-80 596+25.6% +15.9% 66.4% +16.4%
80-100 You are here1722+11.7% -0.4% 49.7% -3.7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 86.05, at the 94.0th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
+26.1%
Win rate 55.7% Excess +18.7%
201d
+7%
Win rate 51.5% Excess -0.7%
1279d
60-day momentum down
+122.5%
Win rate 100% Excess +116.4%
81d
+26.5%
Win rate 53.3% Excess +17.8%
469d
Now
-3.6%
Win rate 39.1% Excess -8.9%
988d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 988 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 3.6%, win rate 39.1%, lagged the market by 8.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

22 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.1%, win rate 72.7%, beating the market by +12.75 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

58 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.62%, win rate 51.7%, beating the market by +3.21 pts on average.

What does 尼得科超眾 do? Company profile

電子業－電腦及週邊設備業；散熱模組、熱導管、均熱板與液冷散熱解決方案 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

6230 對應證券為尼得科超眾科技股份有限公司，屬台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司創立於1973年12月14日，前稱超眾科技，2021年更名為尼得科超眾；總部位於新北市三重區中興北街184-3號。公開資料顯示上櫃日為2003/01/14、上市日為2010/09/16；實收資本額約新台幣8.634億元，已發行普通股86,343,396股，無特別股。董事長為三好昭宏，總經理欄位公開資料多列為無或待補，發言人資料隨時間有澄川洋平、淺野宜紀等變動。主要股東與控制關係方面，日本尼得科集團自2018年公開收購後成為最大股東，2025年法說與股市資料顯示集團或董監持股約86.3%。員工規模公開來源差異較大，Investing.com揭露員工數173人，較可能為特定口徑而非完整集團合併人數，故僅列為參考。生產據點包括台灣三重、中國昆山、中國重慶、越南，並依2025年法說新聞揭露另有中國與泰國液冷相關產線布局。

Business

公司為散熱零件與散熱解決方案供應商，主要產品包括散熱模組、散熱片、熱導管、熱板、均熱板、微均熱板、3D VC，以及液冷相關水冷板、分歧管、快接頭、CDU相關零組件等。商業模式以客製化散熱設計、NPI共同開發、量產製造與供應PC、伺服器、網通、遊戲機、工作站、基地台、電源供應器等終端應用為主。2024年產品營收結構公開資料顯示，散熱模組約75.24%、散熱片約18.42%、其他約6.34%；另MoneyDJ整理為散熱模組約75%、散熱片約19%。2024年銷售地區比重為中國大陸約62%、台灣約8%、新加坡約10%、其他約20%。2025年第2季應用別資料依法說摘要顯示，PC仍約47%為最大基礎，伺服器約24%、網通約17%、遊戲機約9%；公司策略已由單一PC導向轉向伺服器、AI/HPC與高階網通。主要客戶公開揭露有限，歷史新聞提及曾與Intel、Dell參與先期設計，2025年新聞則稱AI氣冷產品客戶涵蓋品牌廠及ODM，並有中國伺服器客戶、美國網通客戶、遊戲機需求回溫，但未逐一公開客戶名單。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年：公司上半年受疫情後PC與遊戲機需求疲弱、關稅與匯率等因素影響，但第2季應用別顯示PC仍為營收基礎，伺服器與網通比重提升；下半年成長動能來自遊戲機短期需求回溫、中國伺服器客戶訂單增加、美國網通客戶穩定，以及液冷產品開始小量出貨與客戶驗證。2026年：公司與媒體引述法說資料皆指出水冷營收比重可望由2025年約2%至5%或3%至5%，提升至約10%，並成為主要成長引擎之一；越南產能預計提升至2025年的1.5倍，中國昆山水冷板、泰國快接頭與CDU零組件等產線布局可提升供應彈性。2027至2028年：公司未發布明確量化財測，合理展望取決於AI伺服器、高瓦數CPU/GPU、HPC、5G/高速交換器、基地台與網路卡散熱需求是否延續；若液冷滲透率持續上升，水冷板、Manifold、3D VC與高階氣冷模組有機會支撐產品組合升級。主要風險包括PC與遊戲機需求循環、AI伺服器專案驗證與量產時程、客戶集中與議價、銅鋁與風扇等材料成本、匯率、關稅、越南/中國/泰國產能爬坡、液冷技術競爭、同業價格競爭，以及中國市場內捲。2027至2028內容屬基於產業趨勢與公司2025法說方向的推估，非公司正式財測。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 尼得科株式會社／Nidec Corporation 日本上市公司，為最大股東與集團母公司；與尼得科超眾在AI伺服器、車用與液冷散熱市場分工合作，尼得科偏大型高瓦數水冷如CDU，尼得科超眾偏熱管、均熱板、氣冷模組與水冷板/Manifold製造。
  • 工業技術研究院 台灣法人機構，非上市櫃；歷史資料指出公司1995年與工研院合作研發筆記型電腦散熱模組關鍵零件熱導管，屬早期技術來源與研發合作關係。
  • 風扇、熱導管、銅擠型、鋁擠型、鋁壓鑄件、銅管素材、沖壓片供應商 公開來源僅揭露主要原物料類別，未完整揭露特定供應商名單；其中熱導管部分MoneyDJ稱公司熱管100%自製，其他材料與零組件供應商未能逐家公司確認。
Downstream
  • Intel Corporation 美國上市公司；歷史新聞稱超眾曾參與Intel產品先期設計與CPU散熱設計，屬平台/終端生態合作對象，非台股掛牌。
  • Dell Technologies Inc. 美國上市公司；歷史新聞稱超眾曾參與Dell產品先期設計，屬品牌客戶或合作對象，非台股掛牌。
  • 品牌廠及ODM客戶 2025年法說新聞稱AI相關氣冷產品已大量出貨，客戶涵蓋品牌廠及ODM；公司未公開完整名單，應用包括AI伺服器、一般伺服器、PC、網通、交換器、基地台、網路卡與遊戲機。
  • 中國伺服器客戶與美國網通客戶 2025年法說摘要提及下半年營收動能來自中國伺服器客戶訂單增長及美國網通客戶訂單穩定，但未公開具體公司名稱。

Competitors

  • 雙鴻科技股份有限公司 3324 台股上市櫃散熱模組同業；MoneyDJ列為尼得科超眾國內競爭者。
  • 奇鋐科技股份有限公司 3017 台股上市散熱模組與機構件大廠；MoneyDJ列為尼得科超眾國內競爭者。
  • 力致科技股份有限公司 3483 台股上市櫃散熱模組與熱傳解決方案同業；未在主要來源直接列名為尼得科超眾競爭者，屬產業同業推定。
  • 泰碩電子股份有限公司 3338 台股上市櫃散熱模組與連接/電子零組件同業；未在主要來源直接列名為尼得科超眾競爭者，屬產業同業推定。
  • Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. 日本上市公司；MoneyDJ列為國外競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • Fujikura Ltd. 日本上市公司；MoneyDJ列為國外競爭者，非台股掛牌。
Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.