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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 1533 車王電. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=1533

1533

車王電 Automobile As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 車王電 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 41Quality 68Growth 85Momentum 70Chips 31

Is 車王電 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 53th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.8%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 51th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 34th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -1.1% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 54.9%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Neutral +0.10
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 凱基-台北 holds 414 lots
  • sellers have 336 lots left, ~53 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +13% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 414 lots since the start (sold 17%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台新-松德 peaked at 292 lots, has sold 46%, 158 left, ~53 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.06pp, mid holders -1, retail +0.61pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -51 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-台北台灣摩根士丹利華南永昌-中正合庫-台中元大-左營兆豐-台中港
Distributing
台新-松德元大證券新加坡商瑞銀美林美商高盛富邦-陽明
Desks
own scale
元大-大雅元大-土城永寧元大-豐原港商野村
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-台北 +414
    sold 17%· still adding
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +345
    sold 16%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-中正 +241
    sold 0%
  • 合庫-台中 +226
    sold 9%
  • 元大-左營 +196
    sold 2%
  • 兆豐-台中港 +133
    sold 3%· still adding

Distributing

  • 台新-松德 158 left
    sold 46%· ~53 sessions to clear
  • 元大證券 26 left
    sold 88%· ~43 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 54 left
    sold 75%· paused recently
  • 美林 25 left
    sold 69%· paused recently
  • 美商高盛 49 left
    sold 36%· paused recently
  • 富邦-陽明 46 left
    sold 39%· ~33 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-大雅 -199
    unclassified
  • 元大-土城永寧 -179
    unclassified
  • 元大-豐原 -159
    unclassified
  • 港商野村 -116
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 336 lots ~53 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +652 absorbed / -235 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 54.89%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

69 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 56.4%, Sample 55, Median +0.88%, Excess 0%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%;60-day: Win 52.8%, Sample 53, Median +1.33%, Excess -0.39%, Beat mkt rate 43.4%;120-day: Win 51%, Sample 51, Median +4.15%, Excess -4.29%, Beat mkt rate 35.3%

120 days after: historical avg +5.98%

20-day +1.3%
60-day +4.81%
120-day +5.98%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
56.4%
52.8%
51%
Sample
55
53
51
Median
+0.88%
+1.33%
+4.15%
Excess
0%
-0.39%
-4.29%
Beat mkt rate
36.4%
43.4%
35.3%

Over 51 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.98%, lagged the market by 4.29 pts; win rate 51%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 462+21.6% -2.1% 48.9% -0.1%
20-40 You are here324+16.3% +5.7% 62.7% +0.6%
40-60 671+2.2% -7% 30.8% -4.4%
60-80 485-2.9% -10% 27.2% -39.8%
80-100 329-0.2% -4.9% 35.9% -31.9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 23.22, at the 33.5th percentile of its own history (20-40 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-0.1%
Win rate 39.1% Excess -5.5%
256d
Now
+11.2%
Win rate 56.3% Excess +7%
536d
+5.9%
Win rate 32% Excess -23%
431d
60-day momentum down
+6.3%
Win rate 70.7% Excess -1.3%
393d
-3.8%
Win rate 38.8% Excess -5.8%
369d
+0.1%
Win rate 46.6% Excess -25.8%
406d

Currently in “Mid × 60-day momentum up”: across 536 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 11.2%, win rate 56.3%, beat the market by 7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +35.08%, win rate 83.3%, beating the market by +30.47 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

50 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.3%, win rate 40.8%, beating the market by -3.17 pts on average.

What does 車王電 do? Company profile

汽車工業;汽車電子零組件、電動商用車系統與工業級鋰電工具 TWSE 上市

Overview

1533 對應證券為車王電子股份有限公司,簡稱車王電,屬上市普通股。公司成立於1982年7月19日,股票上市日期為2001年4月6日,總部位於台中市大雅區中清路四段85號,統一編號04827138。董事長兼總經理為蔡裕慶;公司說明其因多事業部營運與決策效率,由董事長兼任總經理,並已規劃接班與內部分工。實收資本額約新台幣985,474,860元,已發行普通股98,547,486股。2025年法說會揭露職工人數約1,100至1,600人;2025年年報則揭露114年底合計員工1,074人、115年3月31日合計1,063人。主要股東依115年股東會年報列示為寶富投資13.55%、魏成穀4.96%、蔡裕棟3.83%、曾韋嵐3.36%、蔡裕慶3.30%、蔡珠蘭3.20%、蔡文正2.88%、蔡裕成2.56%、蔡志惠2.03%、曾蔡珠美1.92%。集團全球據點包含台灣、美國、英國、中國大陸寧波等;公司網站並列示產品線包含車王汽車電子、Durofix德克斯電動工具、車王充電樁及電動車零部件、華德動能電動巴士。車王電持有並投資華德動能、南華電動車技術服務、氫豐綠能等電動商用車生態系公司;華德動能為興櫃公司,代號2237,截至資料日並非上市櫃普通股。

Business

車王電從傳統汽車電子零組件起家,主營業務已轉向電動商用車、車用電子電控與工業級智能工具三大軸。依114年度合併資料,營收新台幣4,003,764千元,產品別比重為電動巴士2,089,514千元、52.19%;汽車電子1,555,605千元、38.85%;數位工具358,645千元、8.96%。銷售區域以外銷與亞洲為主,114年度亞洲73.08%、美洲16.36%、歐洲9.29%、其他1.27%。電動商用車方面,透過華德動能提供甲類低地板電動大客車、電動巴士三電底盤車、車隊管理、智慧充電排程與場站建置;車王電本體則提供電池系統、BMS、BTMS、VCU、ECU、PDU、TBOX、直流高壓充電樁等關鍵零組件與系統。公司法說會揭露截至2025年11月電動車相關營收約1,942,961千元,占集團營收53%,2023年為47%、2024年為38%,顯示營收重心明顯朝電動車移動。充電樁方面,公司稱為國內首家取得經濟部標檢局VPC認證之充電樁廠商,已於全台近30處客運業者場站安裝逾200座快速直流充電樁,並通過日本CHAdeMO 2.0認證,規格涵蓋120kW至240kW,規劃推出400kW機型並升級V2G功能。汽車電子方面,產品包含點火器、電壓調整器、整流器、車用控制器、電池管理與高壓配電相關模組,主要服務售後維修市場、車廠與電動車系統客戶。工具事業部以Durofix品牌發展工業4.0數位化智慧製造高精密組裝工具、工業級定扭工具、車用鋰電工具,並表示已量產應用於電子業AI伺服器組裝及AI基建使用,但具體AI伺服器客戶未揭露。商業模式包含自有品牌銷售、汽車零組件製造與外銷、電動巴士整車/底盤/三電系統供應、充電場站與車隊管理解決方案、以及與日本住友商事集團、美國Optimal等策略夥伴進行海外市場合作。年報揭露2024年與2025年均無進貨占總額10%以上供應商;2025年有一名代號A客戶占銷貨10%,因契約或揭露規範未揭露名稱。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望核心在電動商用車、電池/充電/電控系統、海外授權與智能工具。成長動能一是台灣2030市區公車全面電動化政策,經濟部與交通部政策要求國產化與電巴導入,車王電旗下華德動能已在2025年法說會揭露台灣電巴市占約25%、累計生產771輛、交車12縣市、智慧場站與充電排程約30處;年報則揭露114年電動大客車市占率約30%,但此數字公司註明為依市場銷售狀況推估。二是日本與北美市場,公司與日本住友商事集團、日本NExT-e Solutions及美國Optimal合作,日本市占率由2022年的1%、2023年的8%、2024年的15%成長,法說會目標119年達32%;北美大型電動商用車合作原規劃2025年完成驗證、2026年量產挹注,但實際量產與訂單仍需追蹤。三是產品升級,電巴採大容量電池、快速補電、直驅傳動、ADAS、車隊管理、智慧充電排程,並導入TUV/ECE-R100-3電池電源安全認證、多層電池艙防護、液冷CTP電池包、BMS/BTMS、CCS1與CHAdeMO充電機、V2G充電樁。四是Durofix精密工具切入汽車、航太、電子代工與AI伺服器組裝,2026年規劃推出工業級聯網智慧組裝系統、脈衝定扭工具與智慧擰緊系統,並跨足自行車專業電動助力三電系統。財務面,114年營收4,003,764千元、年增約19.69%,EPS 0.58元,由113年虧損轉盈;公司預計115年研發費用266,459千元,高於114年221,868千元。主要風險包括:電動巴士交車與補助/政策時程波動、客運業者採購集中且年度交車認列不均、電池與半導體供應鏈價格和交期、汽車電子產品認證嚴格且時間長、台灣電巴市場競爭者增加、未上市/興櫃子公司華德動能上市時程不確定、外銷美元/歐元/人民幣匯率風險、利率與營運資金需求、FTA與關稅壁壘、低價中國零組件與工具品牌競爭、以及AI伺服器工具應用是否能放大為穩定訂單尚未公開量化。2027至2028年的具體財務預測公司未公告,以上為依官方年報與法說會揭露方向所做的研究整理,非公司財測。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • IC、功率晶體、DICE、電晶體、二極體、碳刷、沖壓件等車用電子零組件供應商 年報列為車用電子主要原料;公司未揭露個別供應商名稱,且2024、2025年無進貨占總額10%以上供應商。
  • 馬達與驅動系統、傳動系統、轉向系統、煞車系統、底盤、冷氣系統、電池組與電池管理系統供應商 年報列為電動巴士主要製程與原料供應項目,供應狀況多標示良好;未揭露個別供應商。
  • 齒輪、鋰電池、馬達、開關、機殼等工具零組件供應商 年報列為車用及產業工具主要原料;公司提及全球晶圓短缺使部分物料交貨狀況不甚理想。
  • 工研院及大學院校等外部研究機構 年報說明公司關鍵技術以自主研發為主,並因成本、時間與資源整合需要與外部研究機構及學術機構共同合作研發;屬研發合作方,非一般採購供應商。
Downstream
  • 華德動能科技股份有限公司 車王電集團子公司/轉投資,興櫃代號2237;負責電動巴士研發、製造與行銷,並承接電巴整車、底盤、車隊管理及海外合作。因非上市櫃公司,stock_id依規則填null。
  • 南華電動車技術服務股份有限公司 車王電電動商用車生態系關係企業,負責車輛維修產業育成與技術服務;未上市櫃。
  • 首都客運集團及大都會客運 下游客運業者;華德動能2025年與首都客運集團簽訂85輛電動巴士採購合約,2026年再與大都會客運簽訂39輛甲類電動低地板大客車採購合約;未上市櫃。
  • 屏東客運 下游客運業者;華德動能2026年宣布交付10輛新世代電動巴士投入恆春、墾丁地區營運;未上市櫃。
  • 欣欣客運 下游客運業者;早期由車王電與華德動能聯手取得首批12輛電動巴士並投入雙北全電公車路線;未上市櫃。
  • 日本住友商事集團 日本市場策略合作夥伴,協助日本電動巴士製造、銷售與市占拓展;非台股上市櫃。
  • NExT-e Solutions Inc. 日本電動巴士業務及投資策略夥伴;非台股上市櫃。
  • Optimal Electric Vehicles, LLC 美國大型電動商用車設計與製造合作夥伴;車王電集團規劃負責大型電動商用車,2025年完成驗證、2026年量產為原先公開說法;非台股上市櫃。
  • 全球汽車售後維修市場、汽車零件經銷商、連鎖通路商與國外製造廠 汽車電子與工具產品主要下游;公司產品銷售遍及全球百餘國,客戶多未具名。
  • AI伺服器與電子業組裝產線客戶 Durofix精密組裝工具已量產應用於電子業AI伺服器組裝及AI基建使用;公司未揭露具體客戶名稱。

Competitors

  • 鴻華先進科技股份有限公司 2258 台股創新板上市公司,電動巴士Model T與商用電動車為車王電/華德動能在電巴市場的直接競爭者。
  • 唐榮車輛科技股份有限公司 2035 台股掛牌公司唐榮旗下車輛業務參與電動巴士市場;與華德、成運、創奕、總盈、鴻華等同列國內電動大客車供應商。
  • 成運汽車製造股份有限公司 未公開發行/未上市櫃電動巴士與客車製造商,公開資料顯示為國內電巴主要競爭者之一。
  • 創奕能源科技股份有限公司 未公開發行/未上市櫃電動巴士、三電系統與儲能業者,為國內電巴主要競爭者之一。
  • 總盈汽車股份有限公司 未上市櫃電動巴士業者,交通部電動大客車推動計畫合格車輛業者之一。
  • 金龍汽車製造股份有限公司 未上市櫃巴士製造商,公開市場報導列為台灣電動巴士市占競爭者。
  • 凱勝綠能科技股份有限公司 未上市櫃電動巴士相關業者,公開市場報導列為台灣電動巴士競爭者。
  • 怡利電子工業股份有限公司 2497 台股上市車用電子廠,與車王電汽車電子/車聯網/車用控制相關產品部分重疊,惟產品組合不完全相同。
  • 同致電子企業股份有限公司 3552 台股上市車用電子與感測零組件廠,與車王電汽車電子零組件在車用電子供應鏈部分競爭。
  • 為升電裝工業股份有限公司 2231 台股上市汽車電子與胎壓偵測相關廠商,與車王電部分車用電子產品線可能競爭。
  • 胡連精密股份有限公司 6279 台股上櫃車用連接器與汽車零組件廠,屬汽車電子供應鏈同業,但產品定位與車王電不完全相同。
  • 力山工業股份有限公司 1515 台股上市工具機/工具相關廠商,與車王電Durofix工具事業部在工具產品或製造應用端有部分同業比較意義。
Sources(22)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.